It appears of the five days of the week that markets trade on. Tuesday seems to be a really special day. The current month of January 2011 would have 5 Tuesdays of which four have been traded. The net result is an amazing finding where 72.65% of the monthly gains were recorded on the four Tuesday’s put together. The month has seen trading for twenty days. Yet another way of looking at these numbers is 25% of the days contributed to 72.65% or 75% of the days contributed to 27.35% of the gains.
The NSENIFTY also played out similarly with 70.6% of the monthly gains coming on the 4 Tuesdays.
SENSEX | NIFTY | |||||||
Close | Prv day | Gain | Close | Prv day | Gain | |||
3rd Jan | 15939.36 | 15517.92 | 421.44 | 3rd Jan | 4765.3 | 4636.75 | 128.55 | |
10th Jan | 16165.09 | 15814.72 | 350.37 | 10th Jan | 4849.55 | 4742.8 | 106.75 | |
17th Jan | 16466.05 | 16189.36 | 276.69 | 17th Jan | 4967.3 | 4873.9 | 93.4 | |
24th Jan | 16995.77 | 16751.73 | 244.04 | 24th Jan | 5127.35 | 5046.25 | 81.1 | |
Total Gain | 1292.54 | Total | 409.8 | |||||
Monthly | 17233.98 | 15454.92 | 1779.06 | Monthly | 5204.7 | 4624.3 | 580.4 | |
Tuesday gain as % of monthly | 72.65 | 70.61 |
The month of January 2012 has been really special as suddenly it appears all the problems of the country on fundamentals; economic and political have been resolved with the change of the year. India was the worst performing market in the year 2011 losing 24.64% on the SENSEX and 24.62% on thee NIFTY. With barely a month in the present year having been completed India is the best performing market of the world having gained 11.51% on the SENSEX and 12.55% on the NIFTY. If one were to look at it in another way the recovery in absolute numbers is 1779 points against a loss of 5054 points or 35.20% on the SENSEX, and 580 points of 1510 on the NIFTY or 38.43%.
The important thing to watch is whether Tuesday the 31st of January would be like a Super Tuesday or any other day. It sure would be interesting to watch how the remaining two days of the month play out.
Clearly it’s a great way to start the new year but whether the momentum is sustainable or not is a million dollar question.