Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 21st October 2011

Name Date of Listing Issue Price closing  price closing price % gain loss  change over
21st Oct 14th Oct over week  lssue price
PG Electroplast 26th Sept 210.00 216.10 228.05 -5.24 2.90
Prakash Constrowell 4th Oct 138.00 182.15 184.35 -1.19 31.99
RDB Rasayans 7th Oct 79.00 13.60 15.05 -9.63 -82.78
Tijaria Polypipes 14th Oct 60.00 16.55 18.10 -8.56 -72.42
Onelife Capital Advisors 17th Oct 110.00 199.60 N A 81.45 81.45
Flexituff International 19th Oct 155.00 159.35 N A 2.81 2.81
Taksheel Solutions 19th Oct 150.00 35.80 N A -76.13 -76.13
M&B Switchgear 20th Oct 186.00 380.00 N A 104.30 104.30
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M&B Switchgear IPO: Poor start but closes with gains of over 70%

 

M&B Switchgear Limited which had tapped the capital markets with its issue for 50 lac shares in a price band of Rs 180-186 listed on the stock exchanges. The issue was open between the 28th of September and the 5th of October and was subscribed 1.57 times. The retail portion was subscribed 2.35 times and the QIB portion was subscribed 1.03 times. The company had to get the QIB portion subscribed as it was a compulsory issue and is being made under Rule 19(2)(b)(I) of the SCRR read with regulation 41(1) of the SEBI ICDR Regulation under which if the 50% of the issue has to be subscribed by QIB’s. They have subscribed and are currently holding on to their positions.

The issue listed at Rs 180 on the BSE and Rs 190 on the NSE. The high of the day which was made in the last few minutes of the day’s trade was an identical Rs 356 on both the exchanges. The low of the day was Rs 118.65 on the BSE and Rs 121.05 on the NSE. The last trades were around Rs 355 on both the exchanges but the weighted average of the day saw the stock close at Rs 317.55 on BSE and Rs 318.40 on the NSE. The gains were a staggering Rs 131.55 or 70.73% on the BSE and Rs 132.40 or 71.18% on the NSE.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 180.00 356.00 118.65 317.55 131.55 70.73 196.40 26521140 789611 2.98
NSE 190.00 356.00 121.05 318.40 132.40 71.18 197.59 35064653 1310014 3.74
Total 61585793 2099625 3.41

The issue was for 50 lac shares and the traded volume on the two exchanges was 615.85 lac shares. This was 12.32 times the issue size. The delivery volume was 20.99 lac shares which was a mere 3.41% of the traded volume and 41.99% of the IPO size. Prima facie this number looks really low as the average has been around 85% and in the last few issues been as high as 95 and 97%. In this case it has been so low simply because the QIB’s who own 50% or 25 lac shares have not sold a single share. What prompted these institutions to apply for a company whose PE was a staggering 480 times on the basis of fully diluted equity of 2 cr shares is certainly a mystery and worth looking into. The PE as of yesterday’s closing price of Rs 318 has now become 820 times and may be a record for itself. The three QIB’s who are investors in the company are Credo India Thematic Fund, IPRO Funds and Sparrow Asia diversified funds.

The weighted average of the day was Rs 196.40 on the BSE and Rs 197.59 on the NSE showing the sharp upward price movement in the stock in the last two hours.

The stock opened around the issue price and slowly and steadily drifted down. In about 2 and a half hours or say 12 noon the stock was around RS 130-135 and it appeared as another disaster listing in the offing. In the next hour the stock made its lows of the day and then started its rise upwards. In one hour it was back at par and in the next hour it was up 70%. Looking at the same piece of date in another way, the stock rose from Rs 118.65 to Rs 356, a rise of Rs 237.35 trebled in 2 and a half hours. One sure would like to understand what has happened in the company to warrant a trebling in price in a mere 150 minutes. Beats me!

The stock thereafter was on a roll and it was a one way street with the stock gaining and going from strength to strength. There were some minor dips here and there but nothing significant. The weighted average close of the stock which hit the high of the day in the last few minutes of the day’s trade of Rs 356 was Rs 317.55 on the BSE and Rs 318.40 on the NSE.

TIME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE VOLUME WTD AVG
930 190.00 179.00 155.00 174.95 1077685 172.79
1000 174.95 174.50 162.40 166.40 1583211 168.13
1030 166.60 167.85 160.00 163.50 1225096 164.44
1100 163.50 164.35 149.15 156.75 2111196 156.33
1130 156.75 156.45 145.40 145.45 1154185 149.07
1200 145.45 145.85 136.70 140.55 2070665 140.84
1230 140.55 159.10 126.00 131.95 3494031 140.77
1300 131.95 135.75 121.15 126.00 1862315 127.15
1330 126.00 157.80 125.40 150.95 2448898 143.29
1400 150.95 196.90 151.25 195.50 4686237 178.58
1430 195.50 274.00 196.20 266.45 6592949 230.18
1500 266.45 307.35 263.70 273.75 3197134 286.12
1530 233.75 356.00 281.95 356.00 3434736 318.22

From the chart above it is very clear that there was not much interest in the counter for the first two hours or so. Thereafter when the average traded price got stuck in the Rs 140-150 range midday, the volume started picking up. Thereafter there was a sharp fall to the low which made people believe that the share has cracked and shorts were built up. Post One pm it was a one way rise, which saw volumes increasing, weighted average improving sharply and the stock showing what can be done when “friendly intermediaries” are involved in subscribing to the share or helping the issue get subscribed.

The particular batch of stocks which have come in this September 2011rush leave a lot to be desired. One only hopes that action is taken by the regulator/regulators in time before they realise it is too late and irreparable damage is done to the primary market.

In conclusion after a poor start the stock rose significantly to close 70% higher. One is not sure whether the applicants /investors to the shares were able to enjoy the gains as the stock had fallen quite sharply intraday. The record books will say that the share had a great listing day with a net gain of 70.73% to close at Rs 317.55 against an issue price of Rs 186.

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Taksheel Solutions IPO: Issue lists well but ends as a disaster, closes 62% down

 

Issue price of Rs 150 makes a low of Rs 38.50 before closing at Rs 55.85

Taksheel Solutions Limited, a Hyderabad based company in the IT space had tapped the capital markets with its issue for 55 lac shares in a price band of Rs 130-150. The issue was subscribed 2.99 times with the help of HNI’s and retail investors. The QIB portion remained undersubscribed and received bids for a mere 24% of the QIB portion. The share listed today on the BSE and NSE and opened at Rs 157.40 on the BSE and Rs 157 on the NSE. The high was Rs 185 on the BSE and Rs 184.30 on the NSE while the low was Rs 38.50 on the BSE and Rs 39.10 on the NSE. The close was Rs 55.85 on the BSE, a loss of Rs 94.15 or 62.77%, while on the NSE it was Rs 39.10, a loss of Rs 91.85 or 58.15%. It sure was a sad day for the company and its investors and has once again proved that fundamentals and proper pricing alone can ensure the success of an issue.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 157.40 185.00 38.50 55.85 -94.15 -62.77 114.60 37657126 2245724 5.96
NSE 157.00 184.30 39.10 58.15 -91.85 -61.23 114.76 53644144 2958606 5.52
Total 91301270 5204330 5.70

The issue for 55 lac shares was graded 2/5 by CARE and indicated poor fundamentals. There is talk that the share subscription was managed by friendly intermediaries and there were application forms which were bought at Rs 2000-2100 for Rs 2 lac retail application. The trading volume was very high and the volatility in the scrip simply unimaginable. The total traded volume was 913.01 lac shares which was 16.6 times the IPO size of 55 lac shares. The delivery volume was 52.04 lac shares which was 5.70% of the traded volume but a very significant 94.62% of the IPO size. This supports the argument that the fundamentals are weak and that help from friendly intermediaries was taken to ensure subscription.

The stock opened at Rs 157.40 on the BSE and at Rs 157 on the NSE and was under pressure right away. Over the next two hours the stock was under constant pressure and continued to lose ground. It had made a low of Rs 112.70 and then in the next half hour from 11.30 pm to 12 noon, the stock rose virtually in a 90 degree angle to touch the high of the day 185 on BSE and Rs 184.30 on the NSE. The volume in this period was indeed huge and on the NSE alone clocked 70.14 lacs. IF one were to divide the total turnover into half hour slots the average would have been 41.26 lac shares on the NSE against which the same was 70.14 lac shares. A rise from Rs 112 to Rs 184 just doesn’t happen, it is made to happen and all those who were short on the counter, surrendered. In the next half hour the price had again fallen and come down to Rs 121. Next ninety minutes was the distribution phase where the price drifted, nothing significant happened and the price slowly but steadily came down to below the 110 levels. Between 2 and 2.30 pm there was another dip and then in the last hour all hell was let loose with the stock making an intra-day low of Rs 38.50 on the BSE and Rs 39.10 on the NSE. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 114.60 on the BSE and Rs 114.76 on the NSE which is a significant variation from the closing price. This indicates that most investors have lost money and anybody who has sold after 12.30 pm has lost anything between 30% to 70% of his investment.

The company at the issue price had a market capitalisation of Rs 327.78 crs on a fully diluted post issue basis which at the end of the carnage on the first day was reduced to a mere Rs 122.37 crs, a loss of 205.41 crs, on a day when the markets were on a roll and the BSESENSEX clocked gains of 337 points or 2.08%.

TIME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE VOLUME WTD AVG
930 157.00 161.90 137.35 139.30 1864324 148.57
100 139.30 139.15 130.70 135.70 3972708 133.99
1030 135.70 142.05 112.70 135.95 6061495 130.05
1100 135.95 133.85 118.00 121.05 2489222 124.04
1130 121.05 125.15 112.80 122.00 2844549 118.01
1200 122.00 184.30 121.95 179.45 7014051 153.08
1230 179.45 173.85 116.85 120.90 5562026 142.14
1300 120.90 124.65 113.75 115.20 2394414 119.70
1330 115.20 122.95 111.40 115.20 2367746 116.81
1400 115.20 116.35 105.70 105.70 1823340 114.07
1430 105.70 100.35 80.95 91.05 5448068 89.58
1500 91.05 91.80 69.25 69.25 4330086 82.76
1530 69.25 71.50 39.60 58.15 7469583 58.20

The exchanges give you an analysis of trading on a half hourly basis and I have appended above the same for the company from the NSE. It is apparent that the entire action has been done in the half hour starting 11.30 am and ending 12 noon. The vertical rise and then the fall is apparent even for a lay man. If the regulator decides to take action it is crystal clear to pinpoint the people behind the movement and how wealth has been destroyed. In a mere 30 minutes the stock rose a spectacular Rs 62 on huge volumes only to fall in the next thirty minutes.

It would be fair to say that this was yet another example of an issue which came to the markets with poor fundamentals, garnered support on the basis of friendly intermediaries and faltered on day one itself losing a bombshell for investors. One hopes that with each such example, investors and regulators take note of what’s happening and avoid such issues in future. One also requests that the regulator should make at least one issue an example so that others take it as a strong deterrent going forward.

For the record books on more September issue and one more disaster.

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