CARE– Issue Subscribed, Receives excellent response


Credit Analysis and Research Limited (CARE) which had tapped the capital markets with an offer for sale of Rs 71.99 lac shares at a price band of Rs 700-750 and was subscribed handsomely. The issue had opened on Friday the 7th of December and closed on Tuesday the 11th of December. The issue was to raise Rs 540crs from the offer for sale.

The issue received excellent response and was subscribed 41 times with the best response coming from HNI’s. HNI’s subscribed to the offer 111 times while QIB’s subscribed almost 46 times. The retail category was subscribed 6.18 times. One must remember that allotment rules have been changed in the retail category and all applicants are first allotted the minimum lot before any surplus is allotted to other applicants. The total number of applications in this issue is about 3.3 lakhs which means that the average size per applicant is about 50 shares. The value of this application becomes Rs 37,500 against a normal average of Rs 1 lakh per application. The allotment to each successful applicant would be 20 shares and the ratio would be roughly 1 successful allotment for every 2.5-2.6 applicants. Yet another similar way of conveying the same would be 2 out of 5 applicants would get 20 shares and this would be irrespective of the size of the application. The issue would be priced at the upper end of the price band of Rs 750 and is likely to list around Christmas time.

Clearly the success of this issue indicates that if money is raised at reasonable prices there is appetite for fresh investment.

The details of the subscription level in various categories are given below: –

Category Shares Offered Shares Subscribed Times
QIB 2519896 115412880 45.80
NII 1079965 119835560 110.96
Retail 2519895 15562400 6.18
Overall  6119746 250810840 40.98

NMDC – OFS on 12/12/12 Floor Price fixed at Rs 147


Today is a very auspicious date. The date month and the year are all the same, 12. One hope’s the auspicious date changes the fortunes of the government compared to the previous sale made in March 2010 of NMDC and the sale of Hindustan Copper in the month of November. The government of India would be divesting 39,64,71,600 equity shares through OFS (offer for sale). The floor price has been fixed at Rs 147. The closing price of NMDC on Tuesday was Rs 159.30, up Rs 4.55 or 2.94% compared to Monday. In the last month and last few months the share has been on a downward trend. The close on 30th Nov was Rs 162.65, while the close on 31th October was 176.75. The price on 16th February 2012 was at Rs 199.55 while on 31st December 2011 was at Rs 164.80.

The floor price fixed is therefore at a discount of Rs 12.30 or 7.72% to the closing price of Rs 159.30 on the BSE. The previous FPO of NMDC was in a price band of Rs 300-350 and the price was fixed at the floor price of Rs 300. This issue was in March 2010. The issue size was 33,22,43,200 equity shares. There was a striking distance between 2010 March and December 2012.

The revenues of NMDC in the year ended March 2008-2009 were Rs 7,564.03 crs and the net profit was Rs 4,372.38 crs. The EPS was Rs 11.03. The revenues in the year ended March 2010 fell to Rs 6,239.09 crs while the net profit was Rs 3,447.26 crs and the EPS was Rs 8.69. The current issue being done today is based on revenues for the year ended March 2012 which were Rs 11,261.89 crs, the Net profit Rs 7,265.39 and the EPS a healthy Rs 18.33. In the current half year ended September 2012, the EPS is Rs 9.04. Based on the EPS of the relevant period shares were offered in March 2010 at a PE ratio of over 34 times based on results for the year ending March 2010.

In December 2012 the shares are being offered at a PE ratio of 8.13 based on the six months period ended September 2012 on an annualized basis. Simple mathematics shows that while the profits and hence EPS have doubled from Rs 8.69 per year to Rs 9.04 for the half year, the price for the FPO and now the OFS has also been reduced to half from Rs 300 to a floor of Rs 147. This means that against the PE of over 34 times the same has been reduced to one fourth at 8.13. It sure is a complete climb down and speaks volumes about the conviction of getting shares sold through the OFS route.

The chart above shows the continuous fall in price post the FPO in March 2010. The chart above is self-explanatory and shows wealth destruction of shareholders. Looking at the changed valuations investors may try their luck in the OFS. There are however two things to be born in mind while applying for this issue. The first point is that though the company has cash on the books of close to Rs 20,000, it is planning to set up a steel unit which would need about Rs 15,000 crs. Secondly this company derives close to 95% of its revenues domestically and therefore spared the issues of currency and price volatility.

Last time around things looked skeptical and the asking price was extremely high. This time around things are better priced and there is money for investors who have a reasonable holding period.

NMDC FPO subscribed: fails to meet objective of retail and HNI response.

NMDC FPO Price leaves nothing for investor

Bharti Infratel Limited – Completes Allocation to Anchor Investors


BhartiInfratel Limited (BIL) which is tapping the capital markets with its issue for 18.89 cr shares in a price band of Rs 210-240 completed its allocation to anchor investors yesterday. The company allotted a total of 2,83,35,000 Equity shares at a price of Rs 230. The allotment was made to 34 entities but only 12 institutions. There was excess demand of 8.32% over the QIB book and the same has been allocated on a discretionary basis.

A closer look at the key entities who have been allotted shares gives a much distorted picture of the entire anchor book. Morgan Stanley is allotted 101.85 lakh shares which is 36% of the book. Similarly Citigroup has been allotted 52.1 lakh shares or 18.4% and Wellington Management 36.87 lakh shares or 13%. There is just one domestic institution who has applied Sundaram Mutual Fund who has been allotted 9,78,500 shares or 3.45% through 18 entities. It is indeed surprising that in such a large issue just one domestic institution or mutual fund has chosen to join as anchor allocation.

One wonders whether the pricing is the concern or the industry in which BIL operates itself is the concern. Answer to this question would be available once the issue closes for QIB’s and HNI’s on Thursday the 13th of December and for retail investors on Friday the 14th of December. The company would be raising through the issue at the upper end of the price band of Rs 240, a total of Rs 4,533.6 crs. The issue consists of a fresh issue of 14.623 cr shares and an offer for sale of 4.267 cr shares by 4 private equity investors.

The complete list of allocation is given below:-

Sr. No. Applicant No. Of Equity Shares
applied at or above
Anchor Investor
Allocation Price
Equity Shares
Allocated (A)
(A) as a percentage of Anchor Investor Portion (DA)
1 ACMBerstein SICAV-GLOBAL THEMATIC
RESEARCH PORTFOLIO
434,800 217,400 0.8%
2 AllianceBerstein Global Thematic Growth
Fund Inc
630,200 630,200 2.2%
3 AllianceBerstein Variable Products Series
Fund Inc – AllianceBernstein Global Thematic
Growth Portfolio
434,800 217,400 0.8%
4 Citigroup Global Markets Mauritius Private
Limited
5,210,000 5,210,000 18.4%
5 Clough Capital Partners LP A/c Clough lnvt
Partners I LP
836,000 836,000 3.0%
6 Clough Capital Partners LP Aic Clough
Offshore Fund Ltd
451,000 451,000 1.6%
7 Columbia Acorn International 2,717,000 2,717,000 9.6%
8 Commonwealth Equity Fund Limited 473,500 473,500 1.7%
9 Morgan Stanley Investment Management A/C Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund Inc. 473,500 473,500 1.7%
10 Morgan Stanley Mauritius Company Limited 9,711,500 9,711,500 34.3%
11 Riversource Variable Series Trust – Variable Portfolio-Columbia Wanger International Equities Fund 435,000 240,000 0.8%
12 Route One Invt Company L.P. A/c Route One Fund LP 1,086,750 1,086,750 3.8%
13 Route One Invt Company L.P. A/c Route One Offshore Master Fund LP 1,045,250 1,045,250 3.7%
14 Sundaram Mutual Fund – Sundaram Growth Fund 86,900 86,900 0.3%
15 Sundaram Mutual Fund – Sundaram Tax Saver(Open Ended Fund) 434,800 434,800 1.5%
16 Sundaram Mutual Fund – Sundaram Equity plus 43,500 43,500 0.2%
17 Sundaram Mutual Fund – Sundaram Select Thematic FD Capex Opp – Dividend 21,700 21,700 0.1%
18 Sundaram Mutual Fund – Sundaram Select Thematic FD Capex Opp – Growth 130,400 130,400 0.5%
19 Sundaram Mutual Fund – Sundaram Select Thematic Funds Rural India Fund 86,900 86,900 0.3%
20 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 2 years(Series 1) 3,900 3,900 0.0%
21 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 2 years(Series 2) 2,600 2,600 0.0%
22 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 2 years(Series 3) 4,350 4,350 0.0%
12C Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 2 years(Series 4) 9,150 9,150 0.0%
22 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 2 years(Series 3) 4,350 4,350 0.0%
23 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 2 years(Series 4) 9,150 9,150 0.0%
24 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 3 years(Series 3) 12,200 12,200 0.0%
25 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 3 years(Series 4) 23,900 23,900 0.1%
26 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 3 years(Series 5) 12,600 12,600 0.0%
27 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 3 years(Series 6) 11,700 11,700 0.0%
28 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 3 years(Series 7) 11,300 11,300 0.0%
29 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 5 years(Series 2) 17,400 17,400 0.1%
30 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 5 years(Series 3) 36,500 36,500 0.1%
31 Sundaram Mutual Fund A/c Sundaram Capital Protection Oriented Fund 5 years(Series 4) 28,700 28,700 0.1%
32 Wanger International 435,000 360,000 1.3%
33 Wellington Management Company, LLP A/C BAY POND BMD MB 2,057,400 1,420,700 5.0%
34 Wellington Management Company, LLP A/C BAY POND MB 3,282,300 2,266,300 8.0%
  Total 30,962,500 28,335,000 100%

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