Have a break – have a Kit Kat

Markets did nothing last week and closed with losses. BSESENSEX was down0.96% and NIFTY 1.48%. The broader indices saw BSe100, BSE200 and BSE500 lose between 1.69% and 1.75%. Markets lost on four of the five trading days.

US Fed finally raised interest rates by 25 basis points and reading between the lines of the minute’s one gets a feeling that between 3 and four rate hikes are likely in the calendar year 2017. Dow Jones closed with gains of 0.44% at 19,843.41 points. The Dow has been making a series of new highs and seems to be on a roll.

The winter session of parliament ended and very little work if any was done. Ever since the 8th of November when demonetisation was announced it’s been a series of protests, sit down’s and parliament being stalled. The president of India also commented that parliament should not be used for this and be allowed to function. It’s a shame that the nation’s resources are being wasted in this manner and important decisions be kept pending.

Markets are doing nothing having lost their momentum in the last few weeks. Going forward with not much of news flow expected it would be even tougher. It therefore makes sense to sit out the markets and wait for it to either fall sharply when stocks can be bought or around year end when some amount of NAV propping may provide exit.

Till then “have a break, have a Kit Kat”.

Performance of Newly Listed Shares as on 16th December 2016

Name Date of listing Issue Price closing price closing price % gain loss change over
16th December 9th December over week lssue price
L&T Technology Services Limited 23rd September 860.00 796.75 847.00 -5.84 -7.35
GNA Axles Limited 26th September 207.00 188.75 199.20 -5.05 -8.82
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co Ltd 29th September 334.00 310.10 294.65 4.63 -7.16
HPL Electric & Power Limited 4th October 202.00 99.75 104.40 -2.30 -50.62
Endurance Technologies Limited 19th October 472.00 572.15 580.65 -1.80 21.22
PNB Housing Limited 7th November 775.00 866.50 872.35 -0.75 11.81
Varun Beverages Limited 8th November 445.00 415.80 414.00 0.40 -6.56
Sheela Foam Limited 9th December 730.00 958.55 1032.10 -10.08 31.31

Markets mind and investor relations differential pricing

It is said that markets have a mind of their own and this was amply demonstrated twice in the last four weeks. The whole world believed that Donald Trump winning the presidential polls would cause US markets to fall. He won the elections and Dow Jones has gained a whopping 9.48% from the lows of 4th November and 7.57% from Election Day.

Closer home our markets had discounted a rate cut from RBI on Wednesday the 7th of November. When the same did not happen we had a sharp intraday correction which saw the BSESENSEX lose 376 points from high to low. The next day markets gained 458 points on a closing basis. What had changed between Wednesday’s disappointments on their being no rate cut to optimism on Thursday? Beats me.

Sheela Foam had a great listing closing at upper circuit with gains of 41.37% on day one. SBIMF was a big buyer and bought over 15% of the IPO size. SBIMF was also an anchor investor in the company.

There is a very grave area which needs the regulator’s urgent attention on a war footing. The new breed of investor relations firm have started a differential pricing model which is linked to the market capitalisation of the stock price. This without public information and disclosure is nothing short of market manipulation and should raise a lot of eyebrows. The difference between what this firm does and a so called ‘market operator or manipulator’ does is a fine line. The regulator needs to look into this issue and flag the agencies and companies indulging in such contracts.

The real threat in such a contract is the fear that to maximise returns, information which is privy may be shared selectively and price manipulated. Also when the cut-off date approaches the price could be moved to ensure higher payoff. What is even worse is the fact that the agency with the promoter or on their own may give information to select market intermediaries which is factually incorrect.

This growing trend needs to be nipped in the bud at the earliest before collateral damage takes place.

Yet another company has seen its revenues and disclosure challenged. This time it is Manpasand Beverages the maker of Mango juice. While serious allegations have been made, the company has so far chosen to remain silent and there is no information to the bourses. There should be a clear statement by the company on this issue informing the status to investors

Subscribe to RSS Feed Follow me on Twitter!