Innoventive Industries Listing day blues, Share loses 20%

Reliance mutual fund buys 30.51 lakh shares or 5.09% of company’s equity at Rs 98.50

Shares of Innoventive Industries Limited listed at the BSE and NSE on Friday the 13th of May. The opening price was Rs 110 on the BSE and Rs 111.95 on the NSE. The high was Rs 114.85 on the BSE and Rs 114 on the NSE. The low was Rs 86.30 on the BSE and Rs 86.25 on the NSE respectively. The closing price was Rs 93.60 on the BSE and Rs 94.05 on the NSE. The share lost Rs 23.40 on the BSE and Rs 22.95 on the NSE respectively.

Exchange Open High Low Close Net Change % Gain/loss Wt. Avg Volume Delivery Del %age
BSE 110.00 114.85 86.30 93.60 -23.40 -20.00 95.41 27037744 2362413 8.74
NSE 111.95 114.00 86.25 94.05 -22.95 -19.62 95.47 32468337 2966609 9.14
Total 59506081 5329022 8.96

The company had issued shares in a price band of Rs 117-120 and chose to allot at Rs 117 which happened to be the price at which the company had done a pre-IPO to Standard Chartered. The company had raised Rs 219.58 crs by issuing 1,87,67,521 equity shares. The share has been extremely volatile and moved in both directions in sharp movements. From the price chart given below one would notice that the share has moved from between Rs 95-105 in the first few minutes. Around 11.30 am there was a sharp drop from Rs 102 to Rs 94, and then just around 2pm there was a very sharp movement which saw the stock rise from Rs 93 to 101 and then drop to Rs 88 accompanied with huge volumes and all in a space of a few minutes. The low of the share was made around 2.15 pm and from there on the share showed signs of recovery.

The combined trading volumes were at 595.06 lacs which were 3.17 times the IPO size of 187.67 lac shares. The weighted average of the day’s trade was Rs 95.41 on the BSE and Rs 95.47 on the NSE. The delivery volume was 53.29 lac shares which was 8.96% of the traded volume and 28.39% of the IPO size. The delivery percentage of the IPO size is lower than normal indicating that people are holding on to the shares even though there is a 20% fall on day one. On the institutional side there has been buying support from Reliance mutual fund who have bought on the NSE 18.3 lakh shares at Rs 98.42 and 12.21 lakh shares on the BSE at Rs 98.60. The total buying of 30.51 lakh shares is 16.25% of the IPO size and 5.09% of the post IPO capital.

The share has performed poorly on day one and probably the saving grace is the fact that people have not sold inspite of the share having fallen 20%. The delivery volume is quite low and with buying interest having emerged it would be interesting to see how the share fares going forward.

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Performance of Newly Listed Shares: 13th May 2011

Name Date of Listing Issue Price closing  price closing price % gain loss change over
13th May 6th May over week lssue price
Muthoot Finance 6th May 175.00 165.6 175.9 -5.86 -5.37
Paramount Printpackaging 9th May 35.00 37.15 N A 6.14 6.14
Future Ventures India 10th May 10.00 8.9 N A -11.00 -11.00
Servalakshmi Paper 12th May 29.00 18.2 N A -37.24 -37.24
Innoventive Industries 13th May 117.00 93.6 N A -20.00 -20.00
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Power Finance Corporation FPO subscribed

Power Finance Corporation Limited which had launched its FPO in a price band of Rs 193-203 was fully subscribed. The issue was open from Tuesday the 10th of May and closed on Thursday the 12th of May for QIB’s and on Friday the 13th of May for all other non-QIB bidders. The issue was subscribed a total of 4.34 times. The issue consisted of a fresh issue of 17.21 cr shares and an offer for sale by the Government of 5.738 cr shares making a total issue size of 22.92 cr shares. There was an employee quota of 2.75 lakh shares as well

The details of the subscription level in various categories are given below: -

Category Shares Offered Shares Subscribed Times
QIB 114638937 793573340 6.92
NII 34391682 41439412 1.2
Retail 80247257 160165544 2
Employee 275464 249480 0.91
Overall 229553340 995427776 4.34

Looking at the response to the issue it appears very logical to expect the issue to be priced at the top end of the price band at Rs 203. The share has closed in the cash market at the BSE at Rs 215.85. The share price may fall from these levels considering the difference in the issue price and the market price, but the margin of safety is simply huge to expect any negative performance in this stock. Secondly there is a discount of 5% which would amount to Rs 10.15 per share assuming the top end of the price band is fixed at the issue price.

The retail subscription is more than the HNI portion and the only reason that HNI subscription was relatively poor was the fact that fresh positions in PFC were not allowed in the futures segment, making it difficult for HNI’s to hedge their position.

It is difficult to understand the phycology of HNI investors where in an IPO they take huge leveraged positions and are unable to sell their position in the premium market and most of the time losing money when the share lists on the bourses. A recent example was Muthoot Finance where the HNI portion was subscribed 60 times and the cost of leverage for a HNI investor was in the region of Rs 30. The share did not even touch the figure of Rs 200 which would have meant a gain of Rs 25. The share closed on Friday around Rs 165.

All in all the subscription for PFC FPO has been good and has set the divestment for 2011-12 in motion. Well begun is half done and let us hope that in future issues the government continues being considerate and liberal in the pricing of the issues.

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