Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 2nd September 2011

Name Date of Listing Issue Price closing  price closing price % gain loss  change over
2nd Sept 26th Aug over week  lssue price
Bhartiya Global Infomedia 28th July 82.00 12.93 12.60 2.62 -84.23
Inventure Growth & Securities 4th Aug 117.00 144.50 133.95 7.88 23.50
L&T Finance Holdings 12th Aug 52.00 50.45 46.15 9.32 -2.98
Tree House Education & Acessories 26th Aug 135.00 125.25 116.55 7.46 -7.22

The week in primary markets

The week gone by had plenty of drama and action as far as the primary markets were concerned. One saw the listing of one NCD, an IPO and two IPO’s opened and closed during the week. Considering the weakness in the secondary markets this was lot of action for one week. Let us look at each of these issues.

India Infoline NCD issue.

The company had issued bonds with a coupon rate of 11.9% for retail investors who invested upto Rs 5 lacs. The other coupon rates were lower than this. The credit rating of the issue was AA- or (Double A minus). The bonds which were issued at Rs 1000 per bond got hammered on the day of listing and ended trading on day one at Rs 921.35 on the BSE and at Rs 929 on the NSE. There is no logic as to why the price of a bond should fall so sharply on day of listing as they are fixed income instruments and would offer the yield as per the coupon rate. Even if one were to consider the fact that other bond issues were offering marginally higher rates of interest the discount compared to them should have been at Rs 980 considering the appreciation over the life of the bond and the higher rate of interest.

The tragedy of the bond issue was that people applied in the same expecting listing gains as they got in the case of SBI bonds and in the scheme from Shriram Transport. Investors need to understand that bonds are not equity and they have different dynamics. We should see the listing of yet another bond issue this week from Shriram City Union. Currently two bond issues are open from Mannapuram Finance and Muthoot Finance, both of which have similar credit ratings and are in identical businesses of gold loans or finance against used gold jewellery.

The IPO from SRS Limited opened during the week. Incidentally the name SRS stands for “SAB RAHO SAATH” and does not have anything to do with initials of the promoter’s names or anything like that. The issue opened on Tuesday the 23rd of August and closed on Friday the 26th of August. The issue was for 3.5 cr shares in a price band of Rs 58-65. The company is a diversified company involved in jewellery, cash and carry, retail outlets, food courts and cinema exhibition. Almost all there outlets are in tier 2 and tier 3 towns. The bulk of the business currently comes from wholesale or non-retail which post this outlet would change to some extent. The broad object of the issue is to raise money to increase the retail presence where margins are significantly higher.

The issue was expensive and the asking price at a PE multiple of 21.56 at the lower end of the price band to 24.16 at the upper end was certainly expensive. The result of this in a bad secondary market was that retail investors stayed away from the issue and subscribed their portion a mere 0.32 times. The bulk of the subscription came from the HNI’s who subscribed their portion 5.11 times and thus helped the overall issue get subscribed 1.25 times.

The IPO from TD Power Systems Limited had an anchor allocation to investors on Tuesday the 23rd of August and the issue opened on Wednesday the 24th of August and closed on Friday the 26th of August. The issue price band was Rs 256-261 and the size of the issue was Rs 227 crs. The issue received excellent response from QIB investors and was subscribed 6.52 times. Retail and HNI looking at the market conditions and the fact that the valuation was at a premium to the existing large player like BHEL, decided to stay away and subscribed their quotas a mere 38% each. This shows that the investing public has started taking some rational decisions and one only hopes that this new found wisdom remains and does not disappear once the secondary markets improve.

The IPO which listed on Friday the 26th of August was Tree House which had issued shares in a price band of Rs 135-153 and priced the issue at the lower end of the price band. There was a discount of Rs 6 per share for retail investors, and that prompted retail to jump in to the issue. There was also an active grey market in the share which helped investors to lock in profits even before the share listed. The net result was that retail subscribed their quota 2.76 times when the overall issue was subscribed a mere 1.85 times.

Due to the grey market activities the share was on firm ground for the first half of the day and then simply gave way. The share had touched a high of Rs 161.50 during the day but then fell sharply and recorded a low of Rs 104.15 before closing at Rs 116.55, a net loss of Rs 18.45 or 13.67%.

All this goes to show that the best of issues can go wrong when the times are bad and promoters and merchant bankers need to price the issues at reasonable levels where there is some money left on the table for investors. We all know that when the going is good these entities make the most of it, therefore when things are bad the least they can do is price it just about fair value if not at a discount.

One hopes that like the impasse in Delhi and Parliament over corruption coming to an amicable settlement, the similar impasse on reasonable pricing between the investors on one side and the merchant bankers and promoters on the other side can also be resolved.

Tree House Education & Accessories IPO: Steady Start but selling pressure leads to losses

 

Share closes down 13%

Tree House Education & Accessories Limited which had tapped the capital markets with its IPO which opened on the 10th of August and closed on the 12th of August, listed on Friday the 27th of August. The company had launched its IPO in a price band of Rs 135-153 and the issue was subscribed 1.85 times with retail being the largest subscriber at 2.76 times. The scrip listed at the BSE at Rs 132.80 and at Rs 132 on the NSE. The high of the day was Rs 161.50 on the BSE and NSE. The low was Rs 104.15 on the BSE and Rs 105.15 on the NSE. The stock closed at Rs 116.55 on the BSE and Rs 117.60 on the NSE with losses of around 18%.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 132.80 161.50 104.15 116.55 -18.45 -13.67 140.53 20169071 1785386 8.85
NSE 132.00 161.50 105.15 117.60 -17.40 -12.89 141.54 29345647 2513968 8.57
Total 49514718 4299354 8.68

The total traded quantity was 495.14 lac shares which was 5.87 times of the IPO size of 84,32,189 shares. The delivery quantity was 42,99,354 shares which was 8.68% of the traded volume and 50.99% of the IPO size. In institutional trade, Dhanlaxmi bank sold 4,44,954 shares and recently listed company Inventure Growth & Securities Limited sold 1,72,782 shares. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 140.53 on the BSE and Rs 141.54 on the NSE.

From the price chart it can be seen that the share after opening marginally below the issue price was in an uptrend for the first two hours and made the high of the day in this up move. The stock then started drifting downwards and there was a very sharp dip at around 12 noon where the share fell from Rs 156 to Rs 141 in a span of a few minutes and recovered to Rs 156, all in a span of less than 15 minutes. The share kept on drifting downwards and touched a level of Rs 144 by 3 pm. At this time all hell broke loose and the share plummeted to touch a level below the Rs 110 mark and then in a few minutes it made the low of the day at Rs 104.15. There was a small recovery thereafter but simply not enough to undo the damage that was already done. The sharp dip in price was accompanied by a surge in volumes, indicating weakness.

The weighted average is above the issue price indicating that investors who have sold in the first few hours have made money. Secondly there was a discount of Rs 6 per share given to retail investors which made their application in the share profitable. However if anyone did not sell by 3 pm he certainly was caught on the wrong foot and has lost money. The closing price of Rs 116.55 on the BSE meant a loss of Rs 18.45 per share or 13.67%. In the case of NSE the closing price was Rs 117.60, a loss of Rs 17.40 or 12.89%.

All in all a reasonable listing holding on for the better part of the day but succumbing to selling pressure in the last couple of hours. The issue closed with losses of over 13%. It would be interesting to see whether the share is able to hold on to these levels going forward or not.

Subscribe to RSS Feed Follow me on Twitter!