Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 22th May 2022

 

Name Date of Listing Issue Price Closing Price Closing Price % Gain Loss % Change Over
      200522 130522 Over Week lssue Price
Shriram Properties Limited 20th December 118.00 61.00 63.20 -3.48 -48.31
C.E.Info Systems Limited 21st December 1033.00 1327.60 1247.60 6.41 28.52
Metro Brands Limited 22nd December 500.00 536.55 521.45 2.90 7.31
Medplus Health Services Limited 23rd December 796.00 915.45 828.25 10.53 15.01
Data Patterns Limited 24th December 585.00 735.75 689.30 6.74 25.77
H P Adhesives Limited 27th December 274.00 370.15 344.30 7.51 35.09
Supriya Life Science Limited 28th December 274.00 380.25 324.15 17.31 38.78
CMS Info Sytem Limited 31st December 216.00 234.95 235.45 -0.21 8.77
AGS Transact Technologies Limited 31st January 175.00 96.05 96.90 -0.88 -45.11
Adani Wilmar Limited 8th February 230.00 701.65 571.25 22.83 205.07
Vedant Fashions Limited 16th February 866.00 956.50 977.45 -2.14 10.45
Veranda Learning solutions Limited 11th April 137.00 196.40 207.95 -5.55 43.36
Hariom Pipe Industries Limited 13th April 153.00 214.50 193.60 10.80 40.20
Campus Activewear Limited 9th May 292.00 342.95 332.05 3.28 17.45
Rainbow Childrens Hospital Limited 10th May 542.00 477.10 456.20 4.58 -11.97
LIC OF India Limited 17th May 949.00 826.25 N A -12.93 -12.93
Prudent Corporate Advisory Services Ltd 20th May 630.00 562.70 N A -10.68 -10.68

Ethos Ltd IPO: Pricey Valuation

Ethos Limited is tapping the capital markets with its fresh issue of Rs375 crore and an offer for sale of 11.08 lakh shares in a price band of Rs836-878. The issue opens on Wednesday (May 18) and closes on Friday (May20). The anchor book would be finalised on Tuesday. Incidentally, the company had done a pre-IPO of Rs25 crore at an issue price of Rs826 on March 28, 2022.

Ethos is a luxury and premium luxury watch retailer in India. The company is India’s largest retailer of luxury and premium watches and currently has 50 stores through which it sells its products. These stores are in premium malls, luxury malls, high street and it also runs the Delhi Airport duty free store. It has a market share of 20 per cent in the luxury watch market and 13 per cent in the premium and luxury watch markets. Ethos dominates the space in terms of scale, profitability and offerings.

The luxury watch market is highly organised and is cashing in on urbanization and the rapid increase in disposable income. Readers would be surprised to note that there is a MRP from each of the watch manufacturers which retail in India. The difference in this MRP and the price from a duty-free store is less than double digit. This implies that buying watches from luxury stores are not over-exorbitant in any manner. There is also a possibility that one could bargain on the watch price and also get benefits from the loyalty program that Ethos runs for its customers. It is the only brand outlet that has a loyalty program and has over 2.83 lakhs HNI’s as customers.

In terms of expansion of the range and products sold through outlets, Ethos has tied up with an international jewellery brand Messika and an international luggage brand, Rimowa to further grow its business. The benefits of these tie-ups will be visible in the coming quarters as the outlets roll by. The company runs an omni-channel distribution model. The online model is a mix of online, shop and chatting which helps in selection of the products.

Revenues for the company were in a range over the last two years during Covid-19 and were badly affected with malls remaining shut. They remained in the range of Rs 440-450 crores. In the first nine months ended December 2021, revenues were Rs 418 crs. In the luxury business brand, the third quarter is a good quarter with festivals being a part of it. The fourth quarter is also a good quarter with marriages forming a large part of spends. EBITDA margins have hovered around 13-14 per cent with the nine-month period reporting 13.11 per cent against the 14 per cent for the full year FY21. PAT margins have improved significantly in the nine-month period to 3.75 per cent against the FY21 figure of 1.43 per cent.

The promoters of Ethos Limited is listed entity KDDL which is into the manufacture of dials and some other parts used by watch makers. This has enabled them to have long term relationships with watch makers around the world. As Ethos says ‘Timeless investment in the largest luxury retailer’ from their advertisements for the launch of this IPO.

There are no listed peers in this segment for Ethos Limited and therefore a peer comparison is not in place. The company reported an EPS of Rs 8.74 for the nine-month period ending December 2021. The PE band at the above 9-month non-annualised EPS would be 95.65-100.45. Valuations are not cheap and investment is meant only for the classy investor.

(The author is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services, an advisory firm)

Paradeep Ltd IPO: Right pick for medium-term investment

Paradeep Phosphates Limited is tapping the markets with its fresh issue of Rs 1,004 crores and an offer for sale of 12,00,35,800 shares in a price band of Rs 39-42. The issue opens on Tuesday (May 17) and closes on Thursday (May 19). The issue size is about Rs1,508 crore. The government of India would be exiting its stake entirely in Paradeep Phosphates post this issue. The company has completed its allocation to anchor investors on Friday which consists of 68 per cent to domestic mutual funds (MFs) and the balance to FII’s. The main object of the issue is to raise funds to acquire on a slump sale the Goa facility.

The company is a manufacturer and trader of complex fertilisers which are non-urea in nature. Its main products include DAP and NPK. As part of its backward integration, it makes its own phosphoric acid and is adding capacity of the same so that it becomes an even more effective cost producer. The company is located at Paradeep in Orissa and has its own jetty and pipelines for shifting materials whether they are in slurry form or gaseous in nature to the plant located about 3-4 kilometers away. This enables the company to shift large quantities of material quickly and cost effectively and at virtually no cost other than running of pumps connected with the pipelines.

Currently the company would have an effective capacity of 3 million tons of DAP/NPK capacity after the revamping of lines in Paradeep and Goa takeover are completed by September 2022. By October 2022, the phosphoric capacity available inhouse would have been ramped up after retrofit to 5 lakh tons per annum. This would help in reducing the cost of manufacture significantly.

The Goa acquisition would be in a slump sale form and an amount of over Rs 1,000 crores has already been paid. The balance of about Rs 500 crores is part of the objects of this issue and would happen by the end of May. Zuari Agro is a strong brand in the western and Southern part of the country while Paradeep has been strong in Northern and Central parts. With these two plants under one umbrella, they would have a pan-India presence and be able to maximise returns with higher realisation products as well.

Paradeep Phosphates sources key raw materials locally as well as from Qatar, Jordan, Morocco and Saudi Arabia. OCP is not only a key supplier but is also an equal shareholder in the company Paradeep Phosphates. It is this partnership which has taken over the Zuari asset and would be a key raw material supplier as well. The company enjoys benefits of ramping up its capacity as size and scale matters. While raw material prices have moved up significantly over the last couple of years, the margin percentage has not kept pace. However, the net realisation per ton at EBITDA level has been healthy at around Rs 5,463 per ton. This was higher than the Rs 4,433 per ton in the previous year.

Revenues for the combined company which includes present capacities at Paradeep and the acquired facilities in Goa which would be available for half the year FY23 will make this company a sizeable and effective player.

The company reported an EPS of Rs 6.30 for the nine months ended December 2022. At this EPS, the PE multiple of the share is more than attractive with the PE band based on nine months non-annualised being Rs 6.20-6.67. This is very attractive when compared to peer group like Coromandel, Chambal and Deepak fertilisers who trade between 11.57-18.72 times. This issue is more than attractively priced.

Investors looking for gains in the medium term should subscribe to this issue as it is attractively priced and is also in a sector which has no alternatives. There could also be reasonable pop available on listing but that should not be the reason for subscription.

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