CEBBCO IPO: Attractive business offering substantial growth

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Commercial Engineers & Body Builders Company Limited (CEBBCO) is tapping the capital markets with an IPO which has opened on Thursday the 30th of September and closes on Tuesday the 5th of October. The issue comprises of a fresh issue of Rs 153 crs and an offer for sale of 15.28 lakh shares. The issue price band is Rs 125-127 and would garner Rs 172.41 crs at the top end of the price band. The company has allotted 24.43 lakh shares at the top end of the price band to anchor Investors.

Issue Size Rs 153 crs and 15,28,587 shares
Fresh Issue Rs 153 crs
Offer for Sale 15,28,587 shares
Price Band  Rs 125 to Rs 127  
Size of Issue Rs 172.11 crs at Rs 125 to Rs 172.41 crs at Rs 127
Issue in Number of Shares 1,37,68,587 shares at Rs 125 and  1,35,75,831 shares at Rs 127
Anchor Investors 24,43,649  shares were alloted at Rs 127 per share
QIB’s 58,17,503 shares at Rs 125 and  57,01,850 shares at Rs 127 
Non Institutional Investors 13,76,859 shares at Rs 125 and 13,57,583 shares at Rs 127
Retail Investors 41,30,576 shares at Rs 125 and 40,72,749 shares at Rs 127
Marketcap post issue Rs 689.19 crs at Rs 125 to 697.77 crs at Rs 127
Book Running Lead Manager ICICI Securities Limited
Edelweiss Capital Limited
Isssue Opening Date Thursdayday 30th September
Isssue  closing date  Tuesday 5th October
IPO Grade  2/5 by CRISIL indicating below average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 55 shares
Maximum Retail Bid in shares and amount 770 shares at Rs 127 Rs 97,790

Business
Cebbco produces vehicle and locomotive bodies for diverse applications for road and railways transportation. They are one of the leading designers and manufacturers in India of vehicle bodies for the commercial vehicles industry with an extensive portfolio of product offerings. They also conduct refurbishment of railway wagons as well as manufacturing of components for railway wagons, coaches and locomotives. The company has two divisions namely Commercial Vehicles division and Railways division. 

CEBBCO is engaged in the business of manufacturing vehicle bodies for the commercial vehicles industry for Original Equipment Manufacturers (“OEMs”) engaged in the production of Fully Built Vehicles (“FBVs”).The company believes that they have forged long-standing relationships with OEMs such as Tata Motors Limited and the Ministry of Defence as well as with corporate groups deploying significant private fleets of vehicles such as Reliance Petroleum Limited, Reliance Industries Limited and Som Datt Builders Private Limited. Our supplies to Tata Motors Limited are both for their Indian and export markets. We have also received orders for manufacturing different vehicle bodies for the commercial vehicles industry from OEMs such as VE Commercial Vehicles Limited (a joint venture between the Volvo group of companies and Eicher Motors Limited), Ashok Leyland Limited, Asia Motor Works Limited, Man Force Trucks Private Limited and Hino Motors Sales India Private Limited (belonging to the Toyota group of companies), all of which also manufacture FBVs.

Railways Division
In late 2008, CEBBCO expanded its business into the railways division. In the railways division, the principal customer is the Indian Railways (acting for the Government of India) which conducts procurement at various levels within its organization, including production units, zonal authorities and workshops. Recently, it has added to its list of customers, Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (a public-sector undertaking that supplies locomotive shells to the Indian Railways), Sanrok Enterprises (a partnership firm that makes supplies to the Indian Railways) and Bouvier Resources Limited, a foreign company with which they have entered into an agreement for supplies for railway wagons. Orders placed on us for supplies to the Indian Railways are from various of its production units, zonal authorities and workshops, including Diesel Locomotive Works (“DLW”), Integral Coach Factory (“ICF”), Western Railway, Eastern Railway, Wagon Repair Shop, Kota (a workshop of the West Central Railway), the Northern Railway Carriage & Wagon Workshop at Jagadhari, Haryana, West Central Railway (Jabalpur) and North Western Railway (Jaipur). Work under the orders placed on us by these production units, zonal authorities and workshops of the Indian Railways includes the refurbishment of wagons, supplies and fitting of Side-Walls, End-Walls, floor plates, flap doors, door plates, door cut-outs, partition frames and crib angles for wagons, dust bins for coaches and stainless steel fittings for wagons, and the manufacture of long hood structures for locomotives. Apart from orders from the Indian Railways, recently we have received an order from Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited, a public-sector undertaking that supplies locomotive shells to the Indian Railways, to deliver 5 sets of locomotive shells at Jhansi. We have also received an order from Sanrok Enterprises, (a partnership firm that makes supplies to the Indian Railways, for components for BOXNR Wagons. We have also entered into an agreement for supply of panels and components for railway wagons with Bouvier Resources Limited, a company with its representative office in Russia. Placing of orders under this agreement is subject to approval of prototype, as per drawings of Bouvier Resources Limited. 

Objects of the Issue 

  1. Capital expenditure for the railway project    Rs 80.30 crs
  2. Prepayment of identified loan facilities     Rs 59.05 crs
  3. General corporate purposes           XX
  4. Total

Financials 
CEBBCO reported net sales of Rs 112.05 crs for the year ended March 2009 and Rs 182.86 crs for the year ended March 2010. The total income was Rs 126.15 crs for March 2009 and Rs 196.87 crs for March 2010. The profit after tax was Rs 1.41 crs for March 2009 and Rs 20.30 crs for March 2010.  

The order book of the company as of 15th July is Rs 623.8 crs which comprises of Commercial vehicles of Rs 525.6 crs and railway refurbishment of Rs 98.2 crs. The orders are to be completed by the end of the financial year ending in March 2011.  

Based on the year ending March 2010 numbers and a pre-IPO equity capital of Rs 42.9 crs or 4.29 cr shares, the EPS is Rs 4.73. The PE multiple based on these numbers is 26.4 times to 26.84 times.

Comparison 
There are no comparable listed players on the bourses. New railway business of wagon building will be comparable with two major wagon builders in Texmaco and Titagarh. The current refurbishment business is not comparable. Auto Corporation of Goa in the commercial vehicles body segment is probably the only comparison in this segment. Texmaco quotes at 22.8 times its March 2010 numbers while Titagarh is at roughly 14 times March 2010 numbers. As regards Auto Corporation it quotes at roughly 19 times first quarter 2010-11 annualised numbers. In the financial year ended March 2010, the company had made a loss; hence there is a negative EPS.  

I believe one has to look at the opportunity and consider the fact that the capacity of CEBBCO at its 5 factories is roughly 45,000 commercial bodies and considering the demand and growth in the infrastructure space in the country, the opportunity that the company has. The current year 2010-11 would be the launching pad for the company and things are likely to be different post this year-end 

Conclusion  
The company is poised to show rapid growth in the current year and thereafter. Tata Capital Growth Fund has acquired 14% of CEBBCO’s equity at Rs 116.56 in July 2010. CEBBCO’s promoters enjoy a 70 year old association with Tata Motors. Railway wagons are refurbished at railway’s workshops and don’t require any facilities in terms of space. On a valuation matrix the shares are being offered in a price band of Rs 125-127 which when compared to the March 2010 numbers on a fully diluted post IPO equity of between Rs 56.66 crs and Rs 56.47 crs would translate into an EPS of Rs 3.58 to Rs 3.59. The PE multiple would be in the region of 34.9 times to 35.3 times at these earnings. One must however consider that the railway business has now taken shape after having entered into in 2009. The commercial bodies business is now flush with orders with the Indore and Jamshedpur facilities being recent additions.  

The issue looks expensive apparently and there is a risk of execution attached to it. If the company is able to complete even 80% of its order book one is talking of a top line growth far in excess of 2.8 times its FY 2010 revenue. I recommend investing for the medium to long term for handsome returns.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I intend to subscribe to the above issue     

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Tirupati Inks Listing day: Strong opening but then share crashes

Tirupati Inks Limited which had tapped the capital markets with its IPO to raise Rs 51.5 crs in a price band of Rs 41-43 listed today on the BSE. The company had opened its issue on Tuesday the 14th of September and closed on Thursday the 16th September for QIB’s and for HNI’s and retail investors on Friday the 17th of September. The issue was very well received and was oversubscribed an overall of 8.77 times with HNI portion subscribed 23.18 times and retail portion 12.59 times.

The company had virtually no fundamentals to justify this kind of response and the issue analysis said, “Simply avoid as fundamentals do not suggest subscription”. This article can be accessed here.

Even post the subscription this site had cautioned people by saying “These days there seems to be a new trend emerging where the issue which seems to have poor fundamentals is well received and subscribed. It then lists and trades at a substantial premium to the issue price and after a few days to a few weeks, slowly but surely slips to below issue price. This is becoming a trend or pattern and the number of people who get trapped in such issues post listing when it falls is increasing continuously”.

Probably what was said was not heard and what happened is reality. The stock listed at Rs 53.95 and made a high of Rs 61.45. The high for the day was made in the first half hour of trade and from there the share never recovered and was on a downslide throughout the day. The low of the share was Rs 35.70 and the share closed marginally higher at Rs 36.65, a net loss of Rs 6.35 or 14.77%.

Exchange Open High Low  Close Net Change % gain Wt Avg Volume Delivery Del % age
BSE 53.95 61.45 35.70 36.65 -6.35 -14.77 48.80 69476568 7644085 11.00

The traded volume was huge with a total of 6.94 cr shares or 6.27 times the IPO issue size of 1.10 cr shares being traded. The deliveries were 76.44 lakh shares or 11% of the traded volume but a significant 69.47% of the IPO issue size. So called long term investors the QIB’s sold on day one and they included names like India Max Investment Fund limited, Credit Suisse First Boston (Singapore) Ltd, Taib Securities Mauritius Ltd, Taib Bank BSC, Kuvera Capital Partners LLC, and Somerset Emerging Opportunity Fund. These institutions have sold for delivery 22.46 lakh shares or 29.3% of the shares sold for delivery.

The price chart clearly shows the concentration of volume in the morning and then in the midsession and then at the close. The weighted average of the day was Rs 48.80 and the close was Rs 36.65 clearly indicating the type of selling pressure that the share witnessed. This is yet one example of how gullible investors have been lured into investing in a share without fundamentals on the basis of the issue being ‘managed’ and that all investors would be given an exit route. This shakes the confidence of investors and gives the market a dirty name.

Clearly the share has trapped people and there is no future for such companies. This was a follow on public offer from the company and there is benefit to the company and people associated with them, at the cost of investors.

Even post this debacle I would still caution investors not to get trapped into this share by buying because it is available cheap. AVOID the share at even these levels.

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Bedmutha Industries IPO Subscribed

Bedmutha Industries Limited which had tapped the capital markets with an IPO for 90 lakh shares in a price band of Rs 95-102 was subscribed. The issue had opened on Tuesday the 28th of September and closed on Friday the 1st of October. The issue received excellent support from HNI’s who subscribed their portion 29.19 times and Retail investors which portion was subscribed 8.51 times. The company is in the business of wires and value added products from galvanised wires.

A detail of the subscription where the issue was oversubscribed 8.51 times is given below.

 Category  Shares Offered Shares Subscribed Times
QIB 4500000 2995785 0.67
NII 1350000 39412750 29.19
Retail 3150000 26806715 8.51
Overall 9000000 69215250 7.69
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