Primary Market Rush as Yearend Approaches

The week gone by was tough on the markets and we refused to respond to global cues particularly Dow Jones. While the Dow gained 796.68 points or 3.14% to close at 25,334.74 points, BSESENSEX lost 739.80 points or 2.72% to close at 33,307.14 points. We also made a new low during the week, breaking the one made on 6th February post the budget. This sure is a cautionary signal and should not be ignored. NIFTY lost 231.50 points or 2.26% to close at 10,226.85 points.

In primary market news shares of H G Infra Engineering Limited listed on Friday and survived a scare, Shares which were issued at Rs 270 managed to close at just around the issue price at Rs 270.05.

The coming week is going to see two issues opening for subscription. The first is the defence sector PSU Bharat Dynamics Limited which opens for subscription on Tuesday the 13th of March and closes on Thursday the 15th of March. The offer for sale of 2.24 cr shares would be in a price band of Rs 413-428 and there would be a discount of Rs 10 for retail and eligible employees. The issue is valued in a price band of 19.15 to 19.84 times its March 2017 earnings of Rs 21.57. The company manufactures missiles for the armed forces and is an approved supplier of DRDO and uses the technology provided by them.

The second issue is from micro finance and now a universal bank, Bandhan Bank. The company is tapping the markets with its simultaneous issue, comprising of a fresh component of 9.76 cr shares and an offer for sale of 1.40 cr shares. The total issue of 11.92 cr shares is at a price band of Rs 370-375 and is being issued at a price earnings multiple of 31.75 to 32.19 times based on its nine-month earnings of Rs 8.74 annualised for the year. The company had earned Rs 10.15 for the year ended March 2017 and the same on an annualised basis would be Rs 11.65 for the year ended March 2018. The price to book is a massive 7.59 times its NAV of Rs 49.35. The issue is certainly expensive and the company believes this is the price one is asking for their business model of being a microfinance bank. The market cap of Bandhan at the issue price would be higher than every other PSU bank except State Bank of India. One needs to look at the prospects of the bank and its business model very carefully before giving it such valuations.

One would be wondering why a spate of issues in the last fortnight of the financial year? Very clearly there is one angle that market participants would normally not think of. The Union Budget introduced long term capital gains tax from 1st April 2018 and grandfathered the same based on highest prices as of 31st January 2018. What it did not do is for unlisted entities. This effectively means that companies who are not listed would have to pay long term capital gains tax beyond 31st March and hence issues which have an offer for sale component either form the promoter or the private equity investor have suddenly realised the importance of 31st March.

While two issues are opening during the week, another six to ten are expected to have their roadshows during the week. The object is to beat the deadline and complete the issue before the financial year ends. The pressure on markets would increase and funding is likely to be at a premium being yearend. It is also likely that funding is done for just a couple of issues and not the whole bunch.

Some of the companies whose roadshows are slated for the week include auto component maker Sandhar Technologies, PSU special alloy maker Mishra Dhatu Nigam and aircraft maker HAL. There are many in the waiting list and would happen in the next 2 to four days.

It would be a mad rush and interesting to watch how many make it.

H G Infra Engineering Limited – Share on Debut Manages To Close at Par

Shares of H G Infra Engineering Limited listed on the bourses and barely managed to hold on to the issue price. The company had tapped the capital markets with its simultaneous issue which consisted of a fresh issue of Rs 300 crs and an offer for sale of Rs 300 crs in a price band of Rs 263-270. The issue was subscribed 4.98 times overall with the QIB portion subscribed 8.37 times, HNI portion subscribed 3.08 times and Retail portion subscribed 3.08 times.

The company had earlier allocated 51,33,150 equity shares to 11 anchor investors comprising of 22 entities. The allocation was done at Rs 270. The highest allocation was done to HDFC mutual fund and DSP Blackrock of 5,99,995 shares a piece or 11.69% of the anchor allocation. The issue was open from Monday the 26th of February to Wednesday the 28th of February.

The discovered price was Rs 270 on both the exchanges. The high of the day was Rs 276 on both the exchanges. The low was Rs 252.60 on BSE and Rs 252.10 on NSE. The closing price was Rs 270.05, a gain of Rs 0.05 or 0.02% on the BSE. The same on NSE was Rs 267.65, a loss of Rs 2.35 or 0.87%. The traded volume was 191.01 lac shares which was 85.96% of the issue size of 2.22 cr shares. Delivery volume was 52.60 lac shares which was 27.54% of the traded volume and 23.67% of the IPO size. If one were to consider the non-anchor portion than the delivery percentage was 30.78%. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 268.71 on BSE and Rs 268.04 on NSE.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/ Loss Wt.Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 270.00 276.00 252.60 270.05 0.05 0.02 268.71 3325230 1196727 35.99
NSE 270.00 276.00 252.10 267.65 -2.35 -0.87 268.04 15776490 4063252 25.76
Total 19101720 5259979 27.54

There were two trades which were reported on the NSE. In the first Florence Securities Pvt Limited bought 3.45 lakh shares at Rs 270. In the second trade, Manohar Kodem bought 73,000 shares at Rs 265.43.

The share has just about survived day one of listing. Some amount of selling pressure was seen on listing day and with about a fourth of the shares delivered or changing hands, some sort of relief should be there. The share is likely to trade softer in the coming days and likely to make a base around 6-8% lower than the issue price.

Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 9th March 2018

Name Date of Listing Issue Price Closing Price Closing Price % Gain Loss % Change Over
090318 010318 Over Week lssue Price
Khadim India Limited 14th November 750.00 669.65 691.65 -2.93 -10.71
HDFC Standard Life 17th November 290.00 425.35 450.50 -8.67 46.67
Shalby Limited 15th December 248.00 193.70 219.00 -10.20 -21.90
Future Supply Chain Solutions Limited 18th December 664.00 667.85 670.00 -0.32 0.58
Astron Paper Limited 29th December 50.00 118.30 128.05 -19.50 136.60
Apollo Micro Systems Limited 22nd January 275.00 279.10 302.90 -8.65 1.49
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd 29th January 245.00 238.45 244.20 -2.35 -2.67
Amber Enterprises India Limited 30th January 859.00 1104.35 1101.35 0.35 28.56
Galaxy Surfactants Limited 8th February 1480.00 1496.70 1616.50 -8.09 1.13
Aster DM Healthcare Limited 26th February 190.00 155.45 172.40 -8.92 -18.18
H G Infra Engineering Limited 9th March 270.00 270.05 NA 0.02 0.02
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