Syncom Healthcare IPO: Pricing is extraordinarily expensive

syncomSyncom Healthcare Limited (SHL) is tapping the capital markets with an issue of 75 lakh shares in the price range of Rs 65-75. The issue opens on Wednesday the 27th of January and closes on Friday the 29th of January 2010.

Price Band Rs. 65 to Rs.75 per Equity Share
No of Shares offered 75,00,000 shares
Issue Size 48.75 crs to 56.25 crs
Market Capitalisation post issue 113.75 crs to 131.25 crs
QIBs 37,50,000 Equity Shares
Non-Institutional Buyers 11,25,000 Equity Shares
Retail Individual Bidders 26,25,000 Equity Shares
Equity shares outstanding after the Issue 1,75,00,000 Equity Shares
Issue opens on Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Issue closes on Friday, January 29, 2010
Book Running Lead Manager Chartered Capital and Investment Limited
IPO Grading 2/5 by Care

Business

SHL began operations in the year 2002 as a manufacturer, marketer and trader of formulations under its own brands in Ethical, OTC, Generic and Herbals. The first manufacturing unit was set up Dehradun in Uttrakhand and the unit was commissioned in November 2006.

SHL outsources its requirement of finished products from units in and around Indore. These products are manufactured under SHL’s brand name, license and quality control. In 2008-2009 of the 60 cr turnover half of it came from traded activities or items manufactured for the company by third party manufacturers.

SHL has approvals to manufacture various formulations and it is currently manufacturing some 250 formulations in different delivery forms such as tablets, capsules, ointments, liquid, powder and eye and ear drops.

The Company’s product-mix is fairly large with Anti-biotics, Anti-inflammatory-analgesics, Anti-allergics, Anti-cold, Anti-cough, Anti-fungal, Anti-diarrhocals, Anti-oxidants, Vitamins, Proteins etc. The present capacity utilization of the plant at Dehradun is roughly 50% and the same is expected to increase to 60% in 2010-11 and 70% in 2011-12. The new facility proposed to be set up in Pithampur is expected to be ready in the 4th quarter of 2010-2011.

Financials

The turnover of the company has grown from Rs 51.74 crs in March 2008 to Rs 60.56 crs in March 2009 and to Rs 20.99 crs in the first four months ended July of 2009-10. If one were to annualize the same the figure for year ended March 2010 would be Rs 62.97 crs. The net profit for the same period is Rs 3.67 crs for March 2008, Rs 3.81 crs for the year ended March 2009 and Rs 1.6 crs for the four months ended July 2009. Annualizing the numbers for the year ended March 2010 the same would be Rs 4.8 crs. The net margins for the three periods are 7.09%, 6.29% and 7.62%.

The margins are under pressure and very clearly even the sales growth seems to be missing. The sales have grown by 17% in 2009 over 2008 while they have grown by a mere 3.98% in the current year 2009-10 over 2008-09. The margins which had gone down in 2008-09 compared to 2007-08 have improved in the current year and the IPO could be one reason.

SHL has separated from another company having the same name and is listed namely Syncom Formulations Limited. There was a family separation and the brand name is allowed to be used by both the companies. This company reported sales of about Rs 58.23 crs for the year ended March 2009; net profit of Rs 1.23 crs and a market cap of Rs 26 crs.

Based on the current equity the EPS of SHL on 2008 numbers is Rs 3.66for March 2008, Rs 3.81 for March 2009 and Rs 4.8 for March 2010 on an annualized basis. If one were to take the same on a fully diluted basis for March 2009 the same would be Rs 2.18 for March 2009 and Rs 2.74 for March 2010 on an annualized basis.

Objects of the Issue

To set up new manufacturing unit at Indore SEZ 2048 lakhs
To undertake up gradation/modernization of Dehradun plant 662 lakhs
To meet working capital requirements 1500 lakhs
For opening export office at Mumbai 400 lakhs
For Brand and Product Registration and Approvals 300 lakhs
General Corporate purpose X
Issue expenses X

Comparison

The company SHL is a small cap company in the pharmaceutical space. There is demand in the pharmaceutical industry and it is growing at a very rapid pace. The GDP growth coupled with a rising population make India a great place to be in for the industry. Coupled with the fact that this is a knowledge based industry, quality producing centre, low cost producer, high degree of skilled manpower, all point to a vibrant pharmaceutical industry. Competition is very severe and margins are certainly thin and under pressure.

The company has chosen to compare itself with Venus Remedies a company with sales of Rs 264 crs in 2009 and Rs 230 crs in nine months of 2009-10. Its net profit was Rs 45.53 crs for 2009 and Rs 32.98 crs for nine months 2009-10. The market cap of the company is Rs 203 crs and its PE based on current year annualised earnings a mere 4.63.

Yet another comparison by the company is with Kilitch drugs which had a turnover of Rs 129 crs in March 2009 and Rs 60.22 crs in the half year ended September 2009. Its net profit is Rs 11.14 crs for March 2009 and Rs 7.26 crs for the half year ended September 2009. Its market cap based on half year annualised numbers and EPS of Rs 11 is Rs 176.48 crs.

Looking at the numbers of SHL the price earning multiple based on March 2009 numbers on a fully diluted basis would be 29.81 times at the lower price band and at 34.40 times at the higher price band. The same numbers based on March 2010 numbers would be at 23.72 times at the lower price band and at 27.37 times at the upper price band. Very clearly the issue is outrageously priced and leaves nothing for an investor for quite some time to come.

Current valuations of large pharmaceutical companies which have a market capitalisation of 13,000 crs and 26,000 crs in Glaxo and Cipla are far cheaper in PE than the stock on offer.

Conclusion

The industry is growing and has a huge growth potential without doubt. The company is raising money from the market for expansion even though it has enough spare capacity available with just about 50% of its present capacity being used currently. The pricing is extremely expensive and there is no way that investors can make money based on fundamentals.

I believe at a time when there are almost three new issues opening every week, this issue should be skipped completely.

SEBI disclaimer: – I do not intend to subscribe to this issue.

Vascon Engineers IPO: Good business but demanding steep valuations – Stay away

Vascon Engineers Limited (VEL) is tapping the capital markets to raise between Rs 178 crs to 200 crs by issuing 1.08 cr shares. The price band is Rs 165-185. The issue opens on Wednesday the 27th of January and closes on Friday the 29th of January.

Number of Shares 1,08,00,000 shares
Price Band  Rs 165-185 
Issue size Rs 178.2 crs – Rs 199.8 crs
Employee Reservation 1,00,000 shares
Net offer  1,07,00,000 shares
QIB’s 64,20,000 shares including Anchor investors 
Non Institutional Investors 10,70,000
Retail Investors 32,10,000 shares
Marketcap post issue Rs 1485.26 crs to 1665.30 crs
Book Running Lead Manager Kotak Mahindra Capital Company Limited 
Enam securities Private Limited
Isssue Opening Date Wednesday 27th January
Isssue  closing date Friday 29th January
IPO Grade  3/5 by Crisil indicating average fundamentals

Business
VEL began operations in 1986 as an EPC contractor. Over the last 23 years the company has been involved with 181 EPC projects spread across India. VEL is engineering, procurement and construction services and real estate Development Company with operations in a number of states and Union territories in India. VEL and other development entities collectively have equity interest in five hospitality projects and an office complex.

VEL has an order backlog of Rs 3227 crs as on 31st December 2009. The company along with other developing entities owns developable area of 55.36 million square feet. The company is focussed in and around Pune, and currently of its order book of 70 ongoing projects, 73.5% is around Pune, while of the land as much as 84.58% is and around Pune.  

VEL provides EPC services to its own projects as well as third party projects. VEL has till 31st December 2009 completed an aggregate of 181 projects with a total contract value of Rs 888.87 crs. Of these only 24 projects were for self or other development entities with a contract value of Rs 232.59 crs.

VEL owns directly or through its subsidiaries owns the Vista Do Rio, an interest in Galaxy resorts in Goa, the Golden Suites service apartment complex in Pune, and Marigold Premises which owns and operates the Mariplex Mall and office complex. The company has a re-risked business model with a very strong EPC contract pipeline and also own land development. The own development share of business is roughly one fourth of the total business ensuring that the business is robust and land prices, demand economy do not affect the company due to volatility in prices and market conditions.

Financials
The company had a total operating income on a consolidated basis of Rs 616.86 crs for the year ended March 2008, Rs 519.47 crs for March 2009 and Rs 354.69 crs for the half year ended September 2009. The total income for the same period was Rs 620.53 crs, Rs 524.76 crs and Rs 362.04 crs respectively. The net profit after tax was Rs 59.51crs, Rs 19.26 crs and Rs 23.50 crs respectively. The EPS for the period based on the current share capital of 7.92 cr shares is Rs 7.51, Rs 2.43 and for the half year ended September 2009 on an annualized basis Rs 5.93 respectively.

The margins have been under pressure and EBITDA margins which were at 20% in 2008 fell to 17% in March 2009 and further to 15.1% in the half year ended September 2009. Net margins which were at 9.5% in March 2008 fell to 5.9% in March 2009 and improved to 6.6% in the half year ended September 2009.   

Objects of Issue

Construction of EPC contracts and Real Estate Development 136.50 crs
Repayment of Debt  41.17 crs
General Corporate Purposes (more than 25% of total issue size)  X

          

Comparison
The company has tried to compare itself with players like Ansal Properties, Mahindra Lifespaces, Parasvanath Developers, Sobha Developers and Brigade Enterprises Limited. These names are strictly not comparable as VEL is a EPC contractor cum developer. The historical revenue mix has been 75% from EPC and 25% from own contracts. This is likely to change in favour of own contracts going forward. One must also note that the company has paid a sum of Rs 351.52 crs till date to acquire the economic interest in the 55.36 million square feet developable area. A small sum of Rs 7.21 crs is payable on this amount.

Based on the Pre-IPO equity and profits for the period March 2009 the price earnings multiple would be 67.90 at the lower price band and 76.13 times at the higher price band. Similarly for the half year ended September 2009 annualised numbers the same would be 27.82 times at the lower price band and 31.20 times at the higher price band.

Taking these same numbers on the fully diluted equity of 9 cr shares the price earnings multiple based on March 09 numbers would be 77.1 times at the lower and 86.45 times at the higher price band. Compared to half year ended September 2009 the numbers would be better but still expensive at 31.61 times at the lower end and 35.44 times at the higher price band.

This is yet another issue where the Anchor investors have decided to stay away. This will put pressure on the share post listing as almost all the institutional investors would be the short term investors looking to make a quick buck or exiting irrespective of profits or losses.

Conclusion
The company is a strong focused player on EPC having a strong order book. It has a long term investor in the form of HDFC with it. It is in the business of real estate development and has a reasonable land bank which would be developed and completed over the next seven years. The issue is extremely expensive and even considering the NAV (net asset value), the price of the IPO cannot be justified in any manner. The anchor investors not participating is another body blow to the issue and a big enough reason for small investors to just stay away.

Expensive, no appreciation at current levels, look at issue post listing would be available cheaper.  

SEBI disclaimer: – I do not intend to subscribe to the issue  

Thangamayil Jewellery: 22K – Subscribe

Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (TJL) is tapping the capital markets with an issue to raise Rs 2875.25 lakhs in a price band of Rs 70-75. The issue opens on Wednesday the 27th of January and closes on Friday the 29th of January. The name Thangamayil is actually two words together which mean gold and peacock. Thangamayil in tamil means ‘Golden Peacock’ and that is also the logo of the company.

Issue Size Rs 2875.25 lacs
Price Band Rs 70-75 per share
Offering based on price fixed 38,33,667 shares at Rs 75 to 41,07,500 at Rs 70
Employee Reservation Rs 90 lacs or 1,20,000 at Rs 75 to 1,28,571 shares at Rs 70
Net Offering based on price fixed Rs 2785.25 lacs or 37,13,667 shares at Rs 75 to 39,78,929 shares at Rs 70
QIB’s Rs 1392.62 lacs or 18,56,833 shares at Rs 75 to 19,89,464 shares at Rs 70
Non Institutional Investors Rs 417.79 lacs or 5,57,050 shares at Rs 75 to 5,96,839 shares at Rs 70
Retail Investors Rs 974.84 lacs or 12,99,786 shares at Rs 75 to 13,92,628 shares at Rs 70
Marketcap post issue Rs 97.95 crs to 102.90 crs
Book Running Lead Manager Keynote Corporate Services Limited
Isssue Opening Date Wednesday 27th January
Isssue  closing date Friday 29th January
IPO Grade 3/5 by Brickwork Ratings indicating average fundamentals

Business

The company is in the business of gold jewellery, diamond and platinum jewellery. The company has a manufacturing unit near Madurai where it manufactures ornaments which are made to order and general articles of jewellery like chains and bangles. It also procures gold jewellery from various dealers across India like West Bengal, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh and Kerala. The company sells gold jewellery made from 22K and assures its customers of the quality it sells.

TJL is into retail marketing and has its largest showroom in Madurai. It is spread over three floors and covers an area of 11,416 sq feet. Besides Madurai the company has showrooms in Ramanathpuram, Dindigul, Karaikudi and Rajapalayam. It is the stated objective of TJL to spread within Tamil Nadu and have its presence in tier 2 towns only. It is for this reason that they have not gone to cities like Chennai or Coimbatore. They are in the process of opening new shops at Tuticorin, Theni, Nagercoil, Thirunelveli, Kovilpatti and Sivakasi.

These additions will take the number of outlets from the present 5 to 11. TJL has introduced a concept of price guarantee. It will buy back gold jewellery for remaking from its customers and the price of gold is fixed. There is one price of gold for buying and selling and on this price old jewellery is bought. This assurance helps in the business and attracts customer loyalty.

Goldsmiths were the way business was done historically in India. One had to give gold to a goldsmith, and you approved a design, and then he hand crafted the same. Stories of mixing of the gold, quality, less weight etc were quite normal those days. Slowly but surely the goldsmith is becoming a thing of the past, and organised manufacturing and retailing are taking over. In organised retailing one gets to see a variety and can invest in buying jewellery instantly. With modern equipment one can test the purity of gold as well.

The prospects for organised retail are improving and the fact that India is one of the largest consumers of gold in the world will help matters. The opportunities going forward will help this kind of business.

Financials

TJL had total income of Rs 224.60 crs for the year ended March 2008 which grew to Rs 246.86 crs for the year ended March 2009. For the half year ended September 2009, sales have grown substantially to Rs 209.43 crs. Net Profit after tax has grown from Rs 5.61 crs in March 2008, to Rs 7.49 crs in March 2009. There has been a big jump in the half year where the profit is now at Rs 7.97 crs.

The equity of the company pre IPO is Rs 988.59 lacs which would increase to 13992 lacs if the price is fixed at Rs 70 or to Rs 13719 lacs if the price fixed is at Rs 70. Based on the pre-IPO equity the company reported an EPS of Rs 5.67 for March 08, Rs 7.58 for March 09 and Rs 16.12 for the half year ended September 2009 on an annualised basis. If we were to convert the earnings on a fully diluted basis the EPS for March 2009 would be Rs 5.35 and Rs 11.39 for the half year ended September 2009 on an annualised basis at the lower price band and Rs 5.46 for March 09 and Rs 11.6 for half year ended September 2009 on an annualised basis.

Objects of Issue

Setting up of retail outlets at six different locations

(Tuticorin, Theni, Nagercoil, Thirunelveli, Kovilpatti and Sivakasi)

1968.42 lacs
Renovation of Madurai Showroom 175.00 lacs
Contingencies at 5% on above 107.17 lacs
Working Capital 2278.00 lacs
Public Issue Expenses 255.00 lacs
TOTAL 4783.59 lacs

The above objects would be met by a combination of the IPO proceeds, pre-ipo placement and internal accruals of Rs 1283.59 lacs.

Comparison

We have quite a few listed players in the diamond trade like Shrenuj, Suraj Diamonds, Asian Star, Flawless Diamonds etc and a couple in the jewellery business like Gitanjali Gems and Renaissance Jewellery. TJL is strictly not comparable to the diamond players as there sales from diamonds is less than a few percentage points of their total sales. Secondly most of the diamond companies are exporters and overseas conditions and state of the economy plays a vital part in their business. Diamond is more of an upper class play and resale value of diamonds is not as much as gold simply because gold can be melted and the shape recast, while diamond cannot.

If we are to compare it with Gitanjali it is a mix of diamonds, brand and retail while TJL believes primarily in gold jewellery through its exclusive showrooms in tier 2 towns of Tamil Nadu with quality assurance and price guarantee being its salient features. On a fully diluted basis the offer price at the lower price band of Rs 70 is on a price earnings multiple of 6.15 and at the upper price band of Rs 75 the multiple is 6.47 times half year ended September 2009 results on an annualised basis.

Without talking of the future it would be appropriate to mention that all these showrooms would be up and running in the first quarter of financial year 2010-2011. The sales and profits of these showrooms would be reflected in the financial numbers of the calendar year 2010-2011. It should also be mentioned that Indians whether they are from rural India or urban India know the value and importance of gold. In every marriage and on important festivals, buying of gold is a ritual and almost mandatory. The shape of jewellery will change but not the metal. This offers multiple growth opportunities to such companies.

Conclusion

A straight forward business model where the focus is Tamil Nadu, tier 2 towns, gold jewellery and the USP is quality (22K gold hallmarking) and price assurance.  The company buys back gold jewellery at a price for the day. With a clear focus on markets, business and niche area this company will do well going forward. It should also be mentioned that with gold assaying machines (to check purity of gold) it helps in creating customer goodwill and increasing his confidence. I believe that though this is a low margin high volume game, the prospects are glittering and should help the company and its investors make money in the long run.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I intend to subscribe to the issue

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