Ravikumar Distilleries IPO: Strong start share is up almost 30%

Ravikumar Distilleries Limited listed on the BSE and NSE today. The company had launched its IPO for 115 lakh shares in a price band of Rs 56-64. The issue was open between the 8th and 10th of December 2010. The issue was subscribed 2.22 times.

The share listed at Rs 64 on the BSE and Rs 72 on the NSE respectively. The high on BSE was Rs 89.20 while on the NSE it was Rs 89.30. The low on both the exchanges were the open of Rs 64 and Rs 72 respectively. The volumes were brisk and the first hour saw a combined traded volume of 299.67 lacs against the IPO size of 115 lacs. This traded volume is a staggering 2.6 times the size of the IPO.

Exchange Open High Low  Close Net Change % gain Volume Wt Avg
BSE 64.00 89.20 64.00 84.10 20.10 31.41 13706115 84.51
NSE 72.00 89.30 72.00 84.00 20.00 31.25 16261305 84.85
Total 29967420

The share is currently trading at Rs 84 and the share is up 31%. The weighted average of the stock is around Rs 84.50 and is currently holding itself well as compared to the issue price of Rs 64. The real test will be to see how the share closes at the end of the day. The huge volumes which have been seen are certainly unexplainable and defy logic. There are many things which happen in the marketplace which defy logic initially but then correct themselves to the logical.

It would be interesting to see how this share behaves as the day progresses and where it closes.

A2Z Maintenance & Engineering: Intriguing day one

Action of promoter and key investor leaves unanswered questions

A2Z had tapped the capital markets with its IPO which was to raise Rs 675 crs from a fresh issue and an offer for sale for 45,56,193 equity shares. The combined issue size at the lower end of the price band of Rs 400 where it was finally priced was for 2,14,31,193 shares. Anchor investors were allotted 31,37,940 shares at the lower end of the price band of Rs 400. The issue received bids for 1,76,15,400 equity shares which means the issue less the anchor portion was subscribed 97%. This figure reduced further and at the time of allotment the same was just about 91.31%.

The final allocation that was then done was that the company issued fresh equity of Rs 675 crs at Rs 400 per share or 1,68,75,000 equity shares and the offer for sale by selling shareholders was reduced to 26,94,390 equity shares against the original offer of 45,56,193 equity shares.

The issue was under the SEBI guidelines where the post issue public shareholding would be 25% and accordingly the original equity of 5.73,01,125 equity shares would post the offer increase to 7,41,77,694 equity shares with the public shareholding being 21431193 equity shares or 28.89%. After the allotment the public shareholding is 26.38%. So far so good and there is no issue whatsoever.

On listing day the promoter of the company Mr Amit Mittal bought 18.75 lac shares and Mr Rakesh Jhujhunwala who is a private equity investor in the company before the IPO bought 16.875 lac shares in his individual capacity and persons acting in concert. Their total purchase is for 35.625 lac shares or 4.8% of the post IPO equity. The public holding of a company which listed on the 23rd of December 2010 and went public under guidelines that the public shareholding would be 25% or more has violated this norm on the very first day of it being listed.

Secondly the shares of the promoter, promoter group and all other shareholders are also locked in for a period of one year from the date of listing. What seems little odd and certainly defeats the purpose of the lock-in is this purchase being made by selling shareholders on day one. Technically these shares are not under lock-in and allows them to play the market, something which the law or SEBI did not intend to when they drafted the regulations.

The point being made above is that the 25% public holding limit has been violated with impunity by the promoter and the significant shareholder on day one itself. If corrective action is not taken immediately this could become a new ploy going forward used by market participants or promoters to swing the share prices.

The takeover code becomes effective if a non-promoter or non-promoter group acquires 15% or more shares in a listed entity. Mr Jhunjhunwala is holding more than this prior to the share listing and therefore that shareholding becomes exempt from the same threshold limit. By making this purchase of 16.875 lac shares which is 2.27% of the post IPO equity should normally trigger the code. Maybe the law has different interpretations but the spirit of the law has been completely vitiated by these two instances.

The third issue is of corporate governance. The above instances are poor examples of corporate governance. Mr Mittal has offered through the IPO 12.5 lakh shares for sale. On the very first day of listing he buys more than what was sold. Is this a show of bravado on the price falling? Is this a message being given to investors asking them to buy as he is buying? Is this something more than that? Not sure but it sure does not send the right message and is worrying in the current context of the market place. One hopes that the management does make it clear what is it that they are wanting to do and what is it that they want people to call this action.

One simple question that I would like to ask the buying shareholders is whether there action would have remained the same in case the share traded at say a price of Rs 450 or thereabouts or higher?

At the end of the week the mystery deepens and would remain a mystery until the promoter or players involved in this drama explain. I believe an explanation in in the fitness of things.

Shekhawati Poly-Yarn IPO: Extremely expensive

No scope for appreciation

Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited is launching its fixed price issue to raise Rs 36 crs through selling 1.20 cr shares. The issue opens on Monday the 27th of December and closes on Wednesday the 29th of December.

Fixed Price Issue Rs 30
Issue size in Rs Rs 36 crs
Offer size in shares 1,20,00,000 Equity shares
Post Issue Equity Capital 2,20,02,181 Equity Shares
Marketcap post issue Rs 66 crs
Book Running Lead Manager Hem Securities Limited
Isssue Opening Date Monday 27th December
Isssue  closing date Wednesday 29th December
IPO Grade 2/5 by CARE Limited indicating below average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 200 shares
Maximum Retail Bid in shares and amount 6600 shares at Rs 30 Rs 1,98,000

Business
The company is engaged in the business of manufacturing of Texturised and Twisted yarn. The company has 20 texturising machines with an installed capacity of 13,200 tons per annum. It also has 5 Twisting machines to produce 600 tons per annum of twisted yarn. These machines are installed over three different locations in Silvassa.
The company produces Texturised yarn and twisted yarn which are commodity products and the raw material is POY or partially oriented yarn. The suppliers of POY are companies like Reliance, Indo Rama, JBF Industries and Garden Silk Mills. Raw material is easily available and imports are also possible depending upon import parity prices. In short the availability of raw materials is not a concern.
The consumers of the finished product are weavers based in Mumbai, Bhiwandi, Surat, Ludhiana and many other weaving centres in the country. The selling price is very competitive and this business does not have long term contracts as raw material price and finished goods prices are highly volatile. This industry normally operates on cost plus basis and is a convertor industry and acts as an intermediate in the value chain of thye polyester industry.

Objects of the issue

The objects of the issue are as follows: –

1. To acquire factory building Rs 700.00 lacs
2. To acquire corporate office building Rs 325.00 lacs
3. To acquire machinery for knitting and expanding twisting division Rs 337.53 lacs
4. To meet IPO expenses Rs 300.00 lacs
5. To meet working capital margin money requirements Rs 550.00 lacs
6. To get the equity shares of the company listed on BSE and NSE  
  TOTAL Rs 3600.00 lacs

Financials
The company reported net sales of Rs 7762.95 lacs for the year ended March 2009; Rs 8937.11 lacs for the year ended March 2009 and Rs 5757.46 lacs for the half year ended September 2010. The net profit after tax was Rs 117.43 lacs for March 2009, Rs 220.76 lacs for March 2010 and Rs 162.02 lacs for the half year ended September 2009. The margins have been very thin and were at the net level at 1.51% for the year ended March 2009, 2.47% for March 2010 and 2.81% for the half year ended September 2010.

Concerns
The company has two group concerns which are in the same line of activity. There is a group company Ruia Rayons Private Limited. The company is in the same line of activity as the company going public and had sales of Rs 4833.79 lacs for the year ended March 2009 and Rs 5644.71 lacs for the year ended March 2010. The net profit after tax for the period ended March 2009 was Rs 32.97 lacs and Rs 49.58 lacs for the year ended March 2010.
The company is now entering the highly competitive knitting industry where it has no experience and setting up 30 circular machines. Secondly the business of manufacturing texturising and twisted yarn is all about high volumes and the company is nowhere in terms of size. Margins in this business are thin but with the expansion and objects of the issue being to acquire a corporate office and repay the loan for the same; it appears that too much is being spent on non-productive assets.

Comparisons
The company has chosen to compare itself with three players namely Filatex India, Century Enka and Sumeet Industries Limited. The comparison is not with similar companies or scale as Century Enka is in the business of Nylon tyre cord manufacturing and Sumeet Industries has in March 2010 commissioned its direct spinning route through PTA and MEG and increased its capacity to 56,000 tons per annum. This expansion is a backward integration as far as raw material is concerned and forward integration is terms of capacity and helps in value addition. When compared with Filatex, its sales were Rs 400 crs for the year ended March 2010, its net profit Rs 17.19 crs and its net margin a healthy 4.29%. In terms of EPS it earned Rs 10.03 and quotes at price earnings multiple of 4.39 based on March 2010 numbers and even lower at 4.08 times based on half year annualised numbers of September 2010.
Very clearly the comparisons seem to be out of place.

Valuations
The company is offering shares at a fixed price of Rs 30 and the issue size is 1.2 cr shares while the present share capital is just about 1 cr shares. This dilution of more than the present capital is certainly a cause for concern. The company had earned a net profit after tax of Rs 117.43 lacs which is an EPS of Rs 1.17 for the year ended March 20009, Rs 2.10 for March 2010 and Rs 1.62 for the half year ended September 2010 or Rs 3.24 on an annualised basis for March 2011. The price earnings multiple for the share being offered is a staggering 30 times on a fully diluted basis based on March 2010 numbers and 20.41 times based on September 2010 numbers on an annualised basis.
One must also remember that the company has been very liberal in issuing itself bonus shares and has on 17th of April 2010 issued a liberal bonus of 7 shares for every 2 held. After the bonus issue of effectively 3.5 shares for every share held it has issued fresh capital of roughly 1/3rd its present issue on that same date of 17/04/10 at Rs 30 so that they could make a presentation that the promoters have invested at the same price as present share holders are being asked to.

Conclusion
The company offers no opportunity to prospective investors and therefore chose not to even have a road show for the investor community in the financial capital of the country Mumbai. The reason for not having a road show is to avoid reports from Mumbai which looking at fundamentals would not warrant a subscribe rating for investors. People are being lured into the issue with listing gains which is a sure shot way to losing money and getting trapped. I would advise investors give a complete skip to the issue and avoid the same and more important to not get carried away with some other issues which have done well initially and then tanked.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I do not intend to subscribe to the above issue.      

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