Lovable Lingerie IPO: smart opening share trades with gains of 26%

Lovable Lingerie Limited listed at the BSE and NSE today. The opening price at the BSE was Rs 261.50 while it was Rs 240 on the NSE. The high on the BSE was Rs 278.95 while on the NSE it was Rs 278.90. The low in the first hour of trade was Rs 252.25 on the BSE and the open of Rs 240 on the NSE.

Lovable Lingerie Limited had launched its IPO between the 8th and 11th of March in a price band of Rs 195-205. The company had made an anchor allocation as well. The size of the issue was 45.50 lakh shares. The issue was very well received and was oversubscribed an overall 35.21 times. The HNI portion was subscribed 99.87 times and the retail portion 35.21 times. The cost of the leveraged investor or HNI would roughly be Rs 76. This means that for the HNI the breakeven level would be Rs 281. So far the high has been just short of Rs 280 and more than prayers would be needed to make profits.

Exchange Open High Low  Close Net Change % gain Volume Wt Avg
BSE 261.50 278.95 252.25 258.75 53.75 26.22 7720045 265.95
NSE 240.00 278.90 240.00 258.35 53.35 26.02 9907130 265.38
Total 17627175

The share has seen brisk trading and in the first hour of trading 176.27 lakh shares have been traded. The size of the issue was 45.5 lakh shares which mean that over 3.87 times the IPO size has been traded. The current price at 10.15 am or at the end of the first hour of trade is Rs 258.75 on the BSE and Rs 258.35 on the NSE, a gain of just about 26%. The performance so far is excellent but the share appears to be under pressure. The weighted average of the day’s trade is Rs 265.95 on the BSE and Rs 265.38 on the NSE. The share price is roughly Rs 8 below the average traded price indicating the pressure.

The selling point of the issue was its cheaper valuations compared with Page Industries. With the current 26% gain, the cheaper valuation is no longer a reality. It needs to be seen whether one should go for size and forgo the slight premium or back somebody who is in the process of establishing the brand, 17 years after launching it.

Shilpi Cable Technologies IPO: Expensive looking at current scale

AVOID subscribing even though there may be listing gains

Shilpi Cable Technologies Limited (Shilpi) is tapping the capital markets with its IPO which opens on Tuesday the 22nd of March and closes on Friday the 25th of March. The company plans to raise Rs 5587.72 lacs in a price band of Rs 65-69.

Price Band  Rs 65 – Rs 69 
Offer size in shares 85,96,492 Equity Shares at Rs 65 to 80,98,145 Equity Shares at Rs 69
Issue Size Rs 5587.72 lacs
QIB’s 42,98,246 Equity Shares at Rs 65 to 40,49,072 Equity Shares at Rs 69
Non Institutional Investors 12,89,474 Equity Shares at Rs 65 to 12,14,722 Equity Shares at Rs 69
Retail Investors 30,08,772 Equity Shares at Rs 65 to 28,34,351 Equity Shares at Rs 69
Book Running Lead Manager D&A Financial Services Private Limited
Isssue Opening Date Tuesday 22nd March
Isssue  closing date  Friday 25th March
IPO Grade  CARE grade 1/5 indicating poor fundamentals
Paid -up Capital Pre IPO 2,42,00,000 Equity Shares 
Marketcap Post Listing Rs 21317.72 Lacs at lower band and Rs 22285.72 lacs at higher band
Bid Lot 79 shares
Bidding Amount for Retail 2844 shares at Rs 69 or Rs 1,96,236 per application

Business

M/s Shilpi Cable Technologies is a closely held public limited company incorporated in July 2006 and was formerly known as M/s Rosenberger Shilpi Cable Technologies Ltd. which was a 50:50 joint venture between M/s Shilpi Communications Pvt. Ltd. (SCPL) and M/s Rosenberger
Hochfrequenztechnik GmbH & Co. KG, Germany ( Rosenberger), to take up the project of Radio
Frequency (RF) Cables. The joint venture partners signed Share Subscription Cum Shareholders
Agreement in July 2006. However in view of dispute between them, the shares of Rosenberger were acquired by the Indian promoter in 2008, who are the present Promoters of the Company. Rosenberger offered to buy the Indian promoter at Rs 22 per share at which price they were bought out by the Indian promoter as per terms of the JV. During the process of buy-out the manufacturing plant was shut for 8 months.

The company manufactures RF cables of various sizes for the telecom industry. It also makes low voltage power cables and trades in cable accessories. These products are used in telecom towers and the utility is to act as the high-frequency transmission medium to carry high frequency or broadband signals between antenna and its base station. These feeder cables are of vital importance to obtain optimal performance of the cell site.

The company has quoted from a report in the RHP about the demand forecast for products manufactured and traded by it and estimated the same to be Rs 3,733 crs in 2009-10, Rs 3,705 crs in 2010-11, Rs 3,332 crs in Rs 2011-12 and Rs 3,058 crs in 2012-13. Two things are very clear that the demand seems to be peaking out and would tend to fall by about 10% every year going forward. Secondly the present sales of the company in 2009-10 were a mere Rs 170 crs implying less than 5% market share. The demand as per the company is huge. The company sells its products directly to OEM suppliers and also bids through tenders.

Objects of the issue

The objects of the issue are as follows: –

  Rs in Lacs
To raise funds for capital expenditure on Cable/wire Assembly Shop 865.42
To raise funds for capital expenditure on tools for 3G enabling 446.69
To raise funds for capital expenditure on augmenting cable mfg. Capabilities 1621.61
To raise funds towards margin for working capital for proposed new business 1554.00
To raise funds for investment in the Subsidiary M/s Shilpi Cabletronics Limited 500.00
To raise funds for general corporate purposes 300.00
To meet the expenses of the issue 300.00
Total 5587.72

Financials

The company has made profits for the first time in the year ended March 2010. Secondly the margins seem to be improving but the trading component sale has dramatically gone up which does not fit in with the business of the company.

31st Mar 09 31st Mar 10 30th Sept 10 Annualised
31st March 11
Sales of products manufactured 4437.75 13213.16 7363.71 14727.42
Sales of traded products 400.69 3777.74 3470.81 4000.00
Net Sales 4838.44 16990.90 10834.52 18727.42
Profit loss before tax -599.76 1498.23 996.52
Net Profit or loss after tax  -398.05 904.06 696.21 1204.17
Net Margin % 5.32 6.43 6.43

Valuations

The company has chosen to compare itself with companies like Surana Telecom Limited and Bhagyanagar India Limited. Neither of these companies is in the business of manufacturing cables of any sort. The only comparison is to fulfil the requirement of the RHP that there must be a competitor. The competition in the business is from Andrew Telecommunications India Pvt Ltd, Microqual Techno Pvt Ltd and LS Cable Limited.

The company has earned an EPS of Rs 2.76 on a fully diluted basis for the year ended March 2010. In the current year ending March 2011 based on half yearly annualised numbers for September, the EPS would be Rs 3.67 at the lower end of the band and Rs 3.72 at the upper end of the band. The issue is a fixed amount issue and the price at which shares would be issued would change the total number of shares. In terms of PE valuations the share is being offered at a valuation of between 23.58 and 24.65 times based on March 2010 numbers and a more respectable 17.7 times to 18.51 times the expected earnings for March 2011.

The company’s growth in numbers shows huge rise in sundry debtors and also a substantial increase in inventories. These are normal gimmicks used by IPO bound companies and one should not get carried away with the same.

The issue is of a very small capital company and there has been flavour for such shares in the last couple of months. One should be very careful when applying for such issues. I believe this issue can be avoided on fundamental basis and even the IPO grading is the bare minimum of 1/5 which speaks for itself.

Conclusion

The company is fairly new and is yet to complete even the mandatory three year track record of making profits which makes a company investment grade. I recommend that serious investors, who believe in fundamentals, should avoid the issue.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I do not intend to subscribe to the above issue.

State Bank of India Tier 3 and Tier 4 bonds to be listed on Wednesday 23rd March

State Bank of India Tier 3 and Tier 4 bonds which were open for subscription in the last week of February will list on Wednesday the 23rd of March. The Bank had issued these bonds in a denomination of Rs 10,000 each. There were two series which have a maturity period of 10 years and 15 years and they have a different rate of interest for QIB and HNI’s attracting lower interest and retail investors attracting higher interest.

There was also a unique oversubscription clause which capped the maximum subscription by the institutional and HNI investors and allowed the retail investors (which in this case were upto Rs 5 lacs) a substantial limit of upto Rs 9,000 crs.

The final allotment is as follows: –

QIB’s and HNI’s

Series 3 lower tier bonds 10 years maturity, coupon rate 9.3%. Bonds issued 1,71,677
Series 4 lower tier bonds 15 years maturity, coupon rate 9.45%. Bonds issued 8,28,323
Series 3 lower tier bonds 10 years maturity, coupon rate 9.75%. Bonds issued 5,59,401
Series 4 lower tier bonds 15 years maturity, coupon rate 9.95%. Bonds issued 39,37,595

The total amount raised was Rs 1000 crs in the QIB and HNI category while it was a staggering Rs 4496.99 crs in the retail category. The 15 year retail bond which has a coupon rate of 9.95% is trading at a premium of around Rs 350 in the grey market and is likely to trade even higher when trading begins tomorrow. Expect to see the bond trade at Rs 10,375 for the 9.95% bond at the bare minimum when trading begins today and the other bonds to adjust to the coupon rate accordingly.

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