Power Finance Corporation FPO subscribed

Power Finance Corporation Limited which had launched its FPO in a price band of Rs 193-203 was fully subscribed. The issue was open from Tuesday the 10th of May and closed on Thursday the 12th of May for QIB’s and on Friday the 13th of May for all other non-QIB bidders. The issue was subscribed a total of 4.34 times. The issue consisted of a fresh issue of 17.21 cr shares and an offer for sale by the Government of 5.738 cr shares making a total issue size of 22.92 cr shares. There was an employee quota of 2.75 lakh shares as well

The details of the subscription level in various categories are given below: –

Category Shares Offered Shares Subscribed Times
QIB 114638937 793573340 6.92
NII 34391682 41439412 1.2
Retail 80247257 160165544 2
Employee 275464 249480 0.91
Overall 229553340 995427776 4.34

Looking at the response to the issue it appears very logical to expect the issue to be priced at the top end of the price band at Rs 203. The share has closed in the cash market at the BSE at Rs 215.85. The share price may fall from these levels considering the difference in the issue price and the market price, but the margin of safety is simply huge to expect any negative performance in this stock. Secondly there is a discount of 5% which would amount to Rs 10.15 per share assuming the top end of the price band is fixed at the issue price.

The retail subscription is more than the HNI portion and the only reason that HNI subscription was relatively poor was the fact that fresh positions in PFC were not allowed in the futures segment, making it difficult for HNI’s to hedge their position.

It is difficult to understand the phycology of HNI investors where in an IPO they take huge leveraged positions and are unable to sell their position in the premium market and most of the time losing money when the share lists on the bourses. A recent example was Muthoot Finance where the HNI portion was subscribed 60 times and the cost of leverage for a HNI investor was in the region of Rs 30. The share did not even touch the figure of Rs 200 which would have meant a gain of Rs 25. The share closed on Friday around Rs 165.

All in all the subscription for PFC FPO has been good and has set the divestment for 2011-12 in motion. Well begun is half done and let us hope that in future issues the government continues being considerate and liberal in the pricing of the issues.

Power Finance Corporation FPO Investment Case

Retail investors must grab opportunity

Power Finance Corporation Limited is tapping the capital markets with its FPO (follow on public offer) where the QIB portion has closed for subscription being subscribed 6.92 times. The issue closes for non QIB’s on Friday the 13th of May.

Price Band Rs 193 – Rs 203
Discount to Retail and employees 5% of the price fixed on allotment
Fresh Offer in Shares 17,21,65,005 Equity Shares
Offer For Sale 5,73,88,335 Equity Shares
Total offer in Shares 22,95,53,340 Equity Shares
Employee Reservation 2,75,464 Equity Shares
Net offer In Shares 22,92,77,876 Equity Shares
Issue Size Rs 4,430.38 crs at Rs 193 to Rs 4,659.93 crs at Rs 203
QIB’s 11,46,38,938 Equity Shares
Non Institutional Investors 3,43,91,681 Equity Shares
Retail Investors 8,02,47,257 Equity Shares
Book Running Lead Manager DSP Merrill Lynch Limited
Goldman Sachs (India) Securities Private Limited
ICICI Securities Limited
JM Financial Consultants Private Limited
Isssue Opening Date Tuesday 10th May
Isssue  closing date for QIB’s Thursday 12 th May
Isssue  closing date for other than QIB’s Friday 13th May
IPO Grade Not Applicable as this is a Follow on Public offer
Paid -up Capital Pre IPO 32,02,12,768 Equity Shares
Paid -up Capital Post IPO 37,17,12,768 Equity Shares
Bid Lot 28 shares
Bidding Amount for Retail 980 shares at Rs 203 or Rs 1,98,940 per application

Business

PFC is a leading financial institution in India focused on the power sector. The company is also involved in various Government of India programs for the power sector and is the nodal agency for the UMPP (ultra mega power projects) in India. The company as part of its business provides a comprehensive range of financial products and related advisory and other services from project conceptualization to the post-commissioning stage for clients in the power sector, including for generation (conventional and renewable), transmission and distribution projects as well as for related project finance, short term loans, buyers line of credit and debt refinancing schemes, as well as non-fund based assistance including default payment guarantees and letters of comfort. PFC also provides various fee-based technical advisory and consultancy services for power sector projects.

Investment Proposition for retail investors

The price band fixed is Rs 193-203 with a discount of 5% on allotment for retail investors. For simplicity sake let us assume that the price would be fixed at the upper band of Rs 203, and a discount of Rs 10 would be offered to retail investors. The closing price of the stock on Thursday the 12th of May in the cash market was Rs 215.85 implying a safety factor of Rs 12.85 or 6.33%. What this means is that even if the cash market were to fall by Rs 13 on allotment and subsequent listing of the shares, the investor would be covered as his cost is only Rs 203 and on top that there is the retail discount as well.

PFC trades in the futures segment as well and the closing price on 12th May is Rs 205.30. An important point to be noted here is that fresh positions in the stock have been banned as the open interest limit has been breached. This means that the extra safe HNI’s who apply for the issue after hedging themselves are unable to take fresh positions. This is also good for the investor as the gap between the future price which is trading at a discount to the cash market will converge going forward.

I believe this is a great opportunity for retail investors and they should subscribe to the above issue.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I intend to subscribe to the above issue.

Servalakshmi Paper share gains 68% only to crash and close 35% below issue price

Listing is a complete disaster.

Shares of Servalakshmi Paper Limited listed at the BSE at Rs 30 and on the NSE at Rs 29. The company had a listing ceremony at the BSE. The high made by the stock price was a staggering Rs 48.75 on the BSE and Rs 48.70 on the NSE. This high saw the share gain Rs 19.70 or 67.93% at that point of time. The share made a low of Rs 17.30 on the BSE and Rs 17.70 on the NSE. The closing price was Rs 19 on the BSE and Rs 18.20on the NSE. The scrip closed with a loss for the day Rs 10 or 34.48% on the BSE and Rs 10.80 or 37.24% on the NSE. The traded volumes were huge and a total of 2688.83 lac shares were traded. The issue size was 206.89 lac shares which mean that 13 times the IPO size was traded.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 30.00 48.75 17.30 19.00 -10.00 -34.48 34.86 121866404 5532520 4.54
NSE 29.00 48.70 17.70 18.20 -10.80 -37.24 34.80 147017375 7991359 5.44
Total 268883779 13523879 5.03

The price movement needs to be understood from the perspective that the share which opened at the issue price of Rs 29, first went up from slightly lower levels of Rs 27 all the way to Rs 48 and then came down to just below Rs 18. This means the share gained Rs 22 and then lost Rs 30 or a total movement of Rs 52 in a single day for a share which had an issue price of Rs 29. IT indeed is surprising and I believe what has happened should strengthen the case that the price discovery mechanism on listing day needs to be curbed on listing day. There must be circuit filters and they should be closely monitored to avoid the type of carnage that one saw in this stock.

This case needs to be investigated as there was nothing in this company to warrant such a price rise or a fall. From the price chart attached above it is clear that the rise which happened around 10 am and then again around 11 am was accompanied with huge volumes. Similarly the fall which happened around 1.30 pm and then 2.30 pm onwards was also accompanied with huge volumes. The stock has been badly battered and bruised and would always be looked down upon hence forward as an ‘operated’ stock. The share has certainly started its trading on a wrong foot and it would take a long time for those who have lost money to recover from the losses and the shock.

The delivery volume was 135.23 lac shares which was a mere 5.03% of the traded volume but a significant 65.37% of the IPO size. In terms of institutional investors one of the FII’s namely India Focus Cardinal Fund has sold 13,79,200 shares. Two of the banks namely Bank of India and Indian Overseas Bank have sold 3,44,800 shares and 3,50,000 shares respectively.

The delivery percentage of around 65% of the IPO size on day one is quite normal and nothing should be read into it. What is disturbing is the price rise and the fall and this is something which needs to be looked at by the two exchanges. One believes that someone has been able to take investors and traders for a royal ride through the day and caused losses all around.

History books will record the listing debut of Servalakshmi Paper Limited as one which was a complete disaster for investors. It will also be recorded as one where investors and traders lost their shirt and did not know what hit them. It was a financial tsunami.

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