Just Dial Limited– Great Listing, share closes with gains of 15%

Just Dial Limited which had tapped the capital markets with its offer for sale listed today on the NSE and BSE. The company had a flying start and closed with gains of over 15%. The offer for sale was in a price band of Rs 470-543 and was issued at Rs 530. There was a discount of Rs 47 for retail investors.

The issue had a few firsts about it. The retail discount was Rs 47 or 10% at the floor price and 8.86% at the issue price. This is the highest discount given to retail. Secondly the company’s promoters had to offer a safety net to retail investors and also deposit the entire amount upfront in an escrow account. Thirdly the QIB portion was 75% and the only reason why the company chose to do so was because it did not want to give a higher allocation to retail and therefore block a higher amount in the safety net.

The good part is that the regulator has been able to achieve the twin objective of ensuring that the primary market issue does not fall flat on its face post the listing as has been the case so far with more than 3/4th of the issues trading at a discount, and secondly ensured that retail investors make money post listing.

Looking at the first day’s success of Just Dial where everybody whether it be QIB’s, HNI’s or retail have all made money on day one. I believe this would be a case after a very long time that people across categories have made money. Even the mega issue from MCX which saw HNI category subscribed by some 150 times, only those people who sold in the beginning made money. Fortunately in the case of Just Dial it was not so and everybody has made money.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 590.00 631.90 589.00 611.45 81.45 15.37 611.46 4424860 1021582 23.09
NSE 590.00 631.90 581.15 612.35 82.35 15.54 611.48 7902123 3015202 38.16
Total               12326983 4036784 32.75

From the table above one can see that the weighted average of the day’s trade which was Rs 611.46 on the BSE was identical to the close of Rs 611.45. Similarly the weighted average on the NSE was Rs 611.48 which was marginally lower than the close of Rs 612.35. The volumes on the two exchanges combined were 123.27 lac shares which were 70.45% of the IPO size of 174.97 lac shares. The delivery volume on day one was 40.36 lac shares which was 32.75% of the traded volume and 23.07% of the IPO size.

The share has given decent returns to retail investors who have made Rs 128 based on the weighted average of the day’s trade. This translated into a decent 26% return for retail investors considering the discount. Without the discount the return is 15%.

After a really long timeI would be able to conclude that the listing has been a success and investors have made money post the issue. Let’s hope better sense prevails in the time to come.


Markets – Breakdown or Breakout this week?

Markets have become super volatile and it is becoming more and more difficult to gauge the mood and direction of the market. One does understand that the markets are being driven by the way FII’s trade, but inferences from there also are not clear.

Last week the markets gave us an example of how they behave and what volatility is. From the table below one can see that the net change in the SENSEX for the week was a mere 55.97 points while the net daily change was a massive 992.57 points. Similar levels for the NIFTY were a net change of 2.40 points and a weekly net daily change 292.50 points.

    SENSEX  
Date Cls level Prv Day Net Change
27th May 20030.77 19704.33 326.44
28th May 20160.82 20030.77 130.05
29th May 20147.64 20160.82 -13.18
30th May 20215.40 20147.64 67.76
31th May 19760.30 20215.40 -455.10
Total     992.53
    NIFTY  
Date Cls level Prv Day Net Change
27th May 6083.15 5983.55 99.60
28th May 6111.25 6083.15 28.10
29th May 6104.30 6111.25 -6.95
30th May 6124.05 6104.30 19.75
31th May 5985.95 6124.05 -138.10
Total     292.50

The movement one saw reflects the FII flows, GDP data which was at 4.8% for the fourth quarter 2012-13 and 5% for the year, the political situation and the global markets. The net weekly change in the markets should be viewed in context to the sharp fall in the previous week when the SENSEX fell 2.87% and the NIFTY fell 3.29%.

Coming to FII flows they were at around Rs 3,330 crs for the week. They were buyers for the first four days and turned sellers only on Friday. What is disturbing however is the fact that they have been net sellers for seven trading sessions in a row in the debt market and have pulled out Rs 6,200 crs. The Indian Rupee in the week has depreciated from Rs 55.66 to Rs 56.50. This rupee fall is cause for concern and even though crude prices have been soft, the advantage would now turn to negative because of the fall in the value of the rupee. At current levels one should expect further price hikes in the case of petrol and diesel in the coming weeks. Readers would remember that the prices were hiked from the midnight of 31st May.

In the course of the previous week’s movement the markets have made an inside day on the weekly chart with a long body indicating weakness. The markets need to make a decisive breakout or breakdown from here. The levels for the same are 5936 and 6229 on the NIFTY which are the intra week high and low for the week ended 24th May. Similar levels for the SENSEX are 19568 and 20443. We need a nudge to breakdown and have to climb a mountain to breakout.

Use rallies to exit long positions but expect a rebound before a fall.

Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 1st June 2013

Name Date of listing Issue Price closing  price closing price % gain loss change over
1st June 24th May over week lssue price
PC Jeweller 27th December 135.00 113.55 112.40 0.85 -15.89
Bharti Infratel Limited 28th December 220.00 170.45 173.75 -1.50 -22.52
V-Mart Retail Limited 20th February 210.00 129.95 136.00 -2.88 -38.12
Repco Home Finance Limited 1st April 172.00 215.10 216.05 -0.55 20.56

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