Performance report card for recommendations made about primary issues during 2009-2010

Friend’s year end is time for stock taking and for a performance review. Your website has not completed its first year as yet but the end of the year is a good time to look at how the performance has been. An attempt has been made to look at all the recommendations made during the year about IPO’s, FPO’s and NCD. In all a total of 34 issues were reviewed during the year which included 30 IPO’s, 3 FPO’s and one NCD. The success rate has been quite good as can be seen from the table given below.

  Listing Week 2009-10
Sr No Company Price Band Discovered
Price
Listing Date Recommendation Made High  Low  Close High  Low close
1 Adani Power 90-100 100 20th Aug A bird in hand is better than two in the bush (avoid) 107.90 98.50 105.10 117.80 90.25 115.95
2 NHPC 30-36 36 1st Sept Stiffly Priced – Apply if you can sell in grey market 39.75 34.30 34.60 39.75 29.85 30.50
3 Jindal Cotex 70-75 75 22nd Sept Subscribe only if you have patience 94.25 82.05 84.85 120.50 75.00 81.15
4 Globus Spirits 90-100 100 23rd Sept Attractively priced issue – for the medium term  111.30 84.55 85.40 142.00 74.05 135.55
5 Oil India 950-1050 1050 30th Sept Subscribe at Bata price (999) or mid price band 1173.30 1019.00 1141.00 1374.80 1019.00 1150.55
6 Pipavav Shipyard 55-60 58 9th October Very Expensive currently – invest only if long term investor 64.70 53.60 56.90 72.60 47.65 70.40
7 Euro Multivision 70-75 75 15th October Sunshine sometime away 80.90 37.35 41.25 80.90 23.55 24.14
8 Thinksoft Global 120-130 125 26th October Exit for PE investor at cost of new investor (avoid) 231.40 100.00 226.70 544.00 100.00 187.80
9 Indiabulls Power 40-45 45 30th October Subcribe for short and medium term gains 45.50 31.75 34.65 45.50 28.65 30.75
10 Den Networks 195-205 195 24th November Extremely Expensive – Avoid 197.00 151.00 160.20 208.00 151.00 195.30
11 Astec Lifesciences 77-82 82 25th November Subscribe 90.70 80.00 83.40 96.10 44.00 49.00
12 Cox and Kings 316-330 330 11th December Subscribe – Make money when people holiday 475.00 304.10 414.95 504.90 304.10 481.65
13 JSW Energy 100-115 100 4th January Good Company, good business but bad price 118.00 99.90 112.75 123.90 99.90 111.80
14 Godrej Properties 490-530 490 5th January Subscribe for medium term gains 586.70 446.90 509.45 586.70 446.90 513.10
15 DB Corp 185-212 212 6th January Subscribe for decent medium term gains 274.60 207.40 254.90 274.60 207.40 239.15
16 MBL Infrastructure 165-180 180 8th January Expensive compared to peers – Avoid 218.00 182.20 186.55 247.60 182.20 225.65
17 Infinite Computer  155-165 165 3rd February Subscribe for listing gains 217.85 178.35 203.30 222.90 178.35 190.85
18 Jubilant Foodworks 135-145 145 8th February First of its kind in the listed space but Expensive Apply only if you are a big risk taker 253.10 161.60 229.90 361.80 161.60 313.65
19 Syncom Healthcare 65-75 75 15th February Pricing is extraordinarily expensive 107.25 79.50 80.00 162.40 70.65 119.95
20 Vascon Engineers 165-185 165 15th February Good business but demanding steep valuations – Stay away  173.45 130.60 132.15 173.45 119.00 155.30
21 Thangamayil Jewellery 70-75 75 19th February 22K –Subscribe 72.80 62.00 65.20 82.40 62.00 81.35
22 Aqua Logistics 220-230 220 23rd February Extremely expensive – Simply AVOID 255.95 219.40 239.30 286.40 219.40 271.15
23 DB Realty 468-486 468 24th February Nothing on the table for investors -AVOID 473.00 407.00 445.05 540.10 407.00 458.50
24 Emmbi Polyarns 40-45 45 24th February Expensive  – AVOID 48.35 25.45 26.20 48.35 20.10 20.75
25 Hathway Cable 240-265 240 25th February Nothing on the table – Profitability long way off 246.00 189.10 212.65 246.00 189.10 207.20
26 ARSS Infrastructure 410-450 450 3rd March Must Subscribe 838.65 640.00 797.00 998.00 640.00 928.50
27 Texmo Pipes 85-90 90 10th March  Expensive – If looking at listing gains may take risk 160.65 101.5 159.75 162.80 90.20 92.35
28 Man Infrastructure 243-252 252 11th March Attractive Valuations – Subscribe 379 322.5 371.55 408.45 322.50 360.10
29 DQ Entertainment 75-80 80 29th March Great Future – Subscribe 140.00 103.00 112.25 140.00 103.00 112.25
30 IL&FS Transportation 242-258 258 30th March Subscribe for the medium term 295.00 270.10 278.45 295.00 270.10 278.45
 
FPO
1 NTPC Floor price 201 19th February  A great opportunity to invest in – Subscribe 205.5 198.65 200.2 241.7 196.1 207
2 REC  Floor price 203 8th March  Attractive offer – Must subscibe 246.5 225.05 242.85 274.5 205.15 249.9
3 NMDC 300-350 300 29th March  Price leaves nothing for investor – Avoid the issue   301 283.5 294.15 571.8 283.5 294.15
4 L&T Finance NCD 1000 1000 24th September Subscribe for listing gains 1088 1026 1087.34 1199.65 1015 1036

– All prices are from BSE except L&T Finance NCD which is from NSE.
– Listing week means first five trading days of year.
– Closing price for 2009-10 is close of 31st March 2010.

Two issues of the 34 reviewed remained unsubscribed at the end of the subscription period and their closing had to be extended. This website stuck to its decision of avoiding these issues and what happened in one of them after the stock moved to trade to trade is history. The other one is in the midst of controversy and what next will happen is anybody’s guess. Barring these two issues, this website has had a decent first year performance calling 28 recommendations of the 32 as correct. The two issues were recommended as avoid and have closed the year as positive.

We wish to thank all our readers and we wish to commit ourselves to providing unbiased views on the primary markets irrespective of various pulls and pressures which are a part of this market place. It will be our endeavour to present a perspective on the issues with the retail investor in mind and we would welcome comments, feedback and suggestions from our esteemed readers.

We wish all our readers a great year ahead.

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2 Responses to “Performance report card for recommendations made about primary issues during 2009-2010”

  1. hm1957 says:

    SIR GOOD COMPARISION AND SNAP SHOT AT A GLANCE.

  2. nnkamani says:

    Dear Arun,An excellent review/introspection of nearly 34 Isssues reviewed by you.This is indeed a herculean assignment as it is your judgement(Final Comments)which can make or break an Investor.Whole of last year ans some parts of current year were very tricky for IPO Investors.Kudos to you Dear Aun for bravely guiding the Investors correctly inspite of difficult enviornment.Your”Avoid”remarks are like firing warning shots to save an Investors Hard earned money.What tremendously accurate recommendations you have given Dear Arun!!Out of 34 Issues 32 are correct.And that too in less then a year!!An extremely REMARKABLE MOST Accurate Performance.
    I am quiet sure Dear arun,that you will continue providing more accurate and honest unbiased views without caring for anyone(Promoters/Merchant Bankers and other influencers).I am so happy to note that all this”Hard Work”and tireless efforts from your end is to ensure that”The Purse”of the retail investor is saved from being frittered away.

    Dear Arun kindly continue with this tireless efforts and wishing you along with”Millions of Retail Investors”all the success and the very best.May you surpass all hurdles to achieve your aim.

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