Bandhan Bank Limited – Makes a dream Debut – gains over 27%

Shares of Bandhan Bank Limited listed on the BSE and NSE and had a great debut. The company had a listing ceremony at the BSE as well. The company had tapped the capital markets with its simultaneous offer. The company had issued 9,76,63,910 new shares and sold 1,40,50,780 shares through the offer for sale route. The price band was Rs 370-375.

It had earlier allotted 3,57,84,147 shares to 65 anchor investors comprising of 94 entities. The issue was valued at a price earnings multiple of 36.45 to to 36.95 times based on March 2017 earnings of Rs 10.15. The price to book was even more at 9.23 times based on the NAV of Rs 40.60.
The issue was subscribed38.67 times by QIB’s, 13.89 times by HNI’s and 1.20 times by retail. There were 10,81,506 applications received in the issue. On the basis of number of applications received the issue is subscribed 1.03 times in the retail category.
The discovered price on the BSE was Rs 485 while it was Rs 499 on the NSE. The traded volume at the discovered price was 25.47 lakhs at the BSE and 204.55 lakh shares at the NSE. The high of the day was Rs 498.40 on the BSE while it remained the discovered price of Rs 499 on the NSE. The low of the day was an identical Rs 455 on both the BSE and NSE. The close was Rs 477.20 on the BSE and Rs 476.85 on the NSE.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/ Loss Wt.Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 485.00 498.40 455.00 477.20 102.20 27.25 477.74 13907287 6285467 45.20
NSE 499.00 499.00 455.00 476.85 101.85 27.16 482.06 91036634 43942456 48.27
Total 104943921 50227923 47.86

The traded volume was a massive 1049.43 lakh shares which was 93.94% of the IPO size of 1171.14 lakh shares. The delivery volume was 502.27 lakh shares which was 47.86% of the traded volume and 44.96% of the IPO size. Huge by any standard. If one considers the non-anchor portion the traded volume was 138.21% and delivery percentage 66.15%. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 477.74 and Rs 482.06 respectively. The close was Rs 477.20 and Rs 476.85, marginally below the weighted average. The gain, 27.25% on the BSE and 27.16% on the NSE.

While delivery volumes of over 502 lakhs were recorded, there was just one institutional trade reported in the bulk trade. Nomura India bought 83.34 lakh shares on the NSE at an average of Rs 478.76. The issue was expensive and HNI’s lapped it up because there was grey market active. Of the over half a dozen shares open at the same time, this was the only one which had a grey market. The cost of funding for the leveraged investor was about 43 paisa per time or Rs 6 per share. Initial indications suggested that the unofficial market was quoting around 4 times this cost, suggesting that the HNI would make a killing. Indeed, he did and made about 16 times his cost of funding and rounded of 2017-2018 on a great note for himself.

A great start to the listed life of Bandhan Bank Limited. It needs to deliver on numbers quarter after quarter form here on.

Trade Wars versus LTCG – Which Was More Lethal?

It was a tough week at the bourses and the feeble recovery that markets tried to make just did not materialise. BSESENSEX lost 579.46 points or 1.78% to close at 32,596.54 points. NIFTY lost 197.10 points or 1.97% to close at 9,998.05 points. Dow Jones was at the receiving end of the trade wars which have begun and sank 1,413.31 points or 6.01% to close at 23,533.20 points.

What is important to note is that the tops were made in India and the US on the same day, Monday the 29th of January 2018. Budget day was later on 1st February. Markets have been on a downward trajectory since then. While BSESENSEX and NIFTY have lost 11.80% and 11.74% from their highs of 29th January while Dow has lost 13.10% from the same date. Not sure whether it is concerns of US or LTCG as markets are global and tend to follow each other. Also, the difference in LTCG is choosing 12 months lock in to save 5% or being free and paying the normal 15% against the concessional 10%.

The US FED has raised interest rates by 25 basis points and indicated that 3 to 4 more could be on their way in the remaining nine months of the calendar year 2018.

Primary markets saw six issues open during the week. The next issue was from auto component makes Sandhar Technologies Limited which was subscribed 6.19 times. QIB portion was subscribed 14.49 times, HNI 6.39 times and Retail 1.42 times. Special alloy maker from the PSU, Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited was subscribed 1.21 times with QIB portion subscribed 1.96 times. The others were undersubscribed at HNI 0.12 times, Retail 0.72 times and Employee 0.26 times. The final issue was from real estate player Karda Constructions from Nasik in Maharashtra. The issue was subscribed 2.54 times with QIB subscribed 1.55 times, HNI portion subscribed 3.44 times and Retail 2.01 times.

The issue from Bharat Dynamics Limited last Friday. Shares were issued at Rs 428 with a discount of Rs 10 to retail investors and eligible employees. After a discovered price of Rs 360 and Rs 370 on the BSE and NSE respectively, the share closed at Rs 390.70 and Rs 389.80, closing with losses of 8.71% and 8.93% respectively. While the secondary market took a beating on Friday, the poor volumes indicate that there could be further weakness ahead.

The issue from ICICI Securities is currently on and would close on Monday the 26th of March.

The last issue in this March madness opens on Monday the 26th of March and closes on Wednesday the 28th of March. The offer for sale from Lemon Tree Hotels Limited is for 9,45,00,053 shares in a price band of Rs 54 to Rs 56. The company has made a net profit after tax on a consolidated basis only in the nine-month period ended December 2017. The price earnings multiple based on standalone results for year ended March 2017 is between 771.43 to 800 times its earnings per share of Rs 0.07. If one were to consider the book value or NAV it is at Rs 15.66 for December 2017 which values the company at 3.57 times. Indian Hotels is available at a price to book of 3.70 times and is a company having a track record of god alone knows how many decades. Clearly the companies are not comparable and valuations such that there is nothing left on the table for the investor.

A strange development has happened with a SME which was IPO bound, Deccan Healthcare. It had a press conference on Friday the 23rd of March for the issue which was to open on Wednesday the 28th of March and that same evening it withdrew the RHP. Seems strange and one wonders whether it has anything to do with the poor response of issues on listing these days. It could also be the flirting of investors or honeymoon period of HNI’s and SME may have got over.

March Futures expire on Wednesday 28th March. The current value of NIFTY futures is lower by 384.65 points or 3.85%, giving bears the upper hand. With three days to expiry and year end, it is difficult to imagine that bulls could stage a turn around. Markets have a trading holiday on Thursday and Friday in the coming week. It therefore makes sense to look for buying opportunities.

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited – Completes Anchor Allocation

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited which is tapping the capital markets with its offer for sale of 9,45,00,053 in a price band of Rs 54-56 completed allocation to anchor investors. The issue opens on Monday the 26th of March and closes on Wednesday the 28th of March.

The company allocated 5,56,43,820 equity shares to 18 anchor investors comprising of 20 entities. The highest allocation was made to SBI Mutual Fund of 1,15,84,740 equity shares which corresponds to 20.90% of the anchor allocation.

The issue is priced at a PE multiple of 771.43 – 800 times based on the standalone numbers for year ended March 2017. If one were to consider the NAV method or book value method it is at 3.57 times its consolidated book value of 15.66 as of 31st December 2017. This is in comparison to Indian Hotels Company which is available at 3.70 times and is significantly bigger than Lemon Tree in terms of properties, rooms available and revenues.

Full details of the anchor allocation is given below: –

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