Taksheel Solutions IPO: Issue lists well but ends as a disaster, closes 62% down

 

Issue price of Rs 150 makes a low of Rs 38.50 before closing at Rs 55.85

Taksheel Solutions Limited, a Hyderabad based company in the IT space had tapped the capital markets with its issue for 55 lac shares in a price band of Rs 130-150. The issue was subscribed 2.99 times with the help of HNI’s and retail investors. The QIB portion remained undersubscribed and received bids for a mere 24% of the QIB portion. The share listed today on the BSE and NSE and opened at Rs 157.40 on the BSE and Rs 157 on the NSE. The high was Rs 185 on the BSE and Rs 184.30 on the NSE while the low was Rs 38.50 on the BSE and Rs 39.10 on the NSE. The close was Rs 55.85 on the BSE, a loss of Rs 94.15 or 62.77%, while on the NSE it was Rs 39.10, a loss of Rs 91.85 or 58.15%. It sure was a sad day for the company and its investors and has once again proved that fundamentals and proper pricing alone can ensure the success of an issue.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 157.40 185.00 38.50 55.85 -94.15 -62.77 114.60 37657126 2245724 5.96
NSE 157.00 184.30 39.10 58.15 -91.85 -61.23 114.76 53644144 2958606 5.52
Total 91301270 5204330 5.70

The issue for 55 lac shares was graded 2/5 by CARE and indicated poor fundamentals. There is talk that the share subscription was managed by friendly intermediaries and there were application forms which were bought at Rs 2000-2100 for Rs 2 lac retail application. The trading volume was very high and the volatility in the scrip simply unimaginable. The total traded volume was 913.01 lac shares which was 16.6 times the IPO size of 55 lac shares. The delivery volume was 52.04 lac shares which was 5.70% of the traded volume but a very significant 94.62% of the IPO size. This supports the argument that the fundamentals are weak and that help from friendly intermediaries was taken to ensure subscription.

The stock opened at Rs 157.40 on the BSE and at Rs 157 on the NSE and was under pressure right away. Over the next two hours the stock was under constant pressure and continued to lose ground. It had made a low of Rs 112.70 and then in the next half hour from 11.30 pm to 12 noon, the stock rose virtually in a 90 degree angle to touch the high of the day 185 on BSE and Rs 184.30 on the NSE. The volume in this period was indeed huge and on the NSE alone clocked 70.14 lacs. IF one were to divide the total turnover into half hour slots the average would have been 41.26 lac shares on the NSE against which the same was 70.14 lac shares. A rise from Rs 112 to Rs 184 just doesn’t happen, it is made to happen and all those who were short on the counter, surrendered. In the next half hour the price had again fallen and come down to Rs 121. Next ninety minutes was the distribution phase where the price drifted, nothing significant happened and the price slowly but steadily came down to below the 110 levels. Between 2 and 2.30 pm there was another dip and then in the last hour all hell was let loose with the stock making an intra-day low of Rs 38.50 on the BSE and Rs 39.10 on the NSE. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 114.60 on the BSE and Rs 114.76 on the NSE which is a significant variation from the closing price. This indicates that most investors have lost money and anybody who has sold after 12.30 pm has lost anything between 30% to 70% of his investment.

The company at the issue price had a market capitalisation of Rs 327.78 crs on a fully diluted post issue basis which at the end of the carnage on the first day was reduced to a mere Rs 122.37 crs, a loss of 205.41 crs, on a day when the markets were on a roll and the BSESENSEX clocked gains of 337 points or 2.08%.

TIME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE VOLUME WTD AVG
930 157.00 161.90 137.35 139.30 1864324 148.57
100 139.30 139.15 130.70 135.70 3972708 133.99
1030 135.70 142.05 112.70 135.95 6061495 130.05
1100 135.95 133.85 118.00 121.05 2489222 124.04
1130 121.05 125.15 112.80 122.00 2844549 118.01
1200 122.00 184.30 121.95 179.45 7014051 153.08
1230 179.45 173.85 116.85 120.90 5562026 142.14
1300 120.90 124.65 113.75 115.20 2394414 119.70
1330 115.20 122.95 111.40 115.20 2367746 116.81
1400 115.20 116.35 105.70 105.70 1823340 114.07
1430 105.70 100.35 80.95 91.05 5448068 89.58
1500 91.05 91.80 69.25 69.25 4330086 82.76
1530 69.25 71.50 39.60 58.15 7469583 58.20

The exchanges give you an analysis of trading on a half hourly basis and I have appended above the same for the company from the NSE. It is apparent that the entire action has been done in the half hour starting 11.30 am and ending 12 noon. The vertical rise and then the fall is apparent even for a lay man. If the regulator decides to take action it is crystal clear to pinpoint the people behind the movement and how wealth has been destroyed. In a mere 30 minutes the stock rose a spectacular Rs 62 on huge volumes only to fall in the next thirty minutes.

It would be fair to say that this was yet another example of an issue which came to the markets with poor fundamentals, garnered support on the basis of friendly intermediaries and faltered on day one itself losing a bombshell for investors. One hopes that with each such example, investors and regulators take note of what’s happening and avoid such issues in future. One also requests that the regulator should make at least one issue an example so that others take it as a strong deterrent going forward.

For the record books on more September issue and one more disaster.

Onelife Capital Advisors IPO: Closes with gains of 35%

 

Onelife Capital Advisors Limited which had tapped the capital markets with its IPO for 33.5 lac shares in a price band of Rs 100-110 listed today. The share opened at Rs 115 on the BSE and Rs 110 on the NSE. The high of the day was Rs 173 on the BSE and Rs 174.80 on the NSE. The low was Rs 114 on the BSE while it was the opening level of Rs 110 on the NSE. The close was Rs 145.90 on the BSE and Rs 145.95 on the NSE. The share gained Rs 35.90 or 32.64% on the BSE and Rs 35.95 or 32.68% on the NSE.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 115.00 173.00 114.00 145.90 35.90 32.64 145.24 24441556 644712 2.64
NSE 110.00 174.80 110.00 145.95 35.95 32.68 146.99 34056499 1072302 3.15
Total 58498055 1717014 2.94

The IPO was subscribed 1.53 times and was open between the 28th of September and the 4th of October. The company is a merchant banker and plans to become a full-fledged broking outfit going forward. The present market conditions and the scenario in the broking industry are well known and everybody is aware of the poor market conditions and the slowdown in the sector. The IPO grade of the issue was 1/5 which is the lowest possible grade possible. The company has made losses in the year ended March 2011, the latest period for which results are available. It is indeed quite surprising that this company with a market cap of Rs 133.60 crs at the price of Rs 110 could be so well received. The market cap has further risen today to reach a level of Rs 177 crs on revenues of under 40 lacs in the previous year and a net loss in excess of 60 lacs. I believe one should stop using logic in this market when issues are subscribed by “friendly intermediaries”.

Coming to the stock price movement, the share price was an uptrend after opening around Rs 130 and rose to Rs 150-152. Having reached this level in the first two hours of trade, the share dived to make the low of the day in the next ten minutesand touched a level of Rs 114. The volumes had increased on this downfall, but then the stock again began gaining in strength and over the next two hours made the high of the day at Rs 173. The weighted average of the day’s trade was 145.24 on the BSE and Rs 146.99 on the NSE, indicating that the average and closing prices were more or less similar. Investors who had applied for the shares of the company had an opportunity to exit the company with gains. One hopes that the same has been done because the credentials of the company are not that compelling. Thereafter over the remaining part of the day the stock was under pressure and gave up a large part of its gains and closed at Rs 145.90 on the BSE and at Rs 145.95 on the NSE.

Trading volumes were huge on the two exchanges combined and clocked a total of 584.98 lac shares. This compared to the IPO size of 33.5 lac shares was 17.46 times. This is a huge turnover by all standards. The delivery volume was 17.17 lacs which was a mere 2.94% of the traded volume and 51.25% of the IPO size. The QIB names do not appear in the bulk trades details on the two exchanges. If one were to remove the allotment made to these institutional players it then appears that all other investors have exited the company. The two FII’s were Cresta Fund and Afrasia Bank Limited who between them own 16,30,992 shares.

The issue has ended the day with substantial gains for its investors. What the tomorrow or future trading days is difficult to say as of today, but the fundamentals of the issue, the business it is in makes it a risky investment.

Tijaria Polypipes IPO: Listing is a complete disaster with stock losing 69%

 

Tijaria Polypipes Limited listed on the stock exchanges on Friday and as expected the listing turned out to be a complete disaster. The company had come out with a fixed price issue for 1 crore shares at Rs 60 each to raise Rs 60 crs. The issue was open between the 27th and 29th of September. The issue was subscribed 1.2 times with retail portion receiving excellent support. This company chose not to have any road shows for its IPO anywhere in the country. Actually the merchant banker of the company Hem Securities has a practice of not having any road shows and certainly not in Mumbai, the financial capital of the country. The merchant banker also brings only fixed price issues so the response to the issue is not available for public viewing.

The share listed at Rs 62 on the BSE and Rs 61 on the NSE. The high of the day was Rs 67.80 on the BSE and Rs 67.75 on the NSE. The low was Rs 16.05 on the BSE and Rs 16.50 on the NSE. The close was Rs 18.10 on the BSE and Rs 18.60 on the NSE.

It may be mentioned here that the company raised Rs 60 crs and the market capitalisation of the company at the issue price was Rs 141.75 crs. The same at the end of the day was Rs 42.76 crs which is a significant 29% less than the amount raised by the company. One expects that the money which would have been transferred from the escrow account to the companies account could not have been spent in one day.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 62.00 67.80 16.05 18.10 -41.90 -69.83 44.15 47475546 3579436 7.54
NSE 61.00 67.75 16.50 18.60 -41.40 -69.00 43.94 59965008 6176796 10.30
Total 107440554 9756232 9.08

The traded volume on the counter was huge and 1074.40 lac shares were traded on day one which is a staggering 10.74 times the IPO size of 1 crore shares. The delivery volume was 97.56 lac shares which was 9.08% of the traded volume but a very significant 97.56% of the IPO size. What this means that almost every single person who had applied for shares in this company has sold the shares on day one. The weighted average of the day’s trade is Rs 44.15 on the BSE and Rs 43.94 on the NSE indicating that once the required shares were sold after maintaining the price by the “friendly intermediary”, he just dumped the balance as he couldn’t care less what happened. The difference between the weighted average and the closing price is a staggering Rs 26.05 on the BSE which is 43.4% of the issue price.

The stock opened steady and till 12 noon was rock steady at around the issue price itself. With no offence to anybody the clock striking 12 noon and the stock began to fall. In less than 15 minutes the stock had fallen to around Rs 42-44 and this was happening on huge volumes as is visible from the chart appended above. Thereafter the stock attempted to recover and gained to about Rs 55. Around 1.30 pm the second fall came which saw the share fall to Rs 30 in a span of 40-45 minutes. It held at these levels for 15 to 20 minutes and then again fell, this time taking the stock to Rs 20. By 3 pm the story was all over and then the stock made its low and closed on a weighted average close at Rs 18.10 on the BSE and Rs 18.60 on the BSE.

In conclusion, one can only say that it was one more IPO, one more listing and one more disaster. It’s time the regulator took note of what’s happening in the market place and the nexus between promoter-merchant banker-friendly intermediaries is investigated and action taken. The fact that the mighty government of India postpones its FPO of ONGC 48 hours before the road shows are to begin citing poor market conditions and these issues sail through with impunity is indeed a tragedy.

The record book will say that there was one more IPO which came and was subscribed with the help of “friendly intermediaries” and as is to be expected crashed on day one losing 70% of its value. Heaven help investors who apply in such shares and also those who get trapped subsequently.

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