Latent View Analytics Limited – Share gains 148%

Latent View Analytics Limited had tapped the capital markets with its fresh issue for Rs 474 crs and an offer for sale of Rs 126 crs in a price band of Rs 190-197 listed on the bourses. The discovered price on BSE was Rs 530 at which price 2,00,214 shares were traded. On NSE, the discovered price was 512.20 at which price 36,35,249 shares were traded. Approximately 38.35 lac shares were traded at the discovered price on the two exchanges combined.

The issue had received massive subscriptions and was oversubscribed 338.51 times. The issue had opened on Wednesday the 10th of November and closed on Friday the 12th of November. HNI portion was subscribed 881.96 times, the Retail portion was subscribed 123.83 times and the Employee portion was subscribed 4.03 times. There were 37,61,441 applications and on basis of lots, the retail portion was subscribed 94.91 times. The issue garnered a subscription of Rs 1.13 lac crs against issue size of Rs 600 crs. This has now become the most subscribed issue in the last 12-13 years and has overtaken the recent issue of Paras Defence.

Earlier the company allotted 1,35,53,898 equity shares at Rs 197 to 19 anchor investors comprising of 34 entities. The highest allocation was made to the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority of 10,15,968 shares or 7.5% of the anchor book. The company also allotted an almost equal number of shares ranging between 6.7% – 6.9% of the anchor book to nine anchor investors. The company allotted 82,23,346 shares or 60.7% of the anchor book to 12 domestic mutual funds comprising 25 anchors. The names include Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC, Ashoka India, Axis Mutual Fund, Kotak, Nippon, and Mirae amongst others. Looking at the anchor book, one can surmise that the same has been very evenly distributed with the top 10 anchors being allotted roughly 69% of the anchor book.

The high of the day on BSE was Rs 548.75, the low was Rs 462 and the close was Rs 488.60. The gain was Rs 291.60 or 148.02%. On NSE, the high of the day was Rs 548, the low was Rs 461 and the close was Rs 488.75 a gain of Rs 291.75 or 148.10%.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/ Loss Wt.Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 530.00 548.75 462.00 488.60 291.60 148.02 503.99 2073031 818515 39.48
NSE 512.20 548.00 461.00 488.75 291.75 148.10 500.50 28823707 11637036 40.37
Total 30896738 12455551 40.31

The traded volume on the two exchanges combined was 308.96 lac shares which was 1.01 times the IPO size of 304.56 lac shares and 1.83 times the non-anchor portion of 169.02 lac shares. Delivery volume was 124.55 lac shares which were 40.31% of the traded volume. It was 40.90% of the issue size and 73.69% of the non-anchor portion. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 503.99 on BSE and Rs 500.50 on NSE.

In terms of institutional or bulk trade, none were reported on either BSE or NSE.

There was some selling pressure witnessed on day one on the share as the closing price was lower than the weighted average. The delivery volumes have been decent and indicate that people who have been allotted shares have sold and made profits. What is intriguing however is the fact that people who have bought, their identity remains unknown. With no names appearing one can only hope that weak hands have not bought.

The issue price of the company was at PE multiples marginally lower than 40 times its earnings for March 2021. With the closing price being where it is, the PE has moved up almost 100 times. One hopes the company declares results that would enthuse the market and keep the party going.

Go Fashion (India) Limited – Issue Subscribed 135.40 times

Go Fashion (India) Limited which had tapped the capital markets with its fresh issue for Rs 125 crs and an offer for sale of 1,28,78,389 shares was subscribed over 135 times.

The QIB portion was subscribed 100.73 times, HNI portion was subscribed 262.08 times and the Retail portion was subscribed 49.39 times. There were 28.91 lac applications and on basis of lots, the retail portion was subscribed 41.35 times. The issue for Rs 1,013 crs at the top end of the band raised a subscription of Rs 75,900 crs. The cost of funding for the leveraged HNI would be in the region of Rs 310-320 implying that the share has to list in four digits and trade there for him to break even at the bare minimum.

Earlier the company had completed allocation to anchor investors. The company allotted 66,10,492 shares at the top end of the price of Rs 690. The company allotted the shares to 18 anchor investors comprising of 33 entities. The issue had opened on Wednesday the 17th of November and closed on Monday the 22nd of November. The price band was Rs 655-690.

The highest allocation was made to the Government of Singapore who was allotted 8,52,432 equity shares or 12.90% of the anchor allotment. Its associate, the Monetary Authority of Singapore was allotted 1,62,057 shares or 2.45% of the anchor book making a total of 10,14,489 shares or 15.35% of the anchor book. This was followed by Fidelity funds who were allotted 13.16% of the book to three entities. Three domestic funds, namely ICICI, HDFC, and SBI were allotted almost an identical 6.58% of the anchor book. This meant that the top 5 anchor investors were allotted 48.27% of the anchor book.

Domestic mutual funds were allotted 22,04,797 equity shares or 33.35% of the anchor book. This was to 7 mutual funds comprising of 18 schemes.

Full details of the subscription are given below: –

Go Colours Subscription

Bucket Size Shares Applied for Times Oversubscribed
QIB 4406996 443924124 100.73
HNI 2203497 577501090 262.08
Retail 1468998 72560544 49.39
Total 8079491 1093985758 135.40

Expiry week will induce volatility and sharp movements

The week gone by was a four-day week with Friday being a holiday. The week began on a positive note but that was all the positive news for the week. Markets lost ground on all the remaining three days. BSESENSEX ended the week with losses of 1,050.68 points or 1.73% to close the week at 59,636.01 points. NIFTY lost 337.95 points or 1.87% to close at 17,764.80 points. The broader indices saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 lose 1.74%, 1.85% and 1.81% respectively. BSEMIDCAP lost 1.71% while BSESMALLCAP lost 1.49%.

The Indian Rupee gained 20 paisa or 0.27% to close at Rs 74.24 to the US Dollar. Dow Jones lost on four of the five trading sessions and lost 498.33 points or 1.38% to close at 35,601.98 points.

In market news, Reliance Industries announced the cancellation of its demerger of O2C business as Aramco who was expected to invest 20% in this demerged business has decided to re-evaluate the proposed investment. This is not the first time that Reliance has changed its mind about mergers and demergers. It had earlier decided to do similarly with its media business and then changed its mind. While the news is negative for Reliance Industries, there would be no negative impact on the price in the immediate short term as the share price of Reliance in the last week has already fallen Rs 120 or 4.63%.

In primary market news, it appears the much talked about and debated airline issue from now rechristened Go First is likely to tap the capital markets from the 8th of December. The company in the last week filed its half year ended September 2021 results in which it has continued to make losses like the remaining players from the aviation sector. The positive part is the better performance parameters achieved.

The primary issue from Tarsons Products Limited was subscribed 77.49 times with QIB portion subscribed 115.77 times, HNI portion subscribed 184.58 times and Retail portion subscribed 10.55 times. There were 22.22 lac application and on the basis of lots, the retail issue was subscribed 9.07 times.

The primary issue from Go Fashion (India) Limited is tapping the capital markets with its fresh issue for Rs 125 crs and an offer for sale of 1,28,78,389 shares in a price band of Rs 655-690. The issue has opened on Wednesday the 17th of November and closes on Monday the 22nd of November. As of Thursday, the issue is subscribed 6.87 times with Retail portion subscribed 24.63 times. There are 14.37 lac applications which have been received.

The company is into the business of selling women’s bottom wear which includes western trousers and pants, Jeggings, Treggings, Skirts, Shorts, Leggings, Churidars, Patiala, Salwar, Palazzo, Dhoti pants, Harem pants, Denims, Athleisure, Sleepwear and Leisure. The company enjoys gross margins which are around the 55% level and EBITDA margins in the range of 28-32%. While in FY20 it reported net margins of 13.4%, it reported losses in FY21 and the first quarter of FY22 as well. The pandemic has had a severe impact on the company. Revenues in FY20 were at Rs 396 crs which fell to Rs 282 crs in FY21 and were Rs 40 crs in the first quarter of FY22. The corresponding quarter in FY21 saw revenues of Rs 21 crs.

The issue consists of a significant portion of offer for sale and is therefore priced exorbitantly considering the mood of the primary markets.

There were five listings which took place during the week, with three of them on Monday and two of them on Thursday. The first to list was PB Fintech, the company which owns the brand Policy Bazar. Shares which were issued at Rs 980, ended day one at Rs 1,202.90, a gain of Rs 222.90 or 22.74%. By the end of the week, the share had gained further to end with 35.81% gains.

The second share to list was Sigachi Industries Limited which had issued shares at Rs 163 and saw the best gains in over 12-13 years. The share closed day one at Rs 603.75, a gain of Rs 440.75 or 270.40%. At the end of the week, the gains had reduced to 251.01%.

The third issue to list was SJS Enterprises Limited which had issued shares at Rs 542. The share closed day one at Rs 509.85, a loss of Rs 32.15 or 5.93%. The losses had widened at weekend to be 13.49%.

The fourth share to list was Sapphire Foods Limited which had issued shares at Rs 1,180 and closed day one at Rs 1,216.05, gaining Rs 36.05 or 3.06%.

The fifth and final listing was from India’s largest fund raise ever, One 97 Communications Limited, the owner of the super app Paytm. Shares were issued at Rs 2,150 and the share closed at Rs 1,564.15, a loss of Rs 585.85 or 27.25%. The below expectation performance of the stock would affect not only the future of the already listed new age companies on the bourses, but also the companies looking to tap the capital markets in the near future. One saw many of the new age companies suffer significant losses on Thursday.

Markets are under pressure and the spate of primary market issues with they coming at unheard valuations is depriving the market of the liquidity that should be available at such dizzy heights and valuations. Foreigners or FPI’s have been aggressive sellers and even on Thursday they have net sold Rs 4,000 crs of stock. The delivery volume on Paytm was in the region of Rs 1,833 crs and one could safely assume that at least half of that would have been bought by FPI’s. Even then, this sale figure is large and therefore disturbing.

The week ahead sees November NIFTY futures expire on Thursday the 25th. With the fall last week, NIFTY futures are now negative and are down 92.45 points or 0.52% for the series. While the number is insignificant with four trading sessions to go, it would put pressure on the bulls and surely the bears having an upper hand after a long time would not like to give in. It would be an interesting battle in the coming four days.

In terms of covid-19, parts of Europe are under pressure with Austria imposing a complete lockdown and Germany contemplating tough measures. In India, the vaccination drive is continuing and we have seen a total of 116.90 crs vaccinations, with 76.74 crs being the first shot and 40.16 crs being fully vaccinated. The numbers have been increasing and the earlier complacency towards vaccination seems to be reducing.

Coming to the markets in the week ahead, expiry being four days away would ensure that markets are volatile. We have been under pressure and as mentioned earlier, FII or FPI have been net sellers. There are reports about the stiff valuations that markets are currently trading at and a combination of net selling and overheating would ensure that our markets go nowhere. Every now and then they would bounce but rallies would be fewer and far between.

The strategy would be to buy on sharp dips in large cap stocks and sell on rallies. Keep cash on the side and reduce exposure from midcap and Smallcap stocks.

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