Prabhat Dairy Listing day – Share ends day one with 1% gains

Shares of Prabhat Dairy Limited were listed on the bourses on Monday. The company had a torrid time raising the equity that it had proposed. The original issue was for a simultaneous issue of fresh equity to raise Rs 300 crs and an offer for sale of 1,47,06,000 shares. The offer price was in a band of Rs 140-147. The markets took a beating and there was no anchor subscription. The issue received a tepid response and the price band was reduced substantially to Rs 115-126. There was also a discount of Rs 5 to retail investors. The issue at the above price band of Rs 140-147 would have raised Rs 506 -516 crs.

The subscription even after the reduced price was not enough to ensure a sold out issue and the offer for sale portion had to be reduced to technically close the issue. At final count the company allotted a total of 3,11,62,716 shares at Rs 115 and collected Rs 358.37 crs. The reduction in collection was a massive 148 crs or 29% of the original amount at the lower end of the price band. This entire reduction would have to be suffered by the selling shareholders as fresh issue of Rs 300 crs by the company had to be met first.

Coming to the listing day itself where the discovered price on the NSE was 113 and 6.68 lac shares were traded at that time. The discovered price on BSE was Rs 115 and 1.69 lac shares were traded. At the end of the day the treaded shares on the BSE were 22.25 lacs and on the NSE 65.53 lac shares. The total traded shares at 87.79 lacs was 28.17% of the allotted shares. The delivery volume on day one was 32.08 lac shares which was 36.55% of the traded shares and 10.29% of the issue size. The issue managed to eke out gains on day one and close above par. The share closed at Rs 116.35 or 1.31% higher at BSE and Rs 115.95 or 0.92% higher at the NSE. Delivery data showed that one institutional investor bought 11,92,913 shares at a rate of Rs 117.02 on the NSE. There was no other name disclosed.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery  Del %age
BSE 115.00 120.00 112.40 116.35 1.35 1.31 116.86 2225951 740314 33.26
NSE 113.00 119.95 112.00 115.95 0.95 0.92 116.93 6553152 2468053 37.66
Total 8779103 3208367 36.55

This was the last of the five back to back IPO’s which came in the second fortnight of August. There have been no issues after this and though the pipeline is strong it appears people are waiting for the right time so that they may price the issue accordingly. Prabhat Dairy Limited survived the first day and retail investors earned the entire Rs 5 discount offered to them. There were a total of 33,403 applicants who were allotted 43,81,290 shares or an average of 131 shares.

The market needs one bumper issue where all investors make money on listing before all other sins of earlier issues will be forgotten. Which will be that issue is the million dollar question? Till then pricing will be less aggressive that what has been seen.

With Fed over now it’s over to RBI

The FED met and did the inevitable – postponed the decision to the next meeting. Janet Yellen the chairperson decided to keep rates unchanged and the underlying thought behind her decision was China. What this means is that the guessing game would begin in four weeks’ time when FED meets in end October. Markets rose sharply immediately after the decision but soon thereafter lost ground and closed with losses on Thursday and Friday. The world markets rallied on Friday initially in Asia but Europe and Americas were weak.

Raghuram Rajan addressed a CII meet on Friday and gave his impression about the timing of rate cuts and the example of a ‘BRICS’ country Brazil. The example was uncanny and scary. The FM and his deputy too were clamouring for rate cuts but post Raghuram Rajan’s speech in Mumbai, the tone has changed completely. Rate cut has been left on RBI and it is a mere request now.

Our markets on Friday simply took off but seemed to have a correction half way through giving up more than half the intraday gains. Was it the realisation that rate cut may or may not happen or was it that there were no more short positions left to close out, one will never know. The fact remains that the rally was too swift to sustain and that is exactly what happened.

The last of the IPO’s to list would do so on Monday when Prabhat Dairy Limited lists. The company had initially set out to issue shares in a price band of Rs 140-147 which was revised downwards to Rs 115-126 and even then was not fully subscribed. The offer for sale portion was pruned and the issue closed. A total of 3,11,62,716 shares have been allotted at Rs 115 which means that the company has raised a total of Rs 358.37 crs from the issue. Retail investors have been given a discount of Rs 5 per share and there were a total of 33,403 applicants in the retail category.

The week has a holiday on Friday and this would therefore be a four day week. RBI meets on Tuesday the 29th September for its review meeting which makes effectively the meet a mere six trading days away. RBI and the rate cut to be or not to be will be the key driver in the coming week. Besides this global cues, China and what is likely in Greece which goes to polls at the end of the week will keep markets busy. Super volatility and virtually directionless at the end of the week on a net basis is how I would like to sum up the market going ahead. The gains of the previous week are likely to be squandered in the coming week. Trade cautiously.

Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 18th September 2015

Name Date of listing Issue Price closing price closing price % gain loss change over
18th September 11th September over week lssue price
Manpasand Beverages Limited 9th July 320.00 437.80 385.80 16.25 36.81
Syngene International Limited 11th August 250.00 323.80 328.90 -2.04 29.52
Power Mech Engineers Limited 26th August 640.00 567.50 579.00 -1.80 -11.33
Navkar Corporation Limited 9th September 155.00 163.80 163.00 0.52 5.68
Pennar Engineered Building Systems Ltd 10th September 178.00 166.95 165.35 0.90 -6.21
Shree Pushkar Chem & Fert Ltd 10th September 65.00 61.45 66.10 -7.15 -5.46
Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited 16th September 103.00 105.60 N A 2.52 2.52
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