Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 23rd September 2011

Name Date of Listing Issue Price closing  price closing price % gain loss  change over
23rd Sept 16th Sept over week  lssue price
Tree House Education & Acessories 26th Aug 135.00 174.65 138.40 26.19 29.37
Brooks Laboratories 5th Sept 100.00 27.60 32.55 -15.21 -72.40
TD Power Systems 8th Sept 256.00 269.80 290.70 -7.19 5.39
SRS 16th Sept 58.00 33.95 33.65 0.89 -41.47
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RDB Rasayans IPO: Expensive, limited size

AVOID

RDB Rasayans Limited is tapping the capital market which has opened on Wednesday the 21st of September and closes today the 23rd of September. The comp[any is issuing 45 lakh shares in a price band of Rs 72 to 79 and would raise Rs 35.55 crs at the upper end of the price band. In the two days that the issue has been open, it has garnered support for a total of 0.08 times the IPO size. The company has received bids for 3.61 lac shares and all these bids are from retail investors. There is not a single bid from QIB’s or HNI’s at the end of the first two days.

Price Band  Rs 72 – Rs 79
Issue Size in Shares 45,00,000 Equity Shares
Issue Size in Rupees Rs 32.40 crs at the lower band to Rs 35.55 crs at the upper end of the price band
QIB’s 22,50,000 Equity Shares 
Non Institutional Investors 6,75,000 Equity Shares 
Retail Investors 15,75,000 Equity Shares 
Book Running Lead Manager Chartered Capital and Investment Limited
Isssue Opening Date Wednesday 21st September
Isssue  closing date  Friday 23rd September
IPO Grade  Brickwork ratings BWR grade 2/5 indicating below average fundamentals
Paid -up Capital Pre IPO 1,32,14,800 Equity Shares 
Paid -up Capital Post IPO 1,77,14,800 Equity Shares 
Market Cap post listing Rs 127.54 crs at lower band to Rs 139.94 crs at higher band
Bid Lot 80 shares
Bidding Amount for Retail 2,480 shares at Rs 79 or Rs 1,95,920 per application

Business
RDB Rasayans is a manufacturer of PP tape, PP woven sacks, woven fabrics, industrial woven fabric, PP woven fabrics and PP woven bags. These products are used in various industries for packaging purposes like the fertiliser industry, cement, polymers, chemicals, textiles, machinery, automobiles and steel industry. The company is engaged in manufacture and sale of FIBC (flexible intermediate bulk container) and woven sacks and various polymer based products like container liners, protective irrigation systems, which find large scale application in the segments like cement and fertiliser.

The company has an installed capacity of 7000 metric tons currently and the same is fully utilised. The proceeds of the issue would be utilised to increase the capacity further and make the same a total of 13,500 metric tons. The group is a diverse company and has interests in many businesses which make them vulnerable as the focus of the group is missing. For example they are into real estate, NBFC Company, electrical machinery manufacture and transmission business, flour business which has been converted into financial services company, automobile sales and services, construction activities, investment company, construction and real estate activity and so on. The group has multi companies in the same line of business and there is hardly a dividing line between one company and the other. Many of these companies are listed entities and hence minority shareholder would always feel cheated or let down. The important part is the group has no focus and this is a big concern.

Objects of the issue
The objects of the issue are as follows: -

To finance the capital expenditure to enhance capacity by setting up unit II 2102.58 lac
General Corporate purposes  
Issue Expenses  

The company plans to raise Rs 32.40 crs at the lower end and Rs 35.55 crs at the upper end. It has given a breakup of Rs 21.02 crs as the object of the issue and balance is mentioned as general corporate purposes and issue expenses. It appears top be a bit odd that such a large portion of the amount to be raised, the use is not specified.

Financials
The company reported a topline of Rs 29.95 crs in the financial year ended March 2009, Rs 29.97 crs in March 2010 and Rs 45.55 crs in March 2011. The net profit in the same period was Rs 1.95 crs, Rs 0.78 crs and Rs 1.80 crs. The net margins have been very volatile and have ranged from 5.57% to 2.6% and finally to 4%.

year 2009 year 2010 year 2011
Income Rupees in Lakhs
Sale from Products Manufactured by the company 3407.49 2796.34 4613.04
Sales from Products traded by the company 0 273.18 0
Less Excise Duty 346.67 222.12 370.68
Net Sales 3060.82 2847.40 4242.36
Other Income 59.34 30.31 13.11
increase/decrease in inventories -125.37 119.27 299.31
Total Income 2994.79 2996.98 4554.78
Cost of Material 1968.59 1942.31 2928.08
Other Expenditure 793.42 954.36 1370.06
Total Expenditure 2762.01 2896.67 4298.14
Profit before Tax 232.78 100.31 256.64
Income Tax paid 66.05 22.26 74.52
Net profit after tax 166.73 78.05 182.12
IT adjustments for earlier years -28.06 -0.28 1.81
Profir or loss as Restated 194.79 78.33 180.31
NET MARGINS 5.57 2.60 4.00

If one looks at the topline and the fact that the company is running to capacity currently, it becomes very clear that the expansion to 13,500 tons would at best make this a 85 cr to 90 crtopline company. Any company with that small a size and net margins of a mere 4% cannot command a market cap which is a multiple of its top line. Competitors are available at less than 0.4 times of turnover and one wonders why this company is asking for 1.56 times multiple of sales to marketcap.

Comparisons
The company has chosen to compare itself with Neo Corp, Polyplex, EsselPropack and Jumbo Bag, Polyplex and EsselPropack are in completely different lines of business and are not comparable in any manner. Neo Corp and Jumbo Bag are in the same line of business. Neo Corp has reported a topline of Rs 308 crs for the year ended March 2011, has a net profit of Rss 14.03 crs, a market capitalisation of a mere Rs 60 crs, and is available at a price earnings multiple of 4.30 times.

Jumbo Bag reported for the same period a topline of Rs 104 crs and a profit after tax of Rs 0.61 lacs and enjoys a market capitalization of Rs 14.35 crs. RDB Rasayans reported a profit after tax of Rs 180.31 crs which on a fully diluted equity of 177.14 lac shares would translate into earnings per share of Rs 1.01. At the lower end the price earnings multiple would be a staggering 71.28 times and at the upper end of the price band, 78.21 times.

Conclusion
The group is too diversified and has its hands in too many things which are not interconnected or form part of the same activity. This spreads their resources and focus too thin. The group has similar businesses in different companies and there would always be a clash of minority shareholders interest. Secondly the expansion envisaged by the company post the raising of equity at best would make this a 85-90 crtopline company, keeping it a small company. Post listing and declaring their results for the year ended March 2012, there would be no way a company in the woven cloth and sacks business could command a market cap which is 1.56 times its topline. The issue is expensive, exorbitantly priced and offers no returns to investors in the medium or long term. One should just avoid the issue, irrespective of whatever be the compelling reasons for investment.

Looking at the valuations, lack of focus and small size, I believe prospective investors must avoid the issue.

SEB I Disclaimer: – I do not intend to subscribe to the above issue.

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Muthoot Finance NCD list at Discount

 

Uthoot Finance NCD’s which were issued at a face value of Rs 1000 and coupon rates of 12.25% for 3 years and 5 years for retail investors applying upto five lacs, listed on Tuesday the 20th of September at a discount.

These bonds were the 5th such issue in a series of bonds which started from Shriram Transport, India Infoline. Shriram City Union, Mannapuram and then Muthoot Finance. The reason why the bond listed at a discount is the wrong marketing of the instrument. The time when these bond issues came there were hardly any IPO’s and the primary markets were flush with funds. Some intermediaries marketed these bond issues which are pure fixed income issues as instruments where there would be listing gains and there were grey markets transactions in these instruments as well. When the issues from India Infoline and then Mannapuram listed and traded at a discount, there was large scale withdrawal from the issue of Muthoot Finance.

From the charts above it is clear that the price of the 5 year bond fell from the beginning of the day’s trade and continued to fall till the end of trading. In the case of the three year bond the fall was much less and the bond was steady. After the initial; fall the bond price became steady and not only held ground but actually recovered towards the end of the day.

Statistics at the end of the day show that the weighted average of the 3 year bond was Rs 978.93 while the closing price was Rs 989. At this price the yield improves to 12.38% on a yield basis and if held to maturity there is another gain which makes the total yield at 12.75%.

In the case of the five year bond the weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 950.10 and the closing price was Rs 941.93. At this price the yield comes to 13% and if held to maturity, the returns come to 14.16%.

I believe that bonds and NCD’s are not equity shares and only investors who understand these instruments should invest.

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