Markets to Trade with a Positive Bias

Markets behaved during the week gone by on expected lines. It was volatile and choppy and we saw gains on Monday and Friday. The remaining three days in between were days of correction with a mini selloff on Thursday. At the end of the week, BSESENSEX gained 619.07 points or 1.03% to close at 60,686.69 points while NIFTY gained 185.95 points or 1.04% to close at 18,102.75 points. The broader indices like the BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 saw them gain 1.26%, 1.32% and 1.33% respectively. BSEMIDCAP gained 1.45% and BSESMALLCAP gained 1.15% respectively.

The Indian Rupee was fairly range bound and gained 2 paisa or 0.03% to close at Rs 74.44 to the US Dollar. Dow Jones opened with a bang and made new lifetime highs on an intraday basis and closing basis on Monday and then slipped to close with losses of 227.64 points or 0.63% at 36,100.31 points. The intraday high was 36,566 points while the closing high was 36,432.22 points.

In news during the week, RBI and the government held discussions about crypto currency and have decided to bring legislation about it in the coming Winter session of parliament.

The microfinance sector was in the news with two listed entities in the forefront. The first was the scathing letter written by the recently resigned Managing Director of Spandana Sphoorty Limited, Mrs Padmaja Gangireddy against the alleged wrong doings in the company by the largest shareholder who is a Private Equity Investor. This letter has been widely circulated and has found its way to RBI as well. The second bank in the news was the subsidiary of Indus Ind Bank, Bharat Inclusion where a whistle blower complaint has been doing the rounds about evergreening of accounts. Shares of Indus Ind bank have fallen by Rs 152 or 12.74% during the week to Rs 1,189. Spandana Sphoorty shares were also under pressure.

What makes the plot interesting, is the fact that Spandana is to appoint a new Managing Director and CEO post the resignation, and the person being talked about is the person who is named in the whistle blower complaint. The matter is becoming interesting and will be keenly watched.

In primary markets, there were three issues which were open for subscription and closed during the week. Further, two issues listed during the week as well. In the week ahead there would be two issues opening for subscription, and Monday would see three issues list on the bourses followed by Paytm listing on Thursday.

The issue from Paytm which is India’s largest fundraiser ever with an issue size of Rs 18,300 crs received a tepid response and was subscribed 1.95 times. The QIB portion was subscribed 2.88 times, HNI portion remained undersubscribed at a mere 0.25 times and Retail was subscribed 1.72 times. There were 14.40 lac applications and this number is disappointing as the retail portion has seen applications in the 35-39 lac number in recent issues which have done well.

The issue from Sapphire Foods Limited was subscribed 6.45 times overall with QIB portion subscribed 7.5 times, HNI portion subscribed 3.46 times, Retail portion was subscribed 7.76 times. There were 9.87 lac applications in all. The issue received response which was lower than expectations considering that in August when a similar issue from Devyani International was subscribed 116 times. Incidentally both Sapphire Foods and Devyani International are franchisees for Yum Foods who sell KFC and Pizza Hut.

The final issue was from Latent View Analytics Limited which was subscribed 338.51 times and created a new record for being the highest subscribed issue. The company which had tapped the capital markets with its issue to raise Rs 600 crs raised Rs 1.13 lac crs. The QIB portion was subscribed 150.8 times, HNI portion was subscribed 881.96 times and Retail portion was subscribed 123.83 times and Employee portion was subscribed 4.03 times. There were 37.61 lac applications and on basis of lots the retail portion was subscribed 94.91 times.

The first issue to list was from FSN E-commerce Ventures Limited, the owners of the brand Nykaa. The company had a blockbuster listing with shares gaining over 96% on day one. Shares which were issued at Rs 1,125 closed day one at Rs 2,206.70, a gain of Rs 1,081.70 or 96.15%.

The second issue to list was Fino Payments Bank Limited which closed day one with losses of Rs 31.75 or 5.50% at Rs 545.25. The issue price was Rs 577.

The week ahead would see three listings on Monday the 15th of November. They are PB Fintech, SJS Enterprises and Sigachi Industries Limited. Shares of Paytm the brand which is owned by One 97 Communications Limited would list on Thursday the 18th of November. There is no buzz about this issue and fortunately or unfortunately there is no grey market buzz as well. There are no leveraged HNI’s who have applied for the issue. Without support from QIB’s this issue could be a sitting duck for disaster on listing day. What could be done to save the day for the company is that collectively QIB’s buy for delivery a minimum of 2 cr shares on listing day, as per market sources.

The first issue opening for subscription in the coming week is from Tarsons Limited which is tapping the markets with its fresh issue for Rs 150 crs and an offer for sale of 1.32 cr shares in a price band of Rs 635-662. The EPS for the year ended March 2021 was Rs 13.43 and the PE multiple is a steep 47.28-49.29 times its March 2021 earnings. The company is in the business of manufacturing and supplying plastic labware used by diagnostic companies, pharma companies and research institutions. A good comparable for the company in the listed space is Poly Medicure Limited. The current market mood would ensure that the issue is well received but the proof of the pudding would be post-listing and its subsequent sustainability of prices.

On the vaccination front, a total of 112.38 cr vaccinations have been done with 75.30 cr having received the first vaccination and 37.07 cr having received both vaccinations.

The week ahead has an extended weekend with Friday being a holiday. Markets saw reasonably sharp gains on Monday followed by correction and some sort of a sell-off on Thursday before rebounding on Friday. Dow Jones though negative for the week, saw markets gaining on Friday. Markets in the coming week would see volatility and two-sided movements. Use sharp dips to buy large cap stocks and rallies to sell. While an immediate short-term bottom may have been made, we have quite a few resistances at close levels which could cause sharp corrections as well. Spate of new issues and their listing would impact market sentiments. Finally, FPI’s net selling if it continues could affect markets.

Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 12th November 2021

Name Date of Listing Issue Price Closing Price Closing Price % Gain Loss % Change Over
      121121 041121 Over Week lssue Price
Glenmark Life Sciences Limited 6th August 720.00 645.95 630.90 2.39 -10.28
Rolex Rings Limited 9th August 900.00 1161.75 1184.45 -1.92 29.08
Devyani International Limited 16th August 90.00 160.55 146.55 9.55 78.39
Krsnaa Diagnostics Limited 16th August 954.00 689.60 672.90 2.48 -27.71
Windlas Biotech Limited 16th August 460.00 301.65 310.95 -2.99/td> -34.42
Exxaro Tiles Limited 16th August 120.00 146.45 149.95 -2.33 22.04
Car Trade Tech Limited 20th August 1618.00 1116.35 1166.25 -4.28 -31.00
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited 23rd August 570.00 514.50 539.05 -4.55 -9.74
Aptus Value Housing Finance India Ltd 24th August 353.00 358.45 347.65 3.11 1.54
Chemplast Sanmar Limited 24th August 541.00 653.00 671.00 -2.68 20.70
Vijaya Diagnostic Centre Limited 14th September 531.00 565.40 559.70 1.02 6.48
Ami Organics Limited 14th September 610.00 1018.00 1057.00 -3.69 66.89
Sansera Engineering Limited 24th September 744.00 819.90 733.00 11.86 10.20
Paras Defence & Space Technologies 1st October 175.00 788.70 815.10 -3.24 350.69
Aditya Birla Sunlife AMC Limited 11th October 712.00 620.60 647.60 -4.17 -12.84
FSN-Ecommerce Ventures 10th November 1125.00 2358.90 NA 109.68 109.68
Fino Payments Bank 12th November 577.00 545.25 NA -5.50 -5.50

FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited – Lists with Gains Of 96%

FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited, owners of the popular cosmetics and fashion brand Nykaa had tapped the capital markets with its fresh issue for Rs 630 crs and an offer for sale of 4,19,72,660 equity shares in a price band of Rs 1,085 to Rs 1,125 listed on the bourses. The discovered price on BSE was Rs 2,001 at which price 3,69,726 shares were traded. On NSE, the discovered price was Rs 2,018 at which price 68,50,891 shares were traded. Approximately 72.2 lac shares were traded at the discovered price on the two exchanges combined.

Earlier the company had completed allocation to anchor investors. The company allotted 2,12,96,397 equity shares at the top end of the price band of Rs 1,125 to 174 entities. One-third of the total allocation has been made to 21 mutual funds, through a total of 93 schemes. In what has become a standard practice amongst such large issues, there was a source-based story in the newspapers that said the anchor book was subscribed around 40 times. What was finally reported on the basis of the allotment advertisement released by the company was a disappointing 1.0375 times. There were 174 applications and the number of equity shares applied was 2,20,95,348 shares. The allotment was to the tune of 2,12,96,397 shares. It’s time the regulator looked into this issue and stopped creating unnecessary hype and euphoria by such bogus source-based stories. The same ploy was used in the case of the Zomato Limited issue.

The issue had opened on Thursday the 28th of October and closed on Monday the 1st of November. The size of the issue at the top end of the price band was Rs 5,351.92 crs. Earlier the company completed allocation to anchor investors.

The issue was subscribed 82.47 times. The QIB portion was subscribed 92.17 times, the HNI portion was subscribed 112.51 times, the Retail portion was subscribed 12.29 times and the Employee reservation was subscribed 1.88 times. There were 35.70 lac applications. The cost of funding which has doubled in the present list of primary issuances from 6.5% to 13% is Rs 360 per share. Opportunism at its best or worst and each person trying to extract its pound of flesh.

The high of the day on BSE was Rs 2,248.10, the low was Rs 1,994.10 and the close was Rs 2,206.70. The gain was Rs 1,081.70 or 96.15%. On NSE, the high of the day was Rs 2,248, the low was Rs 2,000 and the close was Rs 2,205.80 a gain of Rs 1,080.80 or 96.07%.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/ Loss Wt.Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 2001.00 2248.10 1994.10 2206.70 1081.70 96.15 2089.11 1621322 692511 42.71
NSE 2018.00 2248.00 2000.00 2205.80 1080.80 96.07 2089.55 34324631 17727629 51.65
Total 35945953 18420140 51.24

The traded volume on the two exchanges combined was 85.56 lac shares which was 0.76 times the IPO size of 475.75 lac shares and 1.37 times the non-anchor portion of 262.79lac shares. Delivery volume was 184.20 lac shares which were 51.24% of the traded volume. It was 38.72% of the issue size and 70.09% of the non-anchor portion. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 2089.11 on BSE and Rs 2089.55 on NSE.

In terms of institutional trade, none were reported on either BSE or NSE.

The issue has performed beyond expectation and all successful applicants have made a killing.

Further with the deadline of RBI of 1st April 2022 on HNI borrowing of Rs 1 cr per individual looming large, it would be interesting to see whether the merchant banking community comes up with new alternatives for funding.

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