Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 17th April 2015

Name Date of listing Issue Price closing price closing price % gain loss change over
17th April 10th April over week lssue price
Monte Carlo Fashion Limited 19th December 645.00 545.00 557.60 -1.95 -15.50
Otel Communications Limited 19th March 181.00 173.00 156.00 9.39 -4.42
Adlabs Entertainment Limited 6th April 180.00 167.50 177.65 -6.94 -6.94
Inox Wind Energy Limited 9th April 325.00 473.75 438.45 45.77 45.77

 

VRL Logistics Limited

VRL Logistics Limited (VRL) is tapping the capital markets with its fresh issue and offer for sale which had opened on Wednesday and closes today Friday the 17th April. The issue would raise between Rs 450 and Rs 477 crs in a price band of Rs 195-205. The Anchor book was oversubscribed and were allotted 68.47 lac shares at the top end of the band at Rs 205. The issue with today being the last day is oversubscribed 1.94 times with QIB 1.27, HNI 1.82 and Retail 2.38 times.

Total issue size in shares 2,31,16,000 Equity Shares at the lower end of the band to 2,28,23,317 at the upper band
QIB’s 1,15,58,000 Equity Shares at lower to 1,14,11,659 Equity Shares at upper band
Non Institutional Investors 34,67,400 Equity Shares at lower to 34,23,498 Equity Shares at upper band
Retail Investors 80,90,600 Equity Shares at lower to 79,88,161 Equity Shares at upper band
Book Running Lead Managers ICICI Securities Limited
HSBC Securities & Capital Markets (Jndia) Private Limited
Isssue Opening Date Wednesday 15th April
Isssue  closing date  Friday 17th April
Anchor Investors Alloted 68,46,994 equity Shares at Rs 205
Paid -up Capital Pre IPO 8,55,36,162 Equity Shares 
Paid -up Capital Post IPO 9,15,36,162 Equity Shares at lower band to 9,12,43,479 at higher band 
Market Cap pre listing Rs 1,667.96 crs at the lower end and Rs 1,753.49 crs at the upper end 
Market Cap post listing Rs 1,784.96 crs at the lower end and Rs 1,870.49 crs at the upper end 
Bid Lot 65 Equity Shares
Bidding Amount for Retail 975 Equity shares at Rs 205 or Rs 199,875 per application
ONE LOT APPLICATION The issue will be subscribed on lot basis hence apply 65 shares paying Rs 13,325
Application srequired for retail You need 1,22,894 application of 65 shares each to subscribe retail portion once

Business
VRL is a pan-India transport company providing parcel delivery service across the country. The company provides full truck load, less than truck load services across 28 states and 4 union territories. VRL also operates luxury bus services across 8 states which include Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telengana, Maharashtra, Goa, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Rajasthan. The company focuses on heavy density urban cities like Mumbai, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Pune and Panjim and owns currently 455 buses of which 53 are staff buses.

In the transport section the company has 3,546 vehicles as of 31st
December and it featured in the Limca book of records for the largest fleet of owned trucks 2013 as of May 2013. Incidentally the very same Limca book for the year 2015 states the largest fleet owner as SVLL (Siddhi Vinayak Logistics Limited, a company based out of Navi Mumbai having over 6,737 trucks as of 16th April 2014.

Its immaterial who owns the record but owning and managing over 3,500 trucks and that too profitably is a mammoth job by itself. The word ‘logistics’ in the stock market denotes end to end solution and rising up the value chain. VRL is a vanilla transporter in that sense of the word and this is further borne out of the fact that less than 1% of its turnover comes from a single client. It is a true transport company which would have millions of customers using the services for transporting goods from one corner of the country to the whole country and vice versa.

Financials
The revenue of VRL on a consolidated basis has grown from Rs 1,135 crs in year ended March 2012 to Rs 1,355 in March13, to Rs 1,503 crs in March 14 and Rs 1,279 crs in the nine month period ended December 2014. The net profit for the same period was Rs 76.7 crs, which fell to Rs 45.7 crs, rose to Rs 57.1 crs and was Rs 71.7 crs for the nine month period ended December at Rs 71.7 crs. If one were to annualise the same expected net profit for the year ended March 2015 would be Rs 95.6 crs.

Revenue from Operations
Revenue from Operations 12738.07 14937.84 13254.97 11303.83
Other income 55.73 99.93 98.27 48.95
Total Revenue 12793.80 15037.77 13353.24 11352.78
Expenses
Operating Expenses 8990.74 10911.73 9626.49 7911.18
Employee Benefits expense 1456.79 1744.59 1482.55 1289.19
Finance Costs 449.89 599.13 591.23 651.42
Depriciation and Amortisation Expenses 691.75 866.16 823.37 695.98
Other expenses 151.36 215.76 193.71 184.37
Total Expenses 11740.53 14337.37 12717.35 10732.14
Profit before Exceptional item and Tax 1053.27 700.40 635.89 620.64
Add Exceptional Item 0.00 66.37 0.00 0.00
Profit Before Tax 1053.27 766.77 635.89 620.64
Current Tax net of MAT credit 332.26 137.37 95.34 83.95
Deferred tax  4.11 57.64 83.52 -230.53
Profit for the period/year 716.90 571.76 457.03 767.22

The EPS for the year ended March 2014 was Rs 6.68 and for the nine months ended December 2014 was Rs8.38. On the annualised basis and fully diluted equity post the IPO the same would be Rs10.42 at the lower band and Rs10.45 at the upper band. This would translate into a P.E. of 18.66 and 19.68

Risks/Concerns

The average age of the fleet owned by VRL is just under nine years. The fleet needs to be replaced and increased in size as well. To this extent they need to add a larger number of vehicles than what they have been doing so far. The capex on vehicle addition would thus stand increased. Secondly the company being a vanilla transport company lacks pricing power and has therefore to content with rising costs on a regular basis. While they have managed to combat this by in house development on so many fronts like systems, technology, direct purchase of vehicles and tyres from manufacturers and so on, margins would always remain under pressure.

The issue is priced a little aggressively and there would be some scope for appreciation based on the addition in fleet that the company has planned in the coming years. The issue is already subscribed and allotment in the retail category would be on the basis of lottery.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I intend to apply for one lot for retail investors.

A week at the markets

The week gone by had a little of everything for everybody. There was political news, corporate action, primary market news and what have you. The net result was that the markets saw the benchmark indices gain 2.2% while the broader indices like the BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 gained between 2.5% and 2.6% while the BSEMIDCAP gained 3.19% and the real star BSESMALLCAP was up a staggering 6.28%.

RBI at its monetary policy review meet on expected lines kept rates unchanged. The Prime Minister launched the “MUDRA Bank” with a corpus of Rs 20,000 crs for the MSME segment. Further on his visit to France signed an agreement for the much delayed Rafale agreement with the French government for purchase of 36 aircraft to be delivered within two years and further aircraft to be negotiated under the ‘Make in India’ programme. These aircrafts and the negotiation would put India and the PM a few notches higher.

The primary market saw the listing of Adlabs Entertainment and Inox Wind Energy. Adlabs Entertainment is struggling to remain afloat above the issue price of Rs 180 and closed on Friday at Rs 177.65. The share had seen volatile movement on listing day where the discovered price was Rs 162 a discount of 10% to the issue price. Thereafter it made a low of Rs 156.40 and then a high of Rs 199 before closing at Rs 191.25. Since Monday when the share listed, its been slipping and closed the week at Rs177.65.

The other listing was Inox Wind Energy Limited. This was a rocking listing and probably it got the energy from wind with the share gaining over 34%. All investors have made money in the share and one hopes and prays that the success of this issue should not be taken as a benchmark for aggressive pricing looking at the returns.

There was an OFS from the government who sold 5% in REC with a floor price of Rs 315. The cut-off for the share for retail who were entitled to a 5% discount was Rs 333.30 indicating that if the sale of shares is widely known, retail will p[participate. NSE still has an irritant where they are insisting for 100% upfront cash or cash equivalent while BSE has in its circular mentioned 100% margin. The difference is in the response. Insiders say that NSE does not have adequate software to address this issue. If indeed this is the problem why it is not being addressed is by itself a mystery.

An IPO from VRL Logistics opens this week with the Anchor book on Monday and the issue open between Wednesday and Friday. The issue consists of a fresh issue of Rs 117 crs and an offer for sale of 1.71 cr shares in a price band of Rs 195-205. The issue would raise Rs 450-467 crs. The shares are being offered at a PE of 18.62-19.58 based on nine months ending December 2014 earnings on an annualised basis. The company had earned a net profit of Rs 71.69 crs in period ended December 2014 and Rs 57.17 crs for the year ended March 2014.

The company law board has announced the ratio for merger of NSEL with its parent Financial Technologies Limited as eight shares of NSEL for three shares of FT.

The week ahead has a trading holiday on Tuesday and would therefore see heightened activity on the remaining three days of the week. Results for the quarter ending March and year ending are yet to kick in full earnest and would happen next week onwards. The sharp movement in smallcap stocks and the sharp rise in Reliance shares should act as a sixth sense warning for street smart players.

See you next week/

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