Nitesh Estates IPO: Only long term investors need apply

Nitesh Estates Limited is tapping the capital markets with an IPO which has already opened and is to close on Tuesday the 27th of April. The issue is to raise Rs 405 crs in a price band of Rs 54-56.

Nitesh Estates Limited
Price Band  Rs 54 – Rs 56
Issue size in Rs Rs 405 Crs
Offer size in shares 7,50,00,000 shares at Rs 54 – 7,23,21,428 shares at Rs 56
QIB’s 3,75,00,000 Equity Shares at Rs 54
Non Institutional Investors 1,12,50,000 Equity Shares at Rs 54
Retail Investors 2,62,50,000 Equity Shares at Rs 54
Pre Issue Shares 7,08,32,100 Equity shares
Post Issue Shares 14,58,32,100 Equity Shares at Rs 54
Marketcap post issue Rs787.49 crs to 801.66 crs
Book Running Lead Manager ICICI Securities Limited
Enam Securities Private Limited
Kotak Mahindra Capital Company Limited
JM Financial Consultants Private Limited
Syndicate Member Edelweiss Securities Limited
Isssue Opening Date Friday 23rd  April
Isssue  closing date Tuesday 27th April
IPO Grade  2/5 by CRISIL indicating below average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 100 shares

Business

Nitesh Estates Limited is a Bengaluru based real estate company primarily focused on residential projects targeted at high-income and middle income clients or customers. It has a presence in hospitality, retail and commercial space but is primarily a residential developer. Nitesh does not follow a land bank model and believes in joint-development. The joint development model ensures low upfront land acquisition costs and instead there is sharing of revenue with the land owner or sharing of a portion of the land developed with him. The biggest advantage of this system is that it reduces the cost and working capital of a project and ensures low working capital cycles.

Nitesh Estates has completed a total of 0.86 million square feet of development which includes 0.55 msf of residential and 0.31 msf of premium residential by group entities. The ongoing projects comprise a total of 5.31 msf and the forthcoming projects total 2.65 msf making a total of 7.96 msf in the pipeline and under construction. The company through its associate company is developing India’s first Ritz Carlton Hotel in Bengaluru as well.

The company has marquee investors in Och Ziff, Citi and HDFC AMC amongst others. In the anchor investors category the company has been able to bring on board HSBC Bank, Nomura, SBI mutual fund and HDFC mutual fund.

The company is now shifting geographically as well by extending to Chennai, Hyderabad, Kochi and Goa.

Objects of the Issue

The broad objects of the net proceeds of the issue after meeting fees of various intermediaries like lead managers, selling commission, registrars to the issue, advertising and marketing expenses, legal expenses etc… are as follows: –

Acquire joint development rights of our company Rs 21.00 crs
Fund existing subsidiaries and the associate company for repayment/prepayment of loans, redemption of debentures, finance ongoing projects and finance the acquisition of joint development rights Rs 303.44 crs
Repay certain loans of the company Rs 35.69 crs
General Corporate Expenses  

Financials

The company reported on a consolidated basis revenues of Rs 87.80 crs for the year ended March 2009 and Rs 66.57 crs for the nine months ended December 2009. There is a profit before tax of Rs 4.05 crs for March 2009 and Rs 1.90 crs for the nine months ended December 2009. On a profit after tax basis there is a profit of Rs 2.575 crs for the year ended March 2009 while there is a net loss for the period ended December 2009 of Rs 1.325 crs.

Comparison

The company has compared itself with various players such as Ansal Properties, Brigade Enterprises, Mahindra Lifespaces, Omaxe, Orbit Corporation, Parasvanath Developers and others. All the above are profit making companies and therefore not strictly comparable. The business of real estate depends on area available for development and land bank. Here considering the past where Nitesh has developed close to 0.86 msf and has under development and forthcoming almost 7.96 msf or roughly 9.25 times of developed or executed area available gives you comfort about the future.

Key factors or risks

Nitesh has key partnerships and marquee investors. It is present in the middle income and higher end of residential construction and has created a brand and standard for itself. It is in the joint development model and therefore does not invest in land bank up front. It has an eminent board and is also developing a premium hotel in Bengaluru.

The dilution which is 50% is a key concern. The upside is limited in terms of operating margins simply because the company follows a joint development model. It does not pay for land upfront hence shares revenue or developed area with landowner.

Conclusion

The business model is different to what is followed conventionally by builders. A similar model is followed by Godrej Properties. This model has its advantages and disadvantages. The business is highly competitive. This issue is meant only for investors who are looking at the medium and long term. In the short term there may not be much that may happen.

Invest for the long term and avoid if one is looking for listing gains.

Tara Health Foods IPO: Price band announced

Tara Health Foods Limited is tapping the capital markets with an IPO which opens on Wednesday the 28th of April and closes on Friday the 30th of April. The price band is fixed between Rs 180-190. The company plans to issue 1 crore shares and would raise Rs 180-190 crs through the IPO. The business of the company is health and nutrition for both human beings and cattle feed. The company produces edible oil for human beings and cattle feed.

The issue would consist of a 50% reservation for QIB’s, 15% for HNI’s and 35% for retail investors. The market cap of the company post issue would be Rs 540.79 crs at the lower end and Rs 570.84 cr5s at the upper end of the price band.

Mandhana Industries IPO

Mandhana Industries Limited is tapping the capital markets with an IPO which opens on Tuesday the 27th of April and closes on Thursday the 29th of April. The price band is Rs 120-130.

Price Band  Rs 120 – Rs 130
Issue size in Rs Rs 99.60 crs to Rs 107.90 crs
Offer size in shares 83,00,000 Equity Shares
QIB’s 41,50,000 Equity Shares
Non Institutional Investors 12,45,000 Equity Shares
Retail Investors 29,05,000 Equity Shares
Post Issue Shares 3,31,23,913 Equity Shares
Marketcap post issue Rs 397.49 crs to 430.61 crs
Book Running Lead Manager Edelweiss Capital Limited
Axis Bank Limited
Isssue Opening Date Tuesday 27th  April
Isssue  Closing date Thursday 29th April
IPO Grade  3/5 by CRISIL indicating average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 50 shares

Business
Mandhana is a vertically integrated textile and garment manufacturing company having presence across operations ranging from yarn dyeing to garment manufacturing. The company has two major segments which include textiles and garments. The company is spread across the value chain and spins its yarn, does yarn dyeing, weaving of fabric, fabric dyeing, printing and processing, followed by finishing of fabric by special processes and finishes. The company has large stitching facilities for garments and is present in the shirting, ladies tops, dresses, skirts, kids wear, sportswear and jeans wear segments.

Mandhana produces a large range of fabrics such as cotton fabrics, yarn dyed fabrics, embroidered, embellished and blended cotton fabrics including cotton blends, with nylon, lycra, viscose, melange etc. Fabrics are made for captive consumption for the garmenting business as well as for sale to customers. The fabric is by and large consumed within the country while almost the entire garments production is exported.

The break up between textiles and garments has been around 2/3rd textiles and 1/3rd garments. In the current year in the first nine months the garments have reduced simply because the capacity has fallen short and the company could not grow the business for lack of execution capacity. The capacity utilisation has been a high 90% plus.

The present capacity of various facilities of Mandhana is given below.

Item Present Capacity Expansion Total
Yarn Dyeing 30 lakh kgs annually NIL 30 lakh kgs annually
Weaving 180 lakh mts annually 180 lakh mts annually 360 lakh mts annually
Fabric Processing 516 lakh mts annually NIL 516 lakh mts annually
Garments 36 lakh pieces annually 47 lakh pieces annually 83 lakh pieces annually

It may be mentioned that additional fabric processing capacity has become operational in the current year and the capacity has increased from 204 lac mts annually to 516 lac mts annually, though the full effect of the same would be felt only in financial year 2010-2011. The company is adding substantial capacity in both weaving where it is doubling the capacity from 180 lakh mts to 360 lakh mts and in garment making more than doubling from 36 lac pieces to 83 lac pieces.  

The new capacity in weaving and garmenting is expected to be ready in the fourth quarter of the financial year 2010-2011. This effectively means that in the current year (2010-11) the full benefit of the processing capacity increase from 204 to 516 lakh mts will be felt while in the next year (2011-2012) the benefit of increase in weaving capacity from 180 to 360 lakh mts and garmenting from 36 lakhs to 83 lakhs will be felt. 

Mandhana has opened a liaison office in Paris which has made a difference in the sales of the company. Paris is the international fashion hub and this has helped the company add many customers. Mandhana has also created a modern sampling division which is able to create designs and prototypes of the garments as per clients needs. 

Objects of the Issue

Setting up of garment manufacturing facility at MIDC, Tarapur Maharashtra        

Rs   6909.40 lacs
Expansion of yarn dyeing and weaving facility at MIDC, Tarapur Maharashtra      Rs 10279.46 lacs
Margin Money for Working capital                                                                                           Rs   3550.00 lacs
General corporate Purposes                                                                                                       Rs         X
Issue related expenses                                                                                                                 Rs         X

The company has already been sanctioned a term loan under ‘TUFS’ (Textile upgradation fund scheme of Rs 10380 lakhs. This loan has been sanctioned by State Bank of Patiala and a consortium of banks led by Axis Bank.

Financials
The company has reported robust growth with the sales rising from Rs 181 crs in March 2006 to Rs 463 crs in March 2009. In the current year ending March 2010, the first nine month saw the company report a top line of Rs 439 crs. The profit after tax for the same period has grown from Rs 12 crs to Rs 36 crs and Rs 28.5 crs for the nine months ended December 2009. The company’s net margins have hovered between 6.5 and 7.8% and with the expansion in place should improve further and stabilise in the 8.25-8.75%.

Comparison
The best comparison for Mandhana is with Bombay Rayon Fashions Limited which is in a comparable business and has modern machinery and technology. The EPS for Mandhana for the year ended March 2009 is Rs 14.70 while for the nine months ended December 2009 is Rs 11.50. If one were to annualise the nine months EPS for December 2009, the same would be Rs 15.33 on pre-IPO capital.

Looking at a fully diluted EPS on a post issue basis the same would reduce to Rs 11.50 and the price earnings multiple would be between 10.43 and 11.30 times. What is extremely important to note is that the fruits of the present expansion are a good nine months or three quarters away and also what the company has expanded in the last quarter of 2009-2010 would be realised this year. It is estimated that the turnover in the year ended 2009-2010 would be Rs 585-595 crs, while in the year 2010-2011 this would rise to Rs 750 crs. The full benefit of the current proposed expansion would be felt in 2011-2012 when the turnover would be Rs 980-990 crs. The net profits for the three years are expected to be in the region of Rs 38 crs, Rs 65 crs and Rs 90 crs. This is based on the expansion of capacities for which money from the IPO is being raised. In terms of EPs we are talking of Rs 11.50, Rs 19.6 and Rs 27.17.

Risks and Key factors
The textile industry is critical for mankind. We have heard for time immemorial ‘Roti, Kapda and Makan’ and this is the second of the three. India was lacking till some years ago large capacities and modern processing facilities. This has also been taken care of in recent years and the countries facilities are comparable with the best in the world. We have now besides the world market, a growing market within our own country where the buyer is conscious of quality, affordability and latest trends. This is a growing market for Mandhana and they are set to increase their presence in India and abroad. 

Conclusion
The textile industry is poised for growth and margins have improved in the recent past. Besides exports the domestic industry is poised for huge demand, rapid growth and consolidation in the industry is the key going forward. It makes sense to invest in the sector and tap the growing demand. The flavour for the industry is there but that does not mean that there will be listing gains. Investment in Mandhana is warranted for the medium term and anybody looking for a 18 months holding period or waiting period is bound to make decent returns.

I recommend investing in Mandhana for the medium to long term with a holding period of 12 to 18 months.

Sebi disclaimer: – I intend to subscribe to the above issue.

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