Eros International Media IPO: Listing gains as well as long term prospects

Eros International Media Limited (EROS) is tapping the capital markets with its IPO for Rs 350 crs in a price band of Rs 158-175. The issue has opened on Friday the 17th of September and closes on Tuesday the 21st of September. The company has made an allocation of 36 lakh shares to anchor investors at a price of Rs 165. At the end of the first day, the company has received subscription for 79% of the issue size.

Price Band  Rs 158 – Rs 175 
Issue size in Rs Rs 350 crs
Offer size in shares 2,21,51,899 Equity shares at Rs 158 and 2,00,00,000 Equity shares at Rs 175
QIB’s 1,32,91,139 Equity Shares at Rs 158 and 1,20,00,000 Equity Shares at Rs 175
Non Institutional Investors 22,15,190 Equity Shares at Rs 158 and 20,00,000 Equity Shares at Rs 175
Retail Investors 66,45,570 Equity Shares at Rs 158 and 60,00,000 Equity Shares at Rs175
Marketcap post issue Rs 1478.23 crs to 1599.62 crs
Book Running Lead Manager Enam Securities Private Limited
Kotak Mahindra Capital Company Limited
Morgan Stanley India Company Private Limited
RBS Equities (India) Limited
Isssue Opening Date Friday 17th September
Isssue  Closing date  Tuesday 21st September
Anchor Investors 36,00,000 shares alloted at a price of Rs 165 per share
IPO Grade  4/5 by CARE Limited indicating  above average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 40 shares

Business
EROS is a part of the Eros group which is a global player within the Indian media and entertainment sector. The group has been in the business for close to three decades. The group has an extensive film library and is in the business of sourcing Indian and other film content and exploiting it worldwide through its offices in India, UK, USA, UAE, Singapore, Australia, the Isle of Man and Fiji across formats such as theatres, home entertainment, television and digital new Media. Eros Plc, the holding company of the Eros group is a Promoter of EROS and is listed on the Alternative Investment Market of the London Stock Exchange.

EROS exclusively sources all Indian film content for the Eros group and exploits such content across formats within India, Nepal and Bhutan. EROS has various rights to over 1,000 films which include Hindi, Tamil and other regional language films. Some of the big films include names like Mughal-e-Azam, Om Shanti Om, Lage Raho Munnabhai and Love Aaj Kal. This is a key competitive advantage and an integral part of the company’s business model. Eros also owns rights to certain English language films for home entertainment distribution within India.

The sourcing of content is primarily through two routes namely acquisitions from third parties and through co-productions. In the case of acquisitions films are acquired from third party producers at various stages of a film’s production for an agreed contractual value and the second way is co-production of films which happen from inception of a film with certain producers for a pre-agreed fixed budget. Till date EROS has released just one own production Hindi film namely “Aa Dekhen Zara” and therefore this avenue has not been discussed.

There is a Relationship Agreement between EROS and Eros International Group with respect to distribution of Indian film content for the entire world excluding India, Nepal and Bhutan which has been licensed to the Eros Group with effect from 1st October 2009. The broad terms stipulate that any movie acquired by EROS would entitle them to receive a minimum guarantee fee of 30% and a mark-up of 30% of all expenses.

Objects of the issue
The objects of the issue are as follows: -

Acquiring and co-producing Indian films including primarily Hindi language films as well as certain Tamil and other regional language films Rs 280 crs
General corporate purposes  XX

Financials
EROS has reported total revenue of Rs 479.61 crs for the year ended March 2009 and Rs 547.51 crs for the year ended March 2010. In the first three months of the current year 2010-11 had revenue of Rs 118.22 crs. The net profit after tax for the respective periods is Rs 47.93 crs, Rs 51.64 crs and Rs 13.82 crs respectively. On the pre-IPO capital of Rs 71.4 crs or 7.14 cr shares the EPS is Rs 6.71 for March 2009, Rs 7.23 for March 2010 and on an annualised basis for the three months ended June 2010 Rs 7.74.

Competition
The company has compared itself with UTV Software Communications Limited which is in a similar business and has some other verticals as well. The competitor is into broadcasting and runs TV channels and is also into production or creation of games. The only business vertical of EROS is comparable with the movies business of UTV but not the whole company. In any case India is a country which has number of languages and cinema is produced in all these languages providing plenty of opportunity to exploit the same.
There are many small production houses, distribution companies and even integrated companies but the sheer size and consolidation available with EROS is missing in competitors.

Valuations
EROS is being offered at a fully diluted basis in a price band of Rs 158-175 on an earnings multiple of between 28.63 and 30.98 times based on March 2010 earnings and at a lower multiple of between 26.73 to 28.93 times based on the first three months earnings of the current year on an annualised basis.  

Conclusion
EROS is in the entertainment industry which is doing well for itself. The risks involved with the box office success have been reduced and taken care of with distribution of rights, sale of music, and other avenues like advertising and branding of products etc. The simultaneous distribution of the film in larger screens helps in ensuring better returns to the business. EROS is entering different language films like Marathi and Bengali and looking at other languages as well. The company is well poised to ensure decent returns to investors on listing and in the long run

Apply for listing gains and also long term profits.

SEBI disclaimer: – I intend to subscribe to the above issue.

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Career Point Infosystems IPO: Attractive business with growth-SUBSCRIBE

Career Point Infosystems Limited (Career Point) is in the business of providing tutorial services is tapping the capital markets with its IPO to raise Rs 115 crs. The issue is currently on and would close on Monday the 20th of September for QIB’s and on Tuesday the 21st of September for HNI’s and retail. The price band is Rs 295 – 310. The company has done an allocation of 6.56 lakh shares to anchor investors at a price of Rs 310 and as of end of Friday the issue is oversubscribed 1.27 times.

Price Band  Rs 295 – Rs 310 
Issue size in Rs Rs 115 crs
Offer size in shares 38,98,305 Equity shares at Rs 295 and 37,09,677 Equity shares at Rs 310
Employee Reservation 65,000 Equity Shares
QIB’s 22,99,983 Equity Shares at Rs 295 and 21,86,806 Equity Shares at Rs 310
Non Institutional Investors 3,83,330 Equity Shares at Rs 295 and 3,64,468 Equity Shares at Rs 310
Retail Investors 11,49,992 Equity Shares at Rs 295 and 10,93,403 Equity Shares at Rs 310
Marketcap post issue Rs 540.40 crs to 562.03 crs
Book Running Lead Manager Centrum Capital Limited
J M Financial Consultants Private Limited
Isssue Opening Date Thursday 16th September
Isssue  closing date for QIB’s Monday 20th September
Isssue  closing date for Retail and HNI’s Tuesday 21st September
Anchor Investors 6,56,040 shares alloted at a price of Rs 310 per share
IPO Grade  3/5 by CARE Limited indicating  average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 20 shares

Business
Career Point is in the business of being a tutorial services provider in India. These tutorial services are provided to high school and post high school students for various competitive entrance examinations including All India Engineering Entrance Examination, Indian Institute of Technology – Joint entrance Examination and All India Pre-Medical and Pre-Dental Test.

These tutorial services are provided through our classroom training programmes conducted through a network of Company Operated and Franchised Centres. The company as of 31st July 2010 had 17 company operated training centres and 16 franchised centres. Till 31st July the total number of enrolments has been 28,626. The faculty consists of 231 members and over the years the company has built a content repository of over 10,000 pages of text content and over 200 hours of video content. For students who cannot attend classes in person, there are distance learning programmes comprising of correspondence and test series courses.
The company has recently forayed into Education, consultancy and management services (ECAMS) catering to K -12 and higher education segments.

Objects of the Issue
The objects of the issue are as follows: -

  1. Construction and development of an integrated campus facility : Rs 68.25 crs
  2. Expansion of classroom infrastructure and office facility :            Rs 16.49 crs
  3. Acquisitions and other strategic initiatives :                                 Rs 15.00 crs
  4. General Corporate purposes :                                                    Rs   xx

Financials
Career Point reported standalone revenue of Rs 49.04 crs for the year ended March 20009 and Rs 67.80 crs for March 2010. The net profit after tax was Rs 16.24 crs in March 2009 and Rs 19.87 crs in0March 2010. The equity capital of the company prior to the IPO consists of 1,44,20,297 shares or 1.44 cr shares and share capital is Rupees 14.42 crs. The EPS on old capital is Rs 11.26 for March 2009 and Rs 13.78 for March 2010.

Competition
Strictly speaking there is no competition among listed peers which can be compared for comparison purposes as there are none which are listed in this space. If one however looks at the education space there are many companies in this segment and some of the prominent names include Everonn Education, Educomp Solutions Ltd, NIIT and a host of companies like Core Projects and others who are in the business of providing computer classrooms and content to government and private schools.

In the unlisted space there are enough people who are offering similar courses in Kota and probably in the next few quarters we should see more such IPO’s coming from there. The business is there and the growth opportunity tremendous. The key risk is in duplicating the Kota model into other entrance exams and Career Point has started the same. The success of the other courses would be keenly watched. Secondly Career Point is now entering into the lucrative formal education space of K-12 where schools would be set up and managed. This is lucrative and becomes the next growth going forward.

Valuations
On a fully diluted basis the stock which is being offered in a price band of Rs 295-310 had an EPS of Rs 10.84 for March 2010 at the lower band and Rs 10.96 at the upper band of Rs 310. The price earnings multiple at the lower end would be 27.19 times and at the upper end 28.28 times.

The company is likely to earn a net profit of Rs 26-27 crs in the current year and Rs 36-38 crs in FY 2011-12. The EPS is likely to be between Rs 19.5 – 20.5 in FY 2011-2012.

Growth Drivers
The opportunity in schools and the University that the company is setting up would provide an opportunity to give education through kindergarten, school, high school, college and then finally post graduation to a student. Considering the population of India this is a huge opportunity that India has and this would provide the company a huge growth driver going forward. Competition will always be there but the hard fact is that there are more students and fewer seats in India. One can safely conclude that as long as one offers decent education there will never be a shortage of takers.

Conclusion
Career Point offers an opportunity to invest in a company which is in the tutorial space and is integrating backwards into the school and forward integration into the college space. The company has a huge opportunity to capitalise on the growing needs and is well poised to reap the benefits. Apply for listing gains and steady appreciation thereafter.

SEBI disclaimer: – I intend to subscribe to the above issue.

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Performance of Newly Listed Shares 17th September 2010

Name Date of listing Issue Price closing  price closing price % gain loss  change over
17th Sept 9th Sept over week  lssue price
SKS MicroFinace 16th August 985.00 1396.20 1273.00 9.68 41.75
Bajaj Corp 18th August 660.00 723.35 730.05 -0.92 9.60
Prakash Steelage 25th August 110.00 155.1 161.05 -3.69 41.00
Gujarat Pipavav Port 9th Sept 46.00 53.95 54.05 -0.19 17.28
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