VA Tech Wabag IPO has excellent prospects: MUST SUBSCRIBE

VA Tech Wabag Limited (VA Tech) is tapping the capital markets with a public issue which opened on Wednesday the 22nd of September and closed for QIB’s on Friday the 24th of September. The issue closes for HNI’s and retail on Monday the 27th of September and the price band is Rs 1230-1310 for an Rs 5 paid up share. The issue has been subscribed over 36 times by QIB’s

Issue Size Rs 125 crs and 26,53,383 shares
Fresh Issue Rs 125 crs
Offer for Sale 26,53,383 shares
Price Band  Rs 1230 to Rs 1310  share face value Rs 5 
Issue in Number of Shares 36,69,643 shares at Rs 1230 and  36,07,581 shares at Rs 1310
Anchor Investors 5,41,136 shares were alloted at Rs 1310 per share
QIB’s 12,93,686 shares at Rs 1230 and  12,62,655 shares at Rs 1310
Non Institutional Investors 5,50,446 shares at Rs 1230 and 5,41,137 shares at Rs 1310
Retail Investors 12,84,375 shares at Rs 1230 and 12,62,654 shares at Rs 1310
Marketcap post issue Rs 1298.52 crs at Rs 1230 to 1374.85 crs at Rs 1310
Book Running Lead Manager Enam Securities Private Limited
IDFC Capital Limited
Syndicate Member  Sharekhan Limited
Isssue Opening Date Wednesday 22nd September
Isssue  closing date for QIB’s Friday 24th September
Isssue  closing date for HNI’s and Retail Monday 27th September
IPO Grade  4/5 by ICRA indicating above average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 5 shares

Business
VA tech is an Indian multinational player in the water treatment industry with market presence in India, the Middle East, North Africa, Central and Eastern Europe, China and South East Asia through its offices in India, Austria, the Czech Republic, China, Switzerland, Algeria, Romania, Tunisia, UAE, Libya and Macao. The company is headquartered in Chennai and conducts business through its subsidiaries and branch representative offices.

VA Tech offers complete life cycle solutions including conceptualization, design, engineering, procurement, supply, installation, construction and O&M (operation and maintenance) services. The company provides services and solutions for sewage treatment, processed and drinking water treatment, effluents treatment, desalination and reuse for institutional clients like municipal corporations and companies in the infrastructure sector such as power, steel and oil and gas companies.

The company is currently executing 81 projects as of 31st July 2010 and has an order book of approximately 2780 crs as of 30th June 2010. This is one of the few cases of management buyout and the present promoters are all professionals and were working with the company when they bought out the promoters. The company focuses on technology and has R&D centres in India, Austria and Switzerland. The present promoters have an average work experience of twenty years in the business and the operating margins have been improving over the last three years.

The company has been awarded a desalination project in Chennai in December 2010 with an order value of Rs 1030 crs and this was the first 1000 crs order for the company. The company does the design, technology part of the business and outsources the civil construction part. It has a global brand and a footprint in the key fastest growing markets.

Objects of Issue
The objects of the issue are as follows: –
Funding working capital requirements of the company   Rs 6450.59 lacs
Construction of Corporate office at Chennai    Rs 3474.19 lacs
Implementation of global IT systems     Rs 1105.13 lacs
General corporate purposes       Rs XX

Financials
VA Tech reported revenues on a standalone basis of Rs 573.54 crs for the year ended March 2009 and Rs 707.66 crs for the year ended March 2010. The net profit for the year was Rs 25.99 crs for March 2009 and Rs 46.92 crs for the year ended March 2010.

On a consolidated basis the revenue for March 2009 was Rs 1154.95 crs in March 2009 and Rs 1233.76 crs in March 2010. The net profit after tax was Rs 42.22 crs for March 2009 and Rs 49.39 crs for March 2010. The pre-IPO share capital as of 31st March was 95,40,813 shares implying an EPS of Rs 44.25 for the year ended March 2009 on a consolidated basis and Rs 51.77 for the year ended March 2010.

Valuation
The competitors in this business are people like IVRCL Infra, Engineers India, Thermax Limited, Hindustan Construction, Nagarjuna Construction and Gammon India. None of these players are pure water players but have multiple activities and one of them includes water. Strictly speaking therefore they are not comparable but in terms of valuations if one were to compare them than the earnings multiple vary between 20 and 32 for all except IVRCL which quotes at a multiple of 63 times. All these comparisons are on the basis of March 2010 numbers.

The second difference is in the size of operations where the smallest player Engineers India has a turnover of Rs 2177 crs and the largest player IVRCL has a turnover of Rs 5492 crs. EPC is a major activity for the infrastructure players and hence these differences.

Based on the fully diluted and post IPO share capital of 105.57 lakh shares at the lower end of the price band of Rs 1230 the EPS would be Rs 46.78. At the upper end of the price band of Rs 1310 the EPS would be Rs 47.06. The price earnings multiple at which these shares are being offered is 26.29 at the lower end and 27.84 at the upper end.

Opportunity
The opportunity is huge and it is for the company to seize the opportunity going forward. VA Tech is in a sweet spot being a design and engineering company that it has the full opportunity to exploit. Its presence is not in the developed markets of USA and Europe but in the developing markets. Being a research driven company and having access to technology from Austria and Switzerland it is well poised to take advantage of the same.

Conclusion
VA Tech is in an exciting industry where there are huge prospects. The company is well poised to take advantage of its strong track record and the fact that its expertise lies in the design and engineering space. The shares are being offered at attractive valuations. The issue is a must apply for investors. There is however a small issue which needs to looked at when applying. The response to this issue is going to be overwhelming and allotment will be on a lottery system even in the retail category. The allotment to all retail applicants would be the minimum allotment of 5 shares and would be by basis of lottery as this category would in all probability be oversubscribed more than 15 times.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I intend to subscribe to the above issue.

Cantabil Retail India IPO: Valuations do not merit Subscription

AVOID the issue

Cantabil Retail India Limited is tapping the capital markets with an IPO to raise Rs 105 crs. The issue has opened on the 22nd of September and closes on Monday the 27th of September. The price band is Rs 127-135 and the issue has received support for 0.59 times at the end of Friday the 24th of September.

Price Band  Rs 127 – Rs 135 
Issue size in Rs Rs 105 crs
Offer size in shares 82,67,717 Equity shares at Rs 127 and 77,77,778 Equity shares at Rs 135
QIB’s 41,33,858 Equity Shares at Rs 127 and 38,88,889 Equity Shares at Rs 135
Non Institutional Investors 12,40,157 Equity Shares at Rs 127 and 11,66,667 Equity Shares at Rs 135
Retail Investors 28,93,701 Equity Shares at Rs 127 and 27,22,222 Equity Shares at Rs135
Marketcap post issue Rs 213.58 crs to 220.42 crs
Book Running Lead Manager SPA Merchant Bankers Limited
Syndicate Members Khandwala Securities Limited
SMC Global Securities Limited
Sunidhi Securities & Finance Limited
Isssue Opening Date Wednesday 22nd September
Isssue  closing date for Retail and HNI’s Monday 27th September
Anchor Investors Provision for allotment but none done
IPO Grade  2/5 by ICRA Limited indicating  below average fundamentals
Bidding Lot 50 shares

Business
Cantabil is in the business of designing, manufacturing, branding and retailing of apparels under the brand names of "Cantabil" and ‘"La FANSO". The company has a network of 411 exclusive retail outlets as of 31st July spread across India. The company began operations in 2000 and the first store was opened in New Delhi in September 2000. The Cantabil brand has 270 exclusive retail outlets and offers complete range of formal wear, party wear, casuals and ultra casual clothing for men, women and kids in the middle to high income group. The second brand was launched under the name "La FANSO" on the 25th October 2008 and has 141 exclusive outlets. This brand focuses on casual, ultra casual and formal wear in the lower to middle income group. The company also retails various fashion accessories like ties, belts, socks, caps and handkerchief under the two brands.

The company has 3 in-house manufacturing/finishing units and 4 warehouses located in Delhi. There are three dedicated third party units manufacturing exclusively for the company. There are 73 manufacturing units from whom outsourcing of cutting and stitching is done. The company is in the process of setting up a garment washing and finishing unit at Sonipat in Haryana which should be ready by December 2010.

Geographical breakup of the stores is in favour of North and western India with 129 stores of Cantabil and 101 stores of La Fanso in the North, 82 stores of Cantabil and 31 stores of La Fanso in the West, and the balance 59 stores of Catabil in East, South and Central and 9 stores of La Fanso in the remaining part of India.

The operation of the stores is under two models with the first one being company owned or leased and franchisee managed and the second franchisee leased or owned and franchisee operated. Under the first model there are 129 stores under Cantabil and 14 under La Fanso while under the second model there are 141 stores under Cantabil and 127 stores under the La Fanso brand.

Objects of the Issue

The objects of the issue are as follows: –

1. Establishment of new manufacturing facility Rs 3202.50 lacs
2. Expansion of our retail network Rs 2497.50 lacs
3. Additional working capital Rs 3000.00 lacs
4. Repayment of Debt Rs 2000.00 lacs
5. General Corporate Purposes XX
6. Expenses for the issue XX

Financials
The company has reported revenues of Rs 87.20 crs in the year ended March 2008, Rs 154.78 crs in the year ended March 2009 and Rs 163.64 crs in the year ended March 2010. The profit before tax for the respective period was Rs 4.47 crs, Rs 9.55 crs and Rs 22.34 crs respectively. The profit after tax was Rs 2.86 crs, Rs 6.21 crs and Rs 14.68 crs respectively. Based on the pre-IPO capital of 85,49,830 shares or Rs 8.549 crs the EPS for the year ended March 2009 was Rs 7.26 and Rs 17.17 for the year ended March 2010. There is a substantial increase in stock in the year ended March 2010 compared to March 2009 where the same has gone up by Rs 60.87 crs also leading to a huge jump in income and also profits.

Comparison
The company has compared itself with Koutons, Kewal Kiran, Provogue and Zodiac Clothing. These companies have established themselves in their own segments. Koutons reported sales of Rs 1205 crs and a net profit of Rs 82 crs for March 2010 and trades at 11 times historical earnings. Zodiac reported revenue of Rs 288 crs and a PAT of Rs 15 crs and the PE is about 20 times. Similarly Kewal Kiran reported revenues of Rs 176 crs and a PAT of Rs 32 crs and the PE is 13.7 times. Provogue had revenues of Rs 480 crs and a PAT of Rs 28 crs while the PE is 23 times.

Growth Drivers
The company has in all 411 exclusive brand outlets as of 31st July and intends to leverage on the same going forward. It has its own in house design team and believes that the design, in house manufacturing and exclusive brand outlets will help in increasing penetration in the market.

Valuations
The fully diluted equity at the top end of the price band would be 1.63 cr shares and at the lower end of the price band would be 1.68 cr shares. The earnings per share based on March 2010 would be Rs 8.73 at the lower end of the band of Rs 127 and Rs 9 at the upper end of the price band of Rs 135. The price earnings multiple at this price band would be 14.54 to 15 times. The share is in no manner cheap and looking at the huge jump in profits which seem to be partly on account of a huge jump in inventories.

Conclusion
The price earnings at which the share is being offered does not offer much scope for appreciation in the medium term. The size of the issue and the presence of three syndicate members in an issue size of 105 crs give a feeling that there could be speculative activity happening on listing in the share. Overcoming this temptation I feel that with such a heavy pipeline of IPO’s it makes sense to skip this one and look at others currently on or likely to come in the future. Simply put AVOID the issue.

SEBI Disclaimer: – I do not intend to subscribe to the above issue.

Orient Green Power IPO subscribed

Orient Green Power Limited which had come out with its IPO to raise Rs 900 crs in a price band of Rs 47-55 was subscribed. The issue had opened on Tuesday the 21st of September and closed for QIB’s yesterday the 23rd of September and on Friday the 24th of September for HNI’s and retail. The overall subscription was just about 1.07 times. The company had completed an anchor investment of 2,45,45,375 shares at the lower end of the price band of Rs 47.

The details of the subscription are as follows: –

Category  Shares Offered Shares Subscribed Times
QIB 71199306 148501375 2.09
NII 28723404 18395975 0.64
Retail 67021276 11997500 0.18
Overall 166943986 178894250 1.07

The issue price would now be fixed at the lower end of the price band of Rs 47.

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