PNC Infratech Limited –Completes Anchor Allocation

PNC Infratech Limited (PNC) which is tapping the capital markets with its primary offer for fresh issue and an offer for sale completed its allocation to anchor investors. The price band of the issue is Rs 355-378 and the allocation to investors was at the top end of the band. A total of 38,61,511 equity shares were allocated to 9 anchor investors comprising of 24 entities. The company would be raising Rs145.96 crs from the allocation.

The list comprises of leading names such as Reliance. Kotak, L&T, Goldman Sachs, Birla Sunlife, HDFC and DSP Blackrock. The full list of allotment is given below. The company has raised the amount in tough conditions when in the last two days the benchmark indices have fallen by three percent and general market conditions have been quite adverse. The confidence of the anchors should act as a booster in an otherwise lacklustre enthusiasm for the issue so far.

MEP Infrastructure Developers Limited–Share debuts at a loss of over 3%

Shares of MEP Infrastructure Developers Limited listed on the bourses yesterday amid a day of carnage in the markets. The benchmark indices recorded losses in excess of % on the day on account of concerns of MAT. In such a situation one could say with volumes of half the issue size on day one, the company has managed to hold on and survive what could otherwise have become a disaster.

From data of bulk deal from the exchanges there is one seller in the form of Credit Suisse who sold 16.60 lakh shares at an average price of Rs 62.71. This is more or less at cost and could be termed as an exit at virtually the issue price.

Exchange  Open  High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery  Del %age
BSE 63.50 63.50 55.45 60.95 -2.05 -3.25 60.47 8949853 3777518 42.21
NSE 65.00 65.00 52.80 58.40 -4.60 -7.30 60.15 17012497 4818054 28.32
Total 25962350 8595572 33.11

The traded volume shows that 259.62 lac shares were traded on the BSE and NSE combined which is effectively half the issue size of approximately 5.11 cr shares. The delivery as a percentage of traded quantity was 33.11% and the shares delivered to the issue size is roughly 16.82%.

The timing of the listing day could not have been worse and probably if the share survives any major damage from here in the next couple of days, there could be some revival in price with the rest of the market which is poised to gain after being in extremely oversold zones.

The closing price on the BSE was Rs60.95, a loss of Rs 2.05 or 3.25% while on the NSE it was Rs 58.40, a loss of Rs 4.60 or 7.30%. The interesting part is the weighted average which was at Rs 60.47 on the BSE and Rs 60.15 on the NSE. The huge difference in price between the BSE and NSE is the sharp fall on the NSE in the last 45 minutes of trade when the price fell from Rs 61.30 to Rs 57 before the weighted average adjusted price came to Rs 58.40. On the BSE there was a similar fall but some short covering and comparatively lower volumes saw the closing price at a higher Rs 60.95.

In conclusion oner more IPO, and one more listing with anet result of things could have been worse.

Stray thoughts in the new series of May 2015

April series expired on a negative note but the month consisted of very sharp moves both upwards and downwards. It’s one of those months where both bulls and bears made money and also one where neither bulls nor bears made money. If you held on to your position for the duration of the month you hardly made anything but if you were a day trader you had opportunities both sides provided you were nimble footed.

FII’s turned big sellers and the ‘MAT’ issue seems to be really upsetting them. With the matter in court there is only that much that the government can do and therefore the issue is hanging fire. There is a case slated for hearing in the Mumbai High Court on Wednesday the 6th of May and one hopes that there is some clarity post this matter and the pounding of our markets stop.
In the primary market Friday saw the listing of a very successful IPO VRL Logistics Limited. The shares of this company were sold at Rs 205 and was oversubscribed by HNI’s some 250 times. There is an anomaly in the way subscription is happening. HNI’s and QIB’s rightly or wrongly are allowed to subscribe upto one time of the entire issue. This category of investors borrow money at margins as low as 1% and apply for the issue. For example an HNI wanting to subscribe to the entire issue of VRL needs to give upfront a cheque of roughly Rs 4.70 crs for subscribing to one time of the entire book.

In this issue there were 11 applications in the HNI category who subscribed cumulatively for 17,31,13,330 shares or 17.31 cr shares which corresponds to over 50 times the HNI book and 7.58 times the entire book. This is certainly over inflating the demand and causing a lumpy book which does not give the correct picture of demand. With multiple people applying in high numbers and all using the same leverage formula, the share needs to list at a price substantially higher than the issue price to first cover the cost of funding and then leave some profit for investors. When that does not happen and the share on listing day starts trading at below cost, the share crashes. Some examples of this were MOIL and Punjab & Sind Bank.

One hopes that the regulator SEBI is looking into this rampant distortion of demand and taking some corrective action at the earliest to restore sanity to the markets.
Parliament is likely to take up the contentious bills for discussion in the current week. If they get eventually passed it would send positive signal to the world that India means business. The handling of opposition parties would be the key to passing these bills and it appears that the support of the two parties from UP, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu would be the key to decide how these bills are passed.

Results for the quarter are not upto the mark and have aided in the correction. Markets would look for cues for rallies in the coming week from Parliament and some global cues.
Trade cautiously and use dips to invest into the market.

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