Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 17th May

Name Date of Listing Issue Price Closing Price Closing Price % Gain Loss % Change Over
170519 100519 Over Week lssue Price
TCNS Clothing Company Limited 30th July 716.00 812.90 800.80 1.69 13.53
HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd 6th August 1100.00 1601.80 1638.70 -3.35 45.62
Credit Access Grameen Limited 23rd August 422.00 464.50 483.45 -4.49 10.07
Ircon International Limited 28th September 475.00 381.55 396.05 -3.05 -19.67
Aavas Financers Limited 8th October 821.00 1429.05 1396.50 3.96 74.06
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Eng Ltd 10th October 118.00 117.15 114.10 2.58 -0.72
Xelpmoc Tech and Design Limited 4th February 66.00 66.05 70.00 -5.98 0.08
Chalet Hotels Limited 7th February 280.00 326.70 325.80 0.32 16.68
MSTC Limited 29th March 120.00 98.55 100.60 -1.71 -17.88
Embassy Office Reits 1st April 300.00 341.05 335.45 1.87 13.68
Rail Vilkas Nigam Limited 11th April 19.00 22.10 22.70 -3.16 16.32
Metropolis Healthcare Limited 15th April 880.00 920.95 943.25 -2.53 4.65
Polycab India Limited 16th April 538.00 592.00 655.80 -11.86 10.04
Neogen Chemical Limited 8th May 215.00 248.00 261.95 -6.49 15.35

Markets Losing Streak to End

It was a bad week at the markets and they lost ground on all five trading sessions. The bulk of the losses were in the first three days and the pace of fall reduced thereafter. It certainly gave indications that after eight straight days of losses, there could be a bounce when they begin trading on Monday.

BSESENSEX was down 1,500.27 points or 3.85% at 37,462.99 points while NIFTY lost 433.35 points or 3.70% to close at 11,278.90 points. The broader indices like BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 lost 3.61%, 3.56% and 3.49% respectively.

It was a after a very long time that I saw three heavyweights which happened to be from completely different sectors lose over 11% each in a week. The stocks were Tata Motors down 11.22%, Reliance Industries 11.09% and Tata Steel 11.01%. It indeed gives a fair picture of what happened. There were no sectoral gainers either and BSEIT was the so called best as it lost the least at -1.01%.

Dow Jones too was under pressure and lost 567.58 points or 2.12% to close at 25,942.37 points. Dow rose on Friday and gained 114 points or 0.44%.

Coming to the correction, which in eight trading sessions has wiped out almost 50% of the gains made over two months, it seems to be done. The rally began from 19th February which saw BSESENSEX make a low of 35,287.16 points. From there it rose 4,200.29 points to make a lifetime high of 39,487.45 points on 18th April 2019. From there after remaining sideways for some time, the fall began on 30th The 50% correction to this rise would be at 37,388 and we are currently about 75 points higher. In intra-day trade the low was 37,370 points which means the level was reached. Similarly, on NIFTY the rally began at 10,585.65 points, gained 1,270.50 points to touch 11.856.15 points. The 50% fall would be to 11,221.26 while the intra-day low on Friday was 11,251.05. The closing was 11,278.90 points and if these levels hold, could coincide with the correction.

points. Dow rose on Friday and gained 114 points or 0.44%.

What led to this correction is more significant. The first is that we had rallied quite strongly in two months without a correction. Secondly, there were reservations on whether the ruling BJP/NDA may or may not be able to form the next government. Thirdly, President Trump imposed duties of 25% against 10% on 200 billion dollars of Chinese imports with effect from midnight on Friday the 10th of May. All these factors rocked the market and helped complete the necessary technical correction.

The sixth round of voting for 59 seats was completed on Sunday the 12th of May. The seventh and final round of voting would be held next Sunday on 19th of May for 59 seats.

Yogi Deveshwar, Chairman Emeritus of ITC passed away at the age of 72 years. He was credited for changing the tobacco and cigarettes company to a large conglomerate having diversified portfolio of paper, hotels and FMCG products. Today less than half of its revenues comes from tobacco related products and the broader portfolio generates to the bottom-line.

What does the week ahead hold for the markets? It will continue to be volatile and choppy with two sided movements, however this time with an upward bias. Exit polls would be available only on Sunday evening next week and that would not impact trading this week. The strategy would be to look at corporate results and invest in companies which have shown growth with improved efficiencies. There are quite a few examples of such companies. One glaring example would be PNB Housing Finance which post results gained sharply on Friday. Further the parent, PNB Bank has sold stake at a premium of 20% plus to an investor. The stake sale price was Rs 850. Look for many such ideas in the market place. It should be remembered that value can only be found at times of stress or pain.

The strategy for the week ahead would be to remain calm and buy on sharp dips and sell on rallies. By the time you would be reading a similar column in the coming week on Monday the 20th of May, markets could be all over the place reacting to exit poll. One should note that exit polls are based on sample and have a lot of bias in them. Do not get carried away by them and when you have waited for a long 39-day election period, might as well wait for another 4 days for the results.

In conclusion, I strongly believe that markets may open weak on Monday morning but would certainly close in the positive.

Neogen Chemical Limited – Debuts with Gains of Over 22%

Neogen Chemical Limited which had tapped the capital markets with its simultaneous offer for sale and fresh issue had a great listing on Wednesday the 8th of May. The company had offered for sale 29 lakh shares and a fresh issue to raise Rs 70 crs. The price band was Rs 212-215.

The discovered price was Rs 251 and the share hit the upper circuit of 5% thereafter to make a high of Rs 263.55. Coincidentally the discovered price was the same on the BSE and NSE. The highs and the close was also an identical Rs 263.55 made on both the exchanges. The low was Rs 250.10 on the BSE and Rs 250.50 on BSE. The closing price of Rs 263.55 was a gain of 22.58%.

The company had earlier allotted 18,46,715 equity shares to anchor investors. The public issue was subscribed an overall 43.29 times. QIB portion was subscribed 30.49 times, HNI a massive 113.88 times and Retail 16.06 times.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/ Loss Wt.Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 251.00 263.55 250.10 263.55 48.55 22.58 259.61 288154 288154 100.00
NSE 251.00 263.55 250.50 263.55 48.55 22.58 256.18 1358653 1358653 100.00
Total 1646807 1646807 100.00

The traded volume on the BSE and NSE of the share which is in trade to trade segment for the first ten trading days was 16,46,807 equity shares. This was 26.25% of the IPO size of 61,55,813 shares and 38.22% of the non-anchor portion. Considering that this is a trade to trade counter and the issue size was small, the traded quantity was fairly decent. The weighted average of the days trade was Rs 259.61 on the BSE and Rs 256.18 on the NSE.

The share has had a decent listing and would remain in a range till it comes out of the trade to trade segment.

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