Goenka Diamonds and Jewels IPO listing morning: Share breaks Rs 100 but recovers.

Goenka Diamonds and Jewels Limited which had tapped the capital markets with a public issue in the price band of Rs 135-145 for 100 lakh shares listed today. The issue was subscribed on day one and was oversubscribed 1.65 times. This issue at the end of subscription finally closed at 1.07 times subscription. The final allotment figure reduced further to 0.9371 times only.

The share opened at Rs 130 on the BSE and Rs 124 on the NSE. The highs were Rs 130 on the BSE and Rs 124 on the NSE, which were the opening rates itself. The lows were Rs 92.35 on the BSE and Rs 92.20 on the NSE. The share was under continuous selling pressure but seems to be holding on at current prices around Rs 110.

Exchange Open High Low  Close Net Change % gain Volume Wt Avg
BSE 130.00 130.00 92.35 110.45 -24.55 -18.19 8773900 108.75
NSE 124.00 124.00 92.20 110.00 -25.00 -18.52 10129764 108.67
Total 18903664

The traded volume at 1.89 cr shares is already twice the final IPO size of 93.71 lakh shares. The share has an average traded price of just about 108-109 which is around current market price. The pressure is there and the last hour of trade will determine where the share closes. If the share is unable to move up there could be fresh selling and cause the share to break Rs 100 mark all over again.

More on the issue at the end of the day, when details about delivery details are made available.

Goenka Diamonds to list on Friday 16th April

Goenka Diamonds and Jewels Limited which had tapped the capital markets with an IPO for 1 crore shares in the price band of Rs 135-145 is to list on Friday the 16th of April. The issue subscription was fairly controversial and the subscription figure which normally increases with each subsequent day, actually reduced on each subsequent day.

QIB HNI Retail Total
Day 1 23rd March 1.069 7.3682 0.0362 1.65
Day 2 25th March 1.069 3.8355 0.1777 1.17
Day 3 26th March 0.7804 2.9955 0.6629 1.07

From the table above it is clear that the subscription from HNI’s reduced from the second day onwards and there also seems to be a big withdrawal in the QIB category as well on the last day. The issue which was subscribed 1.65 times on day one was subscribed a mere 1.07 times on the final day. This means that QIB’s and HNI’s have withdrawn applications to the extent of 80 lakhs in a span of two days while retail investors have put in bids for an additional 21.93 lakh shares. The mathematics indicates that the first day subscription was only to entice the retail investor to subscribe and whatever was put in by him has been withdrawn by the HNI and QIB.

The story does not end here itself. The issue closed with a subscription of 1.07 times but the final allotment has slipped substantially to finally reach a figure of 0.9371. This means that within the time space of issue closing for subscription and final allotment, bids for 13.3 lakhs have been withdrawn. This whole issue looks like a big trap for the retail investor and he is most likely going to pay for it dearly.

At the time of the issue analysis it appeared that the issue did not have much in it for the investors and therefore I had recommended that the issue was only meant for ‘listing gains’. With the kind of activity that has happened and mass withdrawals it appears that leave aside listing gains, listing losses are a certainty. This appears to be a fit case for an investigation by the regulator into what happened and who trapped the innocent retail investor.

At the end of day I remember the James Bond movie title “Diamonds are forever”. I believe investors who get dazzled by diamonds or jewellery tend to lose their shirts. It sure is most unfortunate. 

Intrasoft technologies IPO: Share after opening hiccup ends day almost 10% up

Good performance for day one

Intrasoft technologies Limited the owners of the greeting card website 123greetings listed their share on the BSE and NSE yesterday. There was a listing ceremony held at the BSE for the same. The share listed at the BSE at Rs 140 and Rs 150 on the NSE. Within seconds the share had made its low of Rs 123.30 on the BSE and Rs 124 on the NSE respectively. The share recovered as dramatically thereafter and in the next couple of minutes the lows were like an aberration or a ‘glitch’ in technical language.

Exchange Open High Low  Close Net Change % gain Wt Avg Volume Delivery Del % age
BSE 140.00 167.15 123.30 159.35 14.35 9.90 156.12 16800481 991894 5.90
NSE 150.00 167.40 124.00 159.10 14.10 9.72 155.98 22110514 1733018 7.84
Total 38910995 2724912 7.00

The share made a high of Rs 167.15 on the BSE and Rs 167.40 on the NSE. Trading volumes were huge and the total traded volume was 389.11 lakhs or 10.5 times the IPO size of 37 lakhs. Delivery volume of 27.25 lakhs was just about 7% of the traded volume but a very significant 73.64% of the IPO size. What is significant from these numbers is that the listing debacle of Shree Ganesh Jewellery which happened on Friday is still very fresh in the minds of people and they would take quite some time to get out of it. Probably it was this listing drama of Friday which saw the share dip momentarily to a low of Rs 123.30 on the BSE and Rs 124 on the NSE respectively. However the fact that prices recovered in less than a couple of minutes also suggest that the fall was only to create a panic if possible so that the share could get hammered and result in money for short sellers. This did not happen simply because the issue which was subscribed just about 19 times ensured that nobody got substantial allotment and therefore did not have a large quantity to sell.

The trading was huge and the delivery as a whole very significant as almost 75% of the shares have changed hands. The management post listing has given top line guidance and also profitability guidance in interviews to television channels. On a fully diluted basis the earnings for FY 2009-2010 which is just gone by would see the company earn a EPs of Rs 6 which would in the following year 2010-11 rise to and EPS of Rs 10, a growth of almost 66%.

Today the share is likely to see some sideways movement and probably trade in a broad range of plus minus 10 Rs from yesterday’s close. It would be interesting to see how the share fares in the coming days as almost all investors would be brand new and it would depend on the person now entering the share at a 10% premium on what his view on the share is.

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